- Lead
- 666
- Total
- 56,496
- vs nation
- D+0.3
Virginia 30th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,870
- Total
- 52,633
- vs nation
- R+0.9
- Lead
- 3,182
- Total
- 41,704
- vs nation
- R+9.7
- Lead
- 7,002
- Total
- 38,110
- vs nation
- R+22.2
- Lead
- 4,738
- Total
- 33,587
- vs nation
- R+21.4
- Lead
- 8,957
- Total
- 27,559
- vs nation
- R+30.0
- Lead
- 6,596
- Total
- 19,946
- vs nation
- R+33.6
- Lead
- 3,772
- Total
- 13,433
- vs nation
- R+36.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 87,3352024 5-year
- Population density
- 133 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 655 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $194,8722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+72.5 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 61, CO · twin score 91.1
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 30th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
50.8%
26,758 votes · D+3.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 48.4%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
66.0%
18,180 votes · R+32.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 58.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
27,321votes
48.4% of the vote · R+1.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 26,758 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
27,987votes
49.5% of the vote · R+1.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 24,888 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+0.3pts D vs U.S.
Place R+1.2 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −0.9 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+30.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+32.5 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +22.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Virginia 30th State House District sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 72.5 points in 1924 and a Republican high of 52.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.2 points.
A population of 87,335, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $194,872 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 61 and State Legislative District 4.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 30th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51030/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.