HarrisDemocratic35.7%26,628TrumpRepublican62.7%46,833OliverLibertarian0.4%310
R+27.1- Lead
- 20,205
- Total
- 74,657
- vs nation
- R+25.6
Akashicmetro area
Winchester, VA-WV
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
3 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic36.3%25,756TrumpRepublican61.8%43,812OtherAll other candidates1.9%1,327
R+25.5- Lead
- 18,056
- Total
- 70,895
- vs nation
- R+29.9
ClintonDemocratic31.2%18,676TrumpRepublican62.8%37,565OtherAll other candidates5.9%3,543
R+31.6- Lead
- 18,889
- Total
- 59,784
- vs nation
- R+33.7
ObamaDemocratic36.7%20,083RomneyRepublican60.9%33,327OtherAll other candidates2.4%1,299
R+24.2- Lead
- 13,244
- Total
- 54,709
- vs nation
- R+28.1
ObamaDemocratic40.7%21,212McCainRepublican57.8%30,096OtherAll other candidates1.5%776
R+17.1- Lead
- 8,884
- Total
- 52,084
- vs nation
- R+24.3
KerryDemocratic33.3%15,275BushRepublican65.7%30,158OtherAll other candidates1.0%446
R+32.4- Lead
- 14,883
- Total
- 45,879
- vs nation
- R+30.0
GoreDemocratic34.5%12,545BushRepublican62.6%22,767OtherAll other candidates2.9%1,063
R+28.1- Lead
- 10,222
- Total
- 36,375
- vs nation
- R+28.6
ClintonDemocratic36.1%11,338DoleRepublican54.4%17,103OtherAll other candidates9.5%2,974
R+18.4- Lead
- 5,765
- Total
- 31,415
- vs nation
- R+26.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+27.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 146,3862024 5-year
- Population density
- 138 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,063 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $85,6642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+55.4 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.9 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA · twin score 81.2
presidential history
Party record book
Winchester, VA-WV · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1916
73.9%
3,843 votes · D+48.8
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · 72.1%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
72.9%
18,662 votes · R+46.2
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 72.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
26,628votes
35.7% of the vote · R+27.1
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 25,756 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
46,833votes
62.7% of the vote · R+27.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 43,812 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+67.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+41.9 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +64.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+33.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+31.6 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +30.0 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+37.7
Presidential vote · 2024R+27.1
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 11 points more Democratic than the rolls.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 (partial) | 15,117 | 2,536 | 8,239 | 3,869 | 473 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+2,079 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +15,001 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +716 |
| 2012 | +473 |
| 2013 | +873 |
| 2014 | +634 |
| 2015 | +110 |
| 2016 | +734 |
| 2017 | +1,687 |
| 2018 | +963 |
| 2019 | +781 |
| 2021 | +2,539 |
| 2022 | +725 |
| 2023 | +994 |
| 2024 | +1,693 |
| 2025 | +2,079 |
Winchester spans the Virginia–West Virginia line along the lower Shenandoah Valley, drawing commuters from the D.C. corridor whose arrival has gradually narrowed what were once double-digit Republican margins in federal races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 55.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 46.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.1 points.
A population of 146,386, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,664 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA and Gettysburg, PA.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA
81.2twin score
12-yr trend2000–2012 trajectory
Gettysburg, PA
79.8twin score
2000–2004 trajectorymedian incomeelasticity≠ German ancestry
Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
79.3twin score
elasticity2004–2016 trajectory% Catholic
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/49020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Winchester, VA-WV
Frequently asked questions
How did Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia voted Republican by 27.1 points (R+27.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 74,657 votes cast, 26,628 went Democratic and 46,833 went Republican.
When did Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia?
Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia has a population of 146,386 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia?
Median household income in Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia is $85,664 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.