akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 9·California

California 9th Congressional District delivered D+2 in 2024 — Democratic for decades.

A Bay Area district where a slim Democratic edge masks real competitiveness

18762024·38 elections
CA
Latest
D+2
in 2024
Archetype
Democratic loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
782,369
2024 ACS

California 9th Congressional District, California: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+2%. Democratic peak: D+56 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+2MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
Population
782,3692024 5-year
Median household income
$94,0982024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
33.3%2024 5-year
Black
6.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
41.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+56 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+39 in 1924MIT Election Lab
D
HARDER, JoshCongress 119 · Democratic

Predecessors: MCNERNEY, Jerry (2021–2023), MCNERNEY, Jerry (2019–2021), MCNERNEY, Jerry (2017–2019), MCNERNEY, Jerry (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+2.3%
132,716126,574268,573
D
+16.1%
166,729119,546293,805
D
+16.3%
125,85188,179231,559
D
+15.2%
118,14386,331209,867
D
+12.9%
119,09191,366215,288
R
−4.6%
91,845100,722194,537
D
+0.9%
83,86482,361172,254
D
+3.7%
71,67466,069151,142
D
+5.7%
68,44759,324161,362
R
−8.1%
64,75376,305142,541
R
−19.1%
56,01282,835140,403
R
−18.3%
43,61665,698120,906
R
−0.9%
50,93951,844105,274
R
−14.5%
46,07262,660114,106
R
−4.0%
43,53247,531100,216
D
+24.5%
59,63936,11995,843
R
−4.5%
43,68047,81591,864
R
−7.8%
37,38243,75381,313
R
−10.8%
34,64543,12278,333
R
−0.6%
27,76728,13958,204
D
+6.9%
26,66923,19850,048
D
+7.1%
25,44822,02948,017
D
+46.2%
27,2209,86437,533
D
+30.2%
20,48110,64932,594
R
−23.9%
9,60915,74425,630
R
−39.2%
2,19210,47621,112
R
−28.9%
5,91911,21918,365
D
+16.4%
10,4577,31719,139
D
+56.3%
7,160012,724
R
−13.7%
3,0124,0837,816
R
−29.6%
2,0964,0596,621
R
−6.6%
2,6142,9985,782
D
+0.2%
3,1443,1296,421
D
+2.3%
2,8082,6626,308
D
+0.3%
2,5562,5395,385
R
−2.3%
2,6272,7565,513
R
−2.4%
2,1862,2954,488
R
−9.1%
1,7022,0433,745

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D58.9%41.1%15,348,846
2022D61.1%38.9%10,843,650
2018D100.0%0.0%11,113,364
2016D100.0%0.0%12,244,170
2012D62.5%37.5%12,578,511
2010D52.2%42.2%10,000,160
2006D59.4%35.0%8,541,476
2004D57.7%37.8%12,053,295
2000D55.8%36.6%10,623,608
1998D53.1%43.0%8,311,905
1994D46.7%44.8%8,514,089
1992D47.9%43.0%10,799,703
1988R44.0%52.8%9,743,598
1986D49.3%47.9%7,398,462
1982R44.8%51.5%7,805,450
1980D56.5%37.1%8,324,012
1976R46.9%50.2%7,470,586

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
6.5%
English
5.4%
Irish
5.0%
Italian
3.7%
American
1.9%
French
1.0%
Scottish
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
57.4%
speak English only
Spanish27.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander8.8%
Other Indo-European5.8%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
22.1%
Other Christian
7.9%
Non-Christian
2.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.4%
Baptist
1.9%
Mainline Protestant
1.2%
Methodist
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

California's 9th congressional district, anchored in the eastern Bay Area, returned a D+5.1 margin in 2024 — narrow by California standards and a signal of genuine swing potential in a state more often taken for granted.

The Democratic margin in California 9th Congressional District reached its widest at fifty-six points in 1912. The margin in 2024 was two points — still decisive.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $94,098, a 33% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 782,369 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 9, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0609/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 9, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 9, California voted Democratic by 2.3 points (D+2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 268,573 votes cast, 132,716 went Democratic and 126,574 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 9, California's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 9, California as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 18 times, Republican 20 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 9, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 9, California voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Congressional District 9, California?
Congressional District 9, California has a population of 782,369 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 9, California?
Median household income in Congressional District 9, California is $94,098 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Congressional District 9, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 9, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.