- Lead
- 765
- Total
- 2,895
- vs nation
- D+27.9
- Turnout
- 43.4%
Lexington city, VA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 43.4% of 6,718 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 885
- Total
- 2,762
- vs nation
- D+27.6
- Turnout
- 42.8%
- Lead
- 748
- Total
- 2,465
- vs nation
- D+28.3
- Turnout
- 39.7%
- Lead
- 340
- Total
- 2,687
- vs nation
- D+8.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 629
- Total
- 2,479
- vs nation
- D+18.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 358
- Total
- 2,349
- vs nation
- D+17.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 91
- Total
- 2,140
- vs nation
- D+3.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 209
- Total
- 2,045
- vs nation
- D+1.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+26.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 7,5252024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,010 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $84,5172024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+32.0 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Charlottesville city, VA · twin score 87.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 43.4%2,916 participants ÷ 6,718 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.2 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -12.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 32.2%–35.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,515 | 6,333 | 39.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,178 | 6,370 | 34.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,767 | 6,459 | 42.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,086 | 6,590 | 31.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,916 | 6,718 | 43.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
2 precincts · 2,895 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -001 - LEXINGTON001 - LEXINGTON | 1,795 | 1,030 | 70 | 2,895 | 62.0% | 35.6% | D+26.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington51678000001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Lexington city, VA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1964–2024 · 16 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
64.8%
1,791 votes · D+32.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 62.2%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
77.3%
3,626 votes · R+56.1
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1968 · 56.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
2,498votes
43.9% of the vote · R+12.0
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,795 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
3,626votes
77.3% of the vote · R+56.1
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · 3,183 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+28.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+30.3 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +27.9 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+34.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+12.0 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +33.0 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 4,325 |
| 2018 | 4,018 |
| 2020 | 4,223 |
| 2022 | 4,193 |
| 2024 | 4,333 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+29 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +627 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $73,805 in average income, against $99,130 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+33.6 on average — 60 points more Republican-leaning than Lexington city, VA itself (D+26.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Rockbridge County, VA64R+33.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Rockbridge County, VA74
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −55 |
| 2012 | +52 |
| 2013 | +142 |
| 2014 | +4 |
| 2015 | +55 |
| 2016 | +22 |
| 2017 | +51 |
| 2018 | +94 |
| 2019 | +91 |
| 2021 | +91 |
| 2022 | −23 |
| 2023 | −47 |
| 2024 | +121 |
| 2025 | +29 |
Home to Washington and Lee University and VMI, Lexington's electorate skews heavily toward the Democratic column despite its location in deeply rural Rockbridge County, with the 2024 presidential margin reaching nearly 27 points.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.0 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 56.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.4 points.
A population of 7,525, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,517 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Charlottesville city and Fredericksburg city.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lexington city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51678/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.