California 9th Congressional District, California: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+2%. Democratic peak: D+56 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+2MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 782,3692024 5-year
- Median household income
- $94,0982024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 33.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 41.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+56 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+39 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: MCNERNEY, Jerry (2021–2023), MCNERNEY, Jerry (2019–2021), MCNERNEY, Jerry (2017–2019), MCNERNEY, Jerry (2015–2017)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 132,716 | 126,574 | 268,573 | ||
| D | 166,729 | 119,546 | 293,805 | ||
| D | 125,851 | 88,179 | 231,559 | ||
| D | 118,143 | 86,331 | 209,867 | ||
| D | 119,091 | 91,366 | 215,288 | ||
| R | 91,845 | 100,722 | 194,537 | ||
| D | 83,864 | 82,361 | 172,254 | ||
| D | 71,674 | 66,069 | 151,142 | ||
| D | 68,447 | 59,324 | 161,362 | ||
| R | 64,753 | 76,305 | 142,541 | ||
| R | 56,012 | 82,835 | 140,403 | ||
| R | 43,616 | 65,698 | 120,906 | ||
| R | 50,939 | 51,844 | 105,274 | ||
| R | 46,072 | 62,660 | 114,106 | ||
| R | 43,532 | 47,531 | 100,216 | ||
| D | 59,639 | 36,119 | 95,843 | ||
| R | 43,680 | 47,815 | 91,864 | ||
| R | 37,382 | 43,753 | 81,313 | ||
| R | 34,645 | 43,122 | 78,333 | ||
| R | 27,767 | 28,139 | 58,204 | ||
| D | 26,669 | 23,198 | 50,048 | ||
| D | 25,448 | 22,029 | 48,017 | ||
| D | 27,220 | 9,864 | 37,533 | ||
| D | 20,481 | 10,649 | 32,594 | ||
| R | 9,609 | 15,744 | 25,630 | ||
| R | 2,192 | 10,476 | 21,112 | ||
| R | 5,919 | 11,219 | 18,365 | ||
| D | 10,457 | 7,317 | 19,139 | ||
| D | 7,160 | 0 | 12,724 | ||
| R | 3,012 | 4,083 | 7,816 | ||
| R | 2,096 | 4,059 | 6,621 | ||
| R | 2,614 | 2,998 | 5,782 | ||
| D | 3,144 | 3,129 | 6,421 | ||
| D | 2,808 | 2,662 | 6,308 | ||
| D | 2,556 | 2,539 | 5,385 | ||
| R | 2,627 | 2,756 | 5,513 | ||
| R | 2,186 | 2,295 | 4,488 | ||
| R | 1,702 | 2,043 | 3,745 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 58.9% | 41.1% | 15,348,846 |
| 2022 | D | 61.1% | 38.9% | 10,843,650 |
| 2018 | D | 100.0% | 0.0% | 11,113,364 |
| 2016 | D | 100.0% | 0.0% | 12,244,170 |
| 2012 | D | 62.5% | 37.5% | 12,578,511 |
| 2010 | D | 52.2% | 42.2% | 10,000,160 |
| 2006 | D | 59.4% | 35.0% | 8,541,476 |
| 2004 | D | 57.7% | 37.8% | 12,053,295 |
| 2000 | D | 55.8% | 36.6% | 10,623,608 |
| 1998 | D | 53.1% | 43.0% | 8,311,905 |
| 1994 | D | 46.7% | 44.8% | 8,514,089 |
| 1992 | D | 47.9% | 43.0% | 10,799,703 |
| 1988 | R | 44.0% | 52.8% | 9,743,598 |
| 1986 | D | 49.3% | 47.9% | 7,398,462 |
| 1982 | R | 44.8% | 51.5% | 7,805,450 |
| 1980 | D | 56.5% | 37.1% | 8,324,012 |
| 1976 | R | 46.9% | 50.2% | 7,470,586 |
Demographics
California's 9th congressional district, anchored in the eastern Bay Area, returned a D+5.1 margin in 2024 — narrow by California standards and a signal of genuine swing potential in a state more often taken for granted.
The Democratic margin in California 9th Congressional District reached its widest at fifty-six points in 1912. The margin in 2024 was two points — still decisive.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $94,098, a 33% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 782,369 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 9, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0609/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.