akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 15·Virginia

Virginia 15th State Senate District delivered D+29 in 2024 — Democratic for decades.

One of Virginia's most Republican-leaning legislative districts

1876 — 2024·38 elections
VA
Latest
D+29
in 2024
Archetype
Democratic loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
170,776
2024 ACS

Virginia 15th State Senate District, Virginia: Democratic loyalist district. In 2024, voted D+29%. Democratic peak: D+79 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+29MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
Population
170,7762024 5-year
Median household income
$87,5892024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
52.1%2024 5-year
Black
30.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
11.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+79 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+35 in 1956MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
4 counties · 3 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+28.7%
56,77131,06389,724
D
+28.6%
56,10930,74388,542
D
+22.4%
45,79028,14578,664
D
+16.2%
43,32631,06175,501
D
+17.2%
41,72829,40471,744
R
−1.5%
28,64729,51558,512
R
−4.6%
22,96725,27449,747
R
−2.9%
20,49621,78445,162
R
−2.6%
21,41922,73651,185
R
−18.9%
17,26125,42243,116
R
−18.9%
17,94526,37744,504
R
−7.8%
17,34820,46539,837
R
−4.7%
16,70918,37935,584
R
−31.0%
10,53420,19631,156
R
−9.0%
10,98013,67530,006
R
−0.5%
12,53912,65325,204
R
−22.0%
6,71010,53117,340
R
−34.6%
3,9989,43415,695
R
−19.4%
6,4869,62216,135
D
+7.7%
5,4284,55411,402
D
+44.9%
7,2492,74710,017
D
+53.1%
6,4571,9688,454
D
+61.1%
6,0691,4527,554
D
+43.6%
4,7051,8036,660
R
−3.4%
3,2193,4456,664
D
+54.2%
3,0998214,203
D
+52.8%
4,5191,3745,954
D
+69.2%
2,1913852,611
D
+78.5%
1,8041332,128
D
+55.9%
1,4564031,883
D
+69.8%
1,3192231,570
D
+33.0%
2,3071,1523,499
D
+18.8%
2,9521,9965,090
D
+43.6%
3,7401,4425,275
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.8%
German
9.6%
Irish
8.6%
American
5.1%
Italian
4.1%
Scottish
1.8%
Polish
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
0.9%
1.8%
75–84
2.4%
4.3%
65–74
5.2%
5.7%
55–64
6.4%
5.8%
45–54
6.1%
6.9%
35–44
7.2%
7.5%
25–34
8.3%
4.5%
18–24
5.0%
7.9%
5–17
7.6%
3.0%
<5
2.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$87,589
State Senate District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 15$87,589
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.4%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.3%
Working age (18–64)10.1%
Seniors (65+)10.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.7%
speak English only
Spanish8.7%
Other Indo-European2.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other languages0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
14.8%
Baptist
12.5%
Other Christian
12.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
5.7%
Mainline Protestant
4.8%
Methodist
4.5%
Non-Christian
3.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 42.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+47.5, this district anchors the deeply conservative rural southwest, where GOP candidates routinely run up some of the largest margins in the state.

The Democratic margin in Virginia 15th State Senate District reached its widest at seventy-nine points in 1912. The margin in 2024 was twenty-nine points — still decisive.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $87,589, a 52% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 170,776 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 15, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 15, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 15, Virginia voted Democratic by 28.7 points (D+29), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 89,724 votes cast, 56,771 went Democratic and 31,063 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 15, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 15, Virginia as a "Democratic loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 15 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 15, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 15, Virginia voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in State Senate District 15, Virginia?
State Senate District 15, Virginia has a population of 170,776 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 15, Virginia?
Median household income in State Senate District 15, Virginia is $87,589 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of State Senate District 15, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 15, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Democratic loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.