- Lead
- 12,404
- Total
- 46,135
- vs nation
- R+25.4
Maryland State Legislative Subdistrict 2A
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 10,932
- Total
- 42,838
- vs nation
- R+30.0
- Lead
- 14,359
- Total
- 40,385
- vs nation
- R+37.6
- Lead
- 9,727
- Total
- 38,592
- vs nation
- R+29.1
- Lead
- 7,886
- Total
- 37,626
- vs nation
- R+28.2
- Lead
- 13,043
- Total
- 35,835
- vs nation
- R+33.9
- Lead
- 8,417
- Total
- 29,008
- vs nation
- R+29.5
- Lead
- 5,255
- Total
- 25,282
- vs nation
- R+29.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+26.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 89,0132024 5-year
- Population density
- 273 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 326 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $97,6712024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 31, VA · twin score 93.4
presidential history
Party record book
Maryland State Legislative Subdistrict 2A · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
57.7%
10,242 votes · D+15.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 53.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
72.5%
14,493 votes · R+46.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 70.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
16,270votes
35.3% of the vote · R+26.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 15,469 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
28,674votes
62.2% of the vote · R+26.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 26,444 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+8.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+17.1 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +6.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+37.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.6 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +33.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Subdistrict 2A delivers some of the widest Republican presidential margins in a state that tilts heavily Democratic statewide, reflecting the rural, western-Maryland character of its electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 46.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.9 points.
A population of 89,013, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $97,671 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 31 and State House District 169.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Maryland State Legislative Subdistrict 2A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2402A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.