akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 16·Virginia

Virginia 16th State Senate District changed direction in the last decade — D+29 in 2024.

One of Virginia's most Democratic-leaning state senate seats

18762024·38 elections
VA
Latest
D+29
in 2024
Archetype
Recent convert
since the recent cycles
Population
116,667
2024 ACS

Virginia 16th State Senate District, Virginia: Recent convert district. In 2024, voted D+29%. Democratic peak: D+73 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+29MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Recent convertAkashic typology
Population
116,6672024 5-year
Median household income
$88,7832024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
50.5%2024 5-year
Black
29.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+73 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+50 in 1984MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 1 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+28.7%
39,97521,85163,065
D
+29.0%
40,50722,04563,643
D
+20.8%
32,64120,80056,827
D
+11.8%
31,13324,48056,377
D
+12.2%
29,99623,41453,849
R
−8.2%
21,14924,95346,361
R
−12.5%
16,90421,85239,701
R
−13.0%
14,28918,91435,441
R
−18.5%
12,79019,77637,830
R
−39.3%
9,37521,64331,235
R
−49.8%
7,41422,19229,692
R
−39.0%
7,30517,55026,253
R
−34.3%
7,55115,77823,970
R
−40.1%
1,0752,5483,671
R
−46.8%
2,98811,88819,017
R
−26.0%
9951,6952,693
R
−33.6%
3,3456,75710,159
R
−36.3%
1,7494,4147,332
R
−33.3%
1,8553,7125,572
D
+4.6%
8077271,727
D
+41.4%
1,0624391,505
D
+33.0%
1,3886972,094
D
+47.2%
1,2544471,709
D
+30.1%
8544491,347
R
−16.6%
4696561,124
D
+39.6%
366145558
D
+51.1%
375117505
D
+64.7%
24049295
D
+73.3%
33132408
D
+48.6%
21875294
D
+54.9%
30986406
D
+34.6%
7613651,144
D
+12.2%
8106311,463
D
+12.0%
8256431,514
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.2%
German
8.2%
Irish
7.6%
American
6.8%
Italian
3.5%
Scottish
2.1%
Polish
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
83.6%
speak English only
Spanish4.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander4.9%
Other Indo-European4.5%
Other languages2.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
14.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
14.8%
Non-Christian
8.2%
Other Christian
5.7%
Methodist
4.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.0%
Mainline Protestant
2.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of D+38.7, this Northern Virginia district ranks among the most heavily Democratic in the state, reflecting the dense, highly educated suburban and urban population concentrated within its boundaries.

The 2008 election was the turning point, when the Democratic candidate carried the district by twelve points. The 2024 margin was twenty-nine points, in line with the district's new direction.

The demographics suggest why. A population of 116,667, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,783 situate the district in the broader realignment patterns of recent cycles.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 16, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 16, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 16, Virginia voted Democratic by 28.7 points (D+29), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 63,065 votes cast, 39,975 went Democratic and 21,851 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 16, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 16, Virginia as a "Recent convert" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 15 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 16, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 16, Virginia voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in State Senate District 16, Virginia?
State Senate District 16, Virginia has a population of 116,667 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 16, Virginia?
Median household income in State Senate District 16, Virginia is $88,783 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of State Senate District 16, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 16, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Recent convert" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.