- Lead
- 35,677
- Total
- 110,407
- vs nation
- R+30.8
Virginia 2nd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 32,778
- Total
- 103,514
- vs nation
- R+36.1
- Lead
- 30,783
- Total
- 92,382
- vs nation
- R+35.4
- Lead
- 24,402
- Total
- 85,192
- vs nation
- R+32.5
- Lead
- 20,436
- Total
- 83,040
- vs nation
- R+31.9
- Lead
- 29,284
- Total
- 72,115
- vs nation
- R+38.1
- Lead
- 24,186
- Total
- 61,356
- vs nation
- R+39.9
- Lead
- 15,615
- Total
- 55,172
- vs nation
- R+36.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 214,4362024 5-year
- Population density
- 75 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,854 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,0872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+70.8 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.8 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 20, MO · twin score 92.1
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 2nd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
37.1%
30,773 votes · R+24.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 34.7%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
69.7%
50,276 votes · R+40.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 65.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
36,713votes
33.3% of the vote · R+32.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 34,396 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
72,390votes
65.6% of the vote · R+32.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 67,174 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−30.8pts D vs U.S.
Place R+32.3 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −31.9 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+38.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+40.6 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +36.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Virginia 2nd State Senate District sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 70.8 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 58.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.3 points.
A population of 214,436, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,087 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 20 and State Senate District 2.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 2nd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51002/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.