HarrisDemocratic35.5%214,836TrumpRepublican63.1%382,057OtherAll other candidates0.4%2,439
R+27.6- Lead
- 167,221
- Total
- 605,233
- vs nation
- R+26.2
Akashicmedia market
Roanoke-Lynchburg
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
36 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic37.1%221,321TrumpRepublican61.2%365,309OtherAll other candidates1.8%10,663
R+24.1- Lead
- 143,988
- Total
- 597,293
- vs nation
- R+28.6
ClintonDemocratic34.6%188,949TrumpRepublican60.3%328,884OtherAll other candidates5.1%27,622
R+25.7- Lead
- 139,935
- Total
- 545,455
- vs nation
- R+27.7
ObamaDemocratic40.4%215,201RomneyRepublican57.5%306,212OtherAll other candidates2.1%11,370
R+17.1- Lead
- 91,011
- Total
- 532,783
- vs nation
- R+20.9
ObamaDemocratic43.2%228,112McCainRepublican55.6%293,728OtherAll other candidates1.3%6,795
R+12.4- Lead
- 65,616
- Total
- 528,635
- vs nation
- R+19.7
KerryDemocratic39.0%184,432BushRepublican60.0%283,347OtherAll other candidates1.0%4,772
R+20.9- Lead
- 98,915
- Total
- 472,551
- vs nation
- R+18.5
GoreDemocratic40.0%168,461BushRepublican57.0%240,124OtherAll other candidates2.9%12,393
R+17.0- Lead
- 71,663
- Total
- 420,978
- vs nation
- R+17.5
ClintonDemocratic42.7%167,077DoleRepublican47.3%184,954OtherAll other candidates10.1%39,338
R+4.6- Lead
- 17,877
- Total
- 391,369
- vs nation
- R+13.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+27.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 1,142,8742024 5-year
- Population density
- 86 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 13,298 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $63,8492024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38.7 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Tri-Cities, TN-VA · twin score 82.6
presidential history
Party record book
Roanoke-Lynchburg · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
67.1%
60,022 votes · D+35.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 66.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
71.9%
234,367 votes · R+46.1
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 64.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
228,112votes
43.2% of the vote · R+12.4
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 221,321 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
382,057votes
63.1% of the vote · R+27.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 365,309 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+49.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+24.3 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +42.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+28.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+24.1 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +27.7 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+20.2
Presidential vote · 2024R+27.6
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.5 points more Republican than the rolls.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 (partial) | 5,498 | 1,320 | 2,429 | 1,646 | 103 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+4,473 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +18,841 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −447 |
| 2012 | −25 |
| 2013 | +1,621 |
| 2014 | −35 |
| 2015 | −421 |
| 2016 | −1,203 |
| 2017 | −589 |
| 2018 | +1,330 |
| 2019 | −43 |
| 2021 | +2,883 |
| 2022 | +3,302 |
| 2023 | +4,514 |
| 2024 | +3,481 |
| 2025 | +4,473 |
The Roanoke-Lynchburg market spans the Blue Ridge Mountains and Piedmont foothills, blending mid-size urban centers with deeply rural counties that have shifted reliably toward Republican margins at the federal level since the 1990s.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 46.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.6 points.
A population of 1,142,874, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,849 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tri-Cities, TN-VA and Lexington.
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Tri-Cities, TN-VA
82.6twin score
American ancestry% Catholic% Evangelical≠ 2024 margin
Lexington
Kentucky
80.0twin score
% EvangelicalAmerican ancestry% Catholic≠ median age
Birmingham (Anniston and Tuscaloosa)
Alabama
76.2twin score
% Catholic2016–2024 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/573/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Roanoke-Lynchburg
counties36
Alleghany CountyAmherst CountyAppomattox CountyBath CountyBedford CountyBland CountyBotetourt CountyBuena Vista cityCampbell CountyCarroll CountyCharlotte CountyCovington cityCraig CountyDanville cityFloyd CountyFranklin CountyGalax cityGiles CountyGrayson CountyHalifax CountyHenry CountyHighland CountyLexington cityLynchburg city+12 more
Frequently asked questions
How did Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia voted Republican by 27.6 points (R+27.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 605,233 votes cast, 214,836 went Democratic and 382,057 went Republican.
When did Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia?
Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia has a population of 1,142,874 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia?
Median household income in Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia is $63,849 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.