- Lead
- 34,070
- Total
- 120,585
- vs nation
- R+26.8
Virginia 1st State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 30,327
- Total
- 114,977
- vs nation
- R+30.8
- Lead
- 30,812
- Total
- 97,777
- vs nation
- R+33.6
- Lead
- 20,563
- Total
- 90,523
- vs nation
- R+26.6
- Lead
- 14,003
- Total
- 86,518
- vs nation
- R+23.5
- Lead
- 22,884
- Total
- 75,602
- vs nation
- R+27.8
- Lead
- 16,367
- Total
- 61,180
- vs nation
- R+27.3
- Lead
- 9,640
- Total
- 53,135
- vs nation
- R+26.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 219,2352024 5-year
- Population density
- 166 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,321 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $84,1002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67.9 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.5 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 37, IN · twin score 92.9
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 1st State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
41.1%
35,595 votes · R+16.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 37.5%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
64.6%
48,830 votes · R+30.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 63.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
42,555votes
35.3% of the vote · R+28.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 41,176 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
76,625votes
63.5% of the vote · R+28.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 71,503 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
−23.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+16.2 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · −26.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+33.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+31.5 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +30.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Anchored in Virginia's southwestern corner, this district delivered a 13-point Republican margin in 2024, reflecting the broader rightward shift that has reshaped rural Appalachian Virginia over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.9 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 53.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.3 points.
A population of 219,235, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,100 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 37 and State Senate District 1.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 1st State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.