- Lead
- 34,840
- Total
- 119,695
- vs nation
- R+27.6
Virginia 3rd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 32,697
- Total
- 116,794
- vs nation
- R+32.5
- Lead
- 31,050
- Total
- 102,632
- vs nation
- R+32.3
- Lead
- 21,855
- Total
- 100,028
- vs nation
- R+25.7
- Lead
- 18,291
- Total
- 98,678
- vs nation
- R+25.8
- Lead
- 26,264
- Total
- 90,322
- vs nation
- R+26.6
- Lead
- 18,619
- Total
- 78,623
- vs nation
- R+24.2
- Lead
- 8,477
- Total
- 73,083
- vs nation
- R+20.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+29.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 212,3242024 5-year
- Population density
- 91 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,321 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $69,6422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46.9 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.3 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 46, NC · twin score 94.8
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 3rd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
40.1%
39,586 votes · R+18.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 38.2%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
64.1%
57,872 votes · R+29.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 64.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
41,850votes
35.0% of the vote · R+29.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 40,954 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
76,690votes
64.1% of the vote · R+29.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 73,651 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
−25.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+21.8 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −25.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+32.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+28.0 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +32.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Virginia 3rd State Senate District sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.9 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 51.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.1 points.
A population of 212,324, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,642 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 46 and State Senate District 47.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 3rd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.