Virginia 31st State House District, Virginia: Old Confederacy district. In 2024, voted R+29%. Democratic peak: D+72 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+29MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 62,1762024 5-year
- Median household income
- $96,1062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+72 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38 in 1984MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State House District 31, VAOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 12,252 | 22,681 | 35,549 | ||
| R | 11,757 | 20,813 | 33,305 | ||
| R | 8,914 | 17,823 | 28,399 | ||
| R | 10,168 | 15,505 | 26,323 | ||
| R | 10,830 | 13,851 | 25,085 | ||
| R | 8,070 | 13,414 | 21,768 | ||
| R | 6,564 | 10,060 | 17,352 | ||
| R | 5,732 | 7,459 | 14,834 | ||
| R | 5,266 | 6,797 | 14,764 | ||
| R | 4,144 | 7,669 | 11,963 | ||
| R | 3,540 | 7,859 | 11,474 | ||
| R | 3,563 | 5,969 | 10,199 | ||
| R | 4,215 | 4,521 | 9,060 | ||
| R | 2,193 | 4,304 | 6,689 | ||
| R | 2,152 | 3,449 | 7,808 | ||
| R | 2,541 | 2,641 | 5,189 | ||
| D | 2,577 | 2,506 | 5,116 | ||
| R | 1,934 | 2,573 | 4,672 | ||
| R | 1,940 | 2,499 | 4,453 | ||
| D | 1,640 | 1,285 | 3,386 | ||
| D | 1,781 | 1,134 | 2,923 | ||
| D | 2,303 | 826 | 3,136 | ||
| D | 2,038 | 625 | 2,670 | ||
| D | 1,908 | 471 | 2,398 | ||
| D | 1,457 | 835 | 2,293 | ||
| D | 1,427 | 270 | 1,747 | ||
| D | 1,533 | 521 | 2,122 | ||
| D | 1,224 | 269 | 1,506 | ||
| D | 1,154 | 160 | 1,386 | ||
| D | 1,078 | 288 | 1,391 | ||
| D | 988 | 233 | 1,260 | ||
| D | 2,139 | 880 | 3,070 | ||
| D | 2,292 | 1,057 | 3,413 | ||
| D | 2,502 | 815 | 3,420 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
16.3%
English
14.1%
Irish
13.6%
American
9.1%
Italian
4.3%
Scottish
2.2%
Polish
1.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$96,106
State House District 31 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 31$96,106
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1811.0%
Working age (18–64)8.6%
Seniors (65+)8.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.0%
speak English only
Spanish6.3%
Other Indo-European1.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+48.6, this district ranks among the most reliably conservative constituencies in the commonwealth, suggesting a rural or exurban electorate with limited competitive pressure in most cycles.
The shift began with civil rights. 1964 marked the realignment in Virginia 31st State House District, by a two points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at thirty-eight points in 1984. The 2024 margin was twenty-nine points.
The political shift has tracked, in Virginia 31st State House District, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 82% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $96,106, and a 9% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 31, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State House District 31, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 31, Virginia voted Republican by 29.3 points (R+29), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 35,549 votes cast, 12,252 went Democratic and 22,681 went Republican.
What is State House District 31, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 31, Virginia as a "Old Confederacy" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District 31, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 31, Virginia voted Democratic was 1960.
How many people live in State House District 31, Virginia?
State House District 31, Virginia has a population of 62,176 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 31, Virginia?
Median household income in State House District 31, Virginia is $96,106 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of State House District 31, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 31, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.