akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 10·California

California 10th Congressional District has voted Democratic by double digits in every cycle this century.

One of California's redder inland seats, decided by nearly 10 points in 2024

18762024·38 elections
CA
Latest
D+38
in 2024
Archetype
Urban anchor
since the recent cycles
Population
866,855
2024 ACS

California 10th Congressional District, California: Urban anchor district. In 2024, voted D+38%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+38MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Urban anchorAkashic typology
Population
866,8552024 5-year
Median household income
$127,2902024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
40.8%2024 5-year
Black
8.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
27.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+46 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+49 in 1924MIT Election Lab
D
DESAULNIER, Mark JamesCongress 119 · Democratic

Predecessors: HARDER, Josh (2021–2023), HARDER, Josh (2019–2021), DENHAM, Jeff (2017–2019), DENHAM, Jeff (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2 counties · 2 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+38.3%
264,829114,380392,364
D
+45.8%
310,242112,556431,806
D
+43.6%
238,51085,261351,806
D
+35.8%
217,259100,308326,385
D
+38.2%
229,231100,420336,966
D
+26.5%
192,287110,835306,985
D
+22.4%
167,301103,985283,165
D
+21.2%
146,60391,202261,807
D
+22.0%
145,93383,298284,671
D
+4.0%
127,105117,126246,812
R
−9.0%
106,140127,457235,857
R
−12.1%
80,653106,551214,111
R
−0.4%
92,98093,841191,544
R
−9.8%
84,635103,534192,745
D
+2.4%
76,77772,765164,344
D
+27.2%
85,98049,133135,239
D
+6.1%
70,92562,684134,050
R
−2.3%
54,45657,079111,804
D
+0.8%
52,52151,644104,765
D
+13.7%
38,65428,96670,885
D
+27.2%
37,11121,22258,453
D
+23.2%
24,55115,21240,183
D
+43.6%
21,0308,17229,511
D
+19.9%
14,0369,21824,172
R
−23.4%
7,10611,52518,861
R
−49.0%
9257,76613,959
R
−40.5%
2,8387,62811,833
D
+1.3%
5,0574,91110,931
O
+39.0%
2,74307,028
R
−32.8%
1,2622,7314,476
R
−36.9%
9742,3333,679
R
−18.2%
1,2191,7793,076
R
−14.9%
1,1241,5262,695
R
−9.4%
1,0691,3102,552
R
−13.2%
9361,2292,225
R
−14.9%
8761,1932,121
R
−13.2%
7881,0291,819
R
−17.4%
6559301,585

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D58.9%41.1%15,348,846
2022D61.1%38.9%10,843,650
2018D100.0%0.0%11,113,364
2016D100.0%0.0%12,244,170
2012D62.5%37.5%12,578,511
2010D52.2%42.2%10,000,160
2006D59.4%35.0%8,541,476
2004D57.7%37.8%12,053,295
2000D55.8%36.6%10,623,608
1998D53.1%43.0%8,311,905
1994D46.7%44.8%8,514,089
1992D47.9%43.0%10,799,703
1988R44.0%52.8%9,743,598
1986D49.3%47.9%7,398,462
1982R44.8%51.5%7,805,450
1980D56.5%37.1%8,324,012
1976R46.9%50.2%7,470,586

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
7.9%
English
7.9%
Irish
7.2%
Italian
4.7%
American
2.2%
French
1.5%
Scottish
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
62.2%
speak English only
Spanish19.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander10.8%
Other Indo-European6.7%
Other languages1.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
26.8%
Other Christian
5.9%
Non-Christian
2.9%
Baptist
2.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.7%
Mainline Protestant
1.2%
Methodist
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 58.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored in the northern San Joaquin Valley and Sierra Nevada foothills, CA-10 leans reliably Republican in federal races, reflecting its rural agricultural economy and lower population density compared with the state's coastal districts.

The Democratic margin in California 10th Congressional District has been steady. It reached its modern peak at forty-six points in 2020; the 2024 margin was thirty-eight points, still in line with the district's long pattern.

Its political identity is inseparable from its demographic profile: a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $127,290, and the full diversity of a major metropolitan center.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 10, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0610/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 10, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 10, California voted Democratic by 38.3 points (D+38), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 392,364 votes cast, 264,829 went Democratic and 114,380 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 10, California's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 10, California as a "Urban anchor" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 20 times, Republican 17 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 10, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 10, California voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Congressional District 10, California?
Congressional District 10, California has a population of 866,855 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 10, California?
Median household income in Congressional District 10, California is $127,290 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Congressional District 10, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 10, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Urban anchor" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.