- Lead
- 264
- Total
- 138,608
- vs nation
- D+1.7
Virginia 12th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,149
- Total
- 131,676
- vs nation
- R+7.6
- Lead
- 14,260
- Total
- 112,842
- vs nation
- R+14.7
- Lead
- 19,915
- Total
- 109,726
- vs nation
- R+22.0
- Lead
- 19,044
- Total
- 104,616
- vs nation
- R+25.5
- Lead
- 31,121
- Total
- 88,508
- vs nation
- R+32.7
- Lead
- 27,422
- Total
- 74,647
- vs nation
- R+37.3
- Lead
- 22,850
- Total
- 63,433
- vs nation
- R+44.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+0.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 219,0652024 5-year
- Population density
- 696 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 315 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $116,3422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+66.3 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+76.8 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 18, NC · twin score 89.0
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 12th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
49.4%
68,487 votes · D+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 47.5%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
67.3%
59,548 votes · R+35.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 58.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
68,487votes
49.4% of the vote · D+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 62,574 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
68,223votes
49.2% of the vote · D+0.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 66,723 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+1.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+0.2 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −7.6 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+32.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.2 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +25.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Virginia 12th State Senate District sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 66.3 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 76.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.2 points.
A population of 219,065, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $116,342 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 18 and State Senate District 13.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 12th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.