akashic
1876–2024
Winchester, Virginia
Winchester city·Virginia

Winchester city delivered a near-tie in 2024.

An independent city in the lower Shenandoah Valley trending Democratic

18762024·38 elections
Winchester, Virginia · APK · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+10
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
27,913
2024 ACS
Most similar
Staunton city
VA · similarity 0.98
6 precincts · 11,894 votes cast
Harris · D+10
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+9.7%
6,4075,25211,894
2020D
+11.5%
6,6105,22112,106
2016D
+3.5%
5,1644,79010,665
2012D
+1.4%
5,0944,94610,296
2008D
+5.4%
5,2684,72510,126
2004R
−14.1%
3,9675,2839,343
2000R
−12.6%
3,3184,3147,886
1996R
−9.1%
3,0273,6817,222
1992R
−13.8%
2,7683,8337,701
1988R
−32.0%
2,3004,4976,862
1984R
−41.8%
2,0645,0557,152
1980R
−33.7%
2,0064,2406,623
1976R
−26.7%
2,3464,0756,484
1972R
−52.5%
1,4184,6476,151
1968R
−27.6%
1,3602,6954,833
1964D
+1.7%
2,2542,1804,437
1960R
−31.7%
1,2032,3263,545
1956R
−41.8%
9452,3753,419
1952R
−38.5%
1,0552,3753,432
1948R
−14.8%
8941,2722,546
1944R
−4.5%
1,0001,0952,102
1940D
+8.2%
1,1149452,067
1936D
+19.1%
1,0967431,851
1932D
+25.2%
1,1796981,910
1928R
−19.1%
7941,1681,962
1924D
+31.8%
8204201,258
1920D
+15.1%
7365401,300
1916D
+39.8%
468196684
1912D
+45.2%
447141677
1908D
+24.6%
449266744
1904D
+44.8%
394146553
1900D
+16.6%
5934231,027
1896D
+4.4%
490447986
1892D
+10.4%
5794681,072
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
6.3%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
35.3%
Methodist
12.0%
Other Christian
10.9%
Mainline Protestant
10.3%
Baptist
3.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.7%
Non-Christian
2.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 23.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Winchester, one of Virginia's oldest independent cities, has shifted noticeably leftward over the past decade, posting a D+9.8 margin in 2024 — a significant departure from its historically Republican-leaning Shenandoah Valley surroundings.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached forty-five points in 1912; the Republican margin reached fifty-two points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Winchester city's demographics — a population of 27,913, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $63,974 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Staunton city and DuPage County.