Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Winchester, VA-WV
presidential margin
2008R+17.12012R+24.22016R+31.62020R+25.52024R+27.1
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+27.1
2024
median income$85,664U.S. $80,734 · VA $93,170
median age41.3U.S. 39.1
poverty rate10.6%U.S. 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)29.6%U.S. 35.6%
non-english11.7%U.S. 22.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German16.5%
English13.9%
Irish12.8%
Mexican4.3%
Salvadoran2.0%
Puerto Rican1.4%
African American†3.8%
Jamaican0.2%
Asian Indian0.4%
Filipino0.4%
Chinese0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline12.1%
Latter-day Saints1.5%
Other Christian0.9%
Muslim0.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia

Akashic
Winchester, VA-WVTrumpR+27.1
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Winchester, VA-WV, VAA map of the constituent counties of Winchester, VA-WV, VA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Frederick County, VA · R+28.3Winchester city, VA · D+9.7Hampshire County, WV · R+62.6
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican62.7%46,833
Kamala HarrisDemocratic35.7%26,628
Jill SteinGreen1.6%1,196
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (3 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Winchester, VA-WV, VA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Frederick County, VARepublicanR+28.3
Hampshire County, WVRepublicanR+62.6
Winchester city, VADemocraticD+9.7
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
35.7%Harris26,628
62.7%Trump46,833
1.6%Stein1,196
−27.1%
74,657
R
36.3%Biden25,756
61.8%Trump43,812
1.9%Jorgensen1,327
−25.5%
70,895
R
31.2%Clinton18,676
62.8%Trump37,565
5.9%Johnson3,543
−31.6%
59,784
R
36.7%Obama20,083
60.9%Romney33,327
2.4%Johnson1,299
−24.2%
54,709
R
40.7%Obama21,212
57.8%McCain30,096
1.5%Nader776
−17.1%
52,084
R
33.3%Kerry15,275
65.7%Bush30,158
1.0%Badnarik446
−32.4%
45,879
R
34.5%Gore12,545
62.6%Bush22,767
2.9%Nader1,063
−28.1%
36,375
R
36.1%Clinton11,338
54.4%Dole17,103
9.5%Perot2,974
−18.4%
31,415
R
32.1%Clinton10,075
51.1%Bush16,025
16.7%Perot5,240
−19.0%
31,340
R
31.2%Dukakis8,092
68.1%Bush17,671
0.7%Fulani179
−36.9%
25,942
R
26.7%Mondale6,837
72.9%Reagan18,662
0.4%Larouche107
−46.2%
25,606
R
32.5%Carter7,476
62.7%Reagan14,412
4.8%Anderson1,107
−30.2%
22,995
R
43.4%Carter8,839
55.7%Ford11,334
0.9%Camejo184
−12.3%
20,357
R
25.9%McGovern4,659
72.7%Nixon13,098
1.4%Schmitz254
−46.9%
18,011
R
28.5%Humphrey4,763
49.9%Nixon8,350
21.6%Wallace3,618
−21.4%
16,731
D
57.7%Johnson8,515
42.2%Goldwater6,238
0.1%Hass12
+15.4%
14,765
R
45.5%Kennedy5,809
54.3%Nixon6,928
0.3%Byrd33
−8.8%
12,770
R
39.8%Stevenson4,706
58.7%Eisenhower6,933
1.5%Andrews172
−18.9%
11,811
R
42.9%Stevenson4,772
57.1%Eisenhower6,351
0.1%Hallinan7
−14.2%
11,130
D
51.9%Truman4,495
40.9%Dewey3,544
7.3%Thurmond629
+11.0%
8,668
D
56.1%Roosevelt4,698
43.8%Dewey3,671
0.1%Thomas12
+12.3%
8,381
D
63.4%Roosevelt6,022
36.5%Willkie3,469
0.1%Thomas10
+26.9%
9,501
D
67.9%Roosevelt6,274
31.6%Landon2,920
0.4%Lemke40
+36.3%
9,234
D
71.8%Roosevelt6,396
27.1%Hoover2,412
1.2%Thomas106
+44.7%
8,914
D
50.6%Smith4,066
49.2%Hoover3,953
0.2%Thomas15
+1.4%
8,034
D
70.3%Davis5,127
28.5%Coolidge2,076
1.2%La Follette86
+41.9%
7,289
D
61.3%Cox4,294
37.5%Harding2,629
1.1%Debs80
+23.8%
7,003
D
73.9%Wilson3,843
25.1%Hughes1,307
1.0%Benson51
+48.8%
5,201
D
72.1%Wilson3,146
16.7%Taft728
11.2%Roosevelt491
+55.4%
4,365
D
69.2%Bryan3,088
29.2%Taft1,303
1.7%Debs74
+40.0%
4,465
D
71.1%Parker3,130
26.4%Roosevelt1,162
2.5%Debs111
+44.7%
4,403
D
70.6%Bryan4,364
28.4%McKinley1,753
1.0%Woolley63
+42.2%
6,180
D
67.2%Bryan4,247
31.2%McKinley1,968
1.6%Palmer101
+36.1%
6,316
D
70.3%Cleveland4,492
26.4%Harrison1,691
3.3%Weaver211
+43.8%
6,394
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −27.1% in 2024.flipped R · 1968−27.1%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+43.8%
1896+36.1%
1900+42.2%
1904+44.7%
1908+40.0%
1912+55.4%
1916+48.8%
1920+23.8%
1924+41.9%
1928+1.4%
1932+44.7%
1936+36.3%
1940+26.9%
1944+12.3%
1948+11.0%
1952−14.2%
1956−18.9%
1960−8.8%
1964+15.4%
1968−21.4%
1972−46.9%
1976−12.3%
1980−30.2%
1984−46.2%
1988−36.9%
1992−19.0%
1996−18.4%
2000−28.1%
2004−32.4%
2008−17.1%
2012−24.2%
2016−31.6%
2020−25.5%
2024−27.1%
DemocraticRepublican

Winchester spans the Virginia–West Virginia line along the lower Shenandoah Valley, drawing commuters from the D.C. corridor whose arrival has gradually narrowed what were once double-digit Republican margins in federal races.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 55.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 46.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.1 points.

A population of 146,386, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,664 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA and Gettysburg, PA.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA
81.2twin score
12-yr trend2000–2012 trajectory
Gettysburg, PA
79.8twin score
2000–2004 trajectorymedian incomeelasticity≠ German ancestry
Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
79.3twin score
elasticity2004–2016 trajectory% Catholic

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/49020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Winchester, VA-WV

counties3
Frederick CountyHampshire CountyWinchester city

Frequently asked questions

How did Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia voted Republican by 27.1 points (R+27.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 74,657 votes cast, 26,628 went Democratic and 46,833 went Republican.
When did Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia?
Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia has a population of 146,386 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia?
Median household income in Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia is $85,664 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.