akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 12·Virginia

Virginia 12th State Senate District votes the way the country votes.

One of Virginia's most Democratic state senate districts by 2024 margin

1876 — 2024·38 elections
VA
Latest
D+7
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
290,788
2024 ACS

Virginia 12th State Senate District, Virginia: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+7%. Democratic peak: D+75 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+7MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
290,7882024 5-year
Median household income
$100,3322024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
58.4%2024 5-year
Black
23.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
11.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+75 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+61 in 1984MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
2 counties · 1 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+6.7%
84,36873,672160,828
D
+4.3%
80,07973,288156,145
R
−4.5%
60,82666,991135,611
R
−9.8%
58,56571,497131,902
R
−9.8%
56,14268,456125,708
R
−27.6%
37,64066,500104,702
R
−29.6%
29,95655,92587,767
R
−29.5%
23,56945,46874,215
R
−29.5%
21,92746,11581,879
R
−52.1%
15,07748,40363,920
R
−60.9%
11,12145,95257,225
R
−46.4%
11,10432,33145,700
R
−31.3%
12,58724,33237,511
R
−52.1%
7,97725,88734,399
R
−40.8%
4,76918,51633,729
R
−20.4%
11,22617,00928,325
R
−20.8%
5,5078,42514,008
R
−18.7%
3,3375,20610,020
R
−9.8%
3,3894,1257,528
D
+24.8%
1,8751,0303,411
D
+51.9%
2,0636502,720
D
+58.1%
2,4196343,073
D
+59.9%
1,8194482,288
D
+43.0%
1,3605241,946
R
−10.1%
7809561,736
D
+51.7%
697203955
D
+51.7%
695218922
D
+64.9%
504102619
D
+75.5%
50644612
D
+55.5%
438120573
D
+58.3%
431109552
D
+21.3%
9876381,641
D
+14.9%
1,2459182,189
D
+16.1%
1,2608952,264
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
14.2%
German
10.3%
Irish
8.6%
American
6.1%
Italian
4.3%
Scottish
1.7%
Polish
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.0%
2.1%
75–84
2.7%
4.5%
65–74
5.4%
6.0%
55–64
6.6%
6.3%
45–54
6.6%
6.7%
35–44
7.3%
5.8%
25–34
6.4%
4.2%
18–24
4.2%
9.2%
5–17
8.6%
2.9%
<5
3.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$100,332
State Senate District 12 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 12$100,332
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
7.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 188.9%
Working age (18–64)6.5%
Seniors (65+)7.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.3%
speak English only
Spanish8.6%
Other Indo-European2.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.9%
Other languages0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
15.3%
Other Christian
12.0%
Baptist
9.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
5.5%
Methodist
5.4%
Mainline Protestant
2.8%
Non-Christian
2.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 47.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of D+41.7, this Northern Virginia district ranks among the state's most heavily Democratic constituencies, reflecting the dense, highly educated suburban and urban electorate concentrated in its boundaries.

The Democratic margin in Virginia 12th State Senate District has rarely exceeded seventy-five points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty-one points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by seven points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 58% non-Hispanic-white share, a 7% poverty rate, and a median household income of $100,332 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 12, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 12, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 12, Virginia voted Democratic by 6.7 points (D+7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 160,828 votes cast, 84,368 went Democratic and 73,672 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 12, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 12, Virginia as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 12, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 12, Virginia voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in State Senate District 12, Virginia?
State Senate District 12, Virginia has a population of 290,788 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 12, Virginia?
Median household income in State Senate District 12, Virginia is $100,332 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of State Senate District 12, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 12, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.