- Lead
- 21,413
- Total
- 118,790
- vs nation
- D+19.5
Virginia 16th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 19,714
- Total
- 117,903
- vs nation
- D+12.3
- Lead
- 7,453
- Total
- 105,722
- vs nation
- D+5.0
- Lead
- 3,003
- Total
- 105,702
- vs nation
- R+6.7
- Lead
- 2,635
- Total
- 100,775
- vs nation
- R+9.9
- Lead
- 20,236
- Total
- 89,337
- vs nation
- R+20.2
- Lead
- 20,376
- Total
- 77,276
- vs nation
- R+26.9
- Lead
- 18,066
- Total
- 69,232
- vs nation
- R+34.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+18.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 218,7302024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,629 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 83.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $101,1982024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+62.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 42, NC · twin score 90.5
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 16th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
58.2%
69,080 votes · D+18.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 57.5%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
61.0%
54,455 votes · R+22.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 50.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
69,080votes
58.2% of the vote · D+18.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 67,762 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
54,455votes
61.0% of the vote · R+22.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 53,400 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+19.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+18.0 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +12.3 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+20.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+22.7 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +9.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Virginia 16th State Senate District sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 62.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 77.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.0 points.
A population of 218,730, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $101,198 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 42 and State Senate District 16.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 16th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.