Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Roanoke-Lynchburg
presidential margin
2008R+12.42012R+17.12016R+25.72020R+24.12024R+27.6
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+27.6
2024
median income$63,849U.S. $80,734 · VA $93,170
median age42.1U.S. 39.1
poverty rate15.0%U.S. 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)28.6%U.S. 35.6%
non-english5.7%U.S. 22.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
American16.6%
English14.3%
German9.5%
African American†12.9%
African0.8%
Mexican1.8%
Puerto Rican0.5%
Honduran0.4%
Asian Indian0.4%
Chinese0.3%
Vietnamese0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline10.9%
Black Protestant1.8%
Latter-day Saints1.2%
Other Christian0.8%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia

Akashic
Roanoke-LynchburgTrumpR+27.6
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Roanoke-Lynchburg, VAA map of the constituent counties of Roanoke-Lynchburg, VA, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Pittsylvania County, VA · R+43.1Lynchburg city, VA · R+7.9Rockbridge County, VA · R+33.6Covington city, VA · R+33.2Pocahontas County, WV · R+50.3Radford city, VA · D+0.5Montgomery County, VA · D+3.5Wythe County, VA · R+59.4Highland County, VA · R+44.2Appomattox County, VA · R+50.8Franklin County, VA · R+45.1Nelson County, VA · R+7.5Craig County, VA · R+64.4Amherst County, VA · R+36.4Salem city, VA · R+19.2Roanoke County, VA · R+22.4Roanoke city, VA · D+23.5Giles County, VA · R+54.3Carroll County, VA · R+63.1Campbell County, VA · R+48.4Floyd County, VA · R+37.1Charlotte County, VA · R+32.5Henry County, VA · R+32.8Bland County, VA · R+69.6Botetourt County, VA · R+45.0Bedford County, VA · R+50.1Pulaski County, VA · R+44.5Lexington city, VA · D+26.4Grayson County, VA · R+62.1Halifax County, VA · R+21.0Martinsville city, VA · D+22.6Buena Vista city, VA · R+44.2Bath County, VA · R+53.7Galax city, VA · R+43.8Alleghany County, VA · R+48.0Danville city, VA · D+21.0
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican63.1%382,057
Kamala HarrisDemocratic35.5%214,836
Jill SteinGreen1.4%8,340
D+60
R+60
36 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (36 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Roanoke-Lynchburg, VA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Alleghany County, VARepublicanR+48.0
Amherst County, VARepublicanR+36.4
Appomattox County, VARepublicanR+50.8
Bath County, VARepublicanR+53.7
Bedford County, VARepublicanR+50.1
Bland County, VARepublicanR+69.6
Botetourt County, VARepublicanR+45.0
Buena Vista city, VARepublicanR+44.2
Campbell County, VARepublicanR+48.4
Carroll County, VARepublicanR+63.1
Charlotte County, VARepublicanR+32.5
Covington city, VARepublicanR+33.2
Craig County, VARepublicanR+64.4
Danville city, VADemocraticD+21.0
Floyd County, VARepublicanR+37.1
Franklin County, VARepublicanR+45.1
Galax city, VARepublicanR+43.8
Giles County, VARepublicanR+54.3
Grayson County, VARepublicanR+62.1
Halifax County, VARepublicanR+21.0
Henry County, VARepublicanR+32.8
Highland County, VARepublicanR+44.2
Lexington city, VADemocraticD+26.4
Lynchburg city, VARepublicanR+7.9
Martinsville city, VADemocraticD+22.6
Montgomery County, VADemocraticD+3.5
Nelson County, VARepublicanR+7.5
Pittsylvania County, VARepublicanR+43.1
Pocahontas County, WVRepublicanR+50.3
Pulaski County, VARepublicanR+44.5
Radford city, VADemocraticD+0.5
Roanoke city, VADemocraticD+23.5
Roanoke County, VARepublicanR+22.4
Rockbridge County, VARepublicanR+33.6
Salem city, VARepublicanR+19.2
Wythe County, VARepublicanR+59.4
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
35.5%Harris214,836
63.1%Trump382,057
1.4%Stein8,340
−27.6%
605,233
R
37.1%Biden221,321
61.2%Trump365,309
1.8%Jorgensen10,663
−24.1%
597,293
R
34.6%Clinton188,949
60.3%Trump328,884
5.1%Johnson27,622
−25.7%
545,455
R
40.4%Obama215,201
57.5%Romney306,212
2.1%Johnson11,370
−17.1%
532,783
R
43.2%Obama228,112
55.6%McCain293,728
1.3%Nader6,795
−12.4%
528,635
R
39.0%Kerry184,432
60.0%Bush283,347
1.0%Badnarik4,772
−20.9%
472,551
R
40.0%Gore168,461
57.0%Bush240,124
2.9%Nader12,393
−17.0%
420,978
R
42.7%Clinton167,077
47.3%Dole184,954
10.1%Perot39,338
−4.6%
391,369
R
39.6%Clinton163,235
46.4%Bush191,366
13.9%Perot57,405
−6.8%
412,006
R
39.4%Dukakis145,749
59.3%Bush219,571
1.3%Fulani4,719
−19.9%
370,039
R
35.1%Mondale135,297
64.1%Reagan246,808
0.8%Larouche3,133
−28.9%
385,238
R
42.9%Carter149,843
52.5%Reagan183,306
4.5%Anderson15,812
−9.6%
348,961
D
49.2%Carter158,580
48.0%Ford154,779
2.7%Camejo8,819
+1.2%
322,178
R
25.8%McGovern84,040
71.9%Nixon234,367
2.3%Schmitz7,438
−46.1%
325,845
R
25.9%Humphrey74,363
45.8%Nixon131,280
28.3%Wallace81,142
−19.8%
286,785
R
48.1%Johnson128,945
51.7%Goldwater138,386
0.2%Hass562
−3.5%
267,893
R
44.2%Kennedy76,721
55.2%Nixon95,706
0.6%Byrd997
−10.9%
173,424
R
37.4%Stevenson62,107
58.2%Eisenhower96,708
4.4%Andrews7,226
−20.8%
166,041
R
41.7%Stevenson65,430
58.0%Eisenhower91,131
0.3%Hallinan450
−16.4%
157,011
D
44.3%Truman49,295
41.7%Dewey46,386
14.1%Thurmond15,649
+2.6%
111,330
D
60.7%Roosevelt64,819
39.1%Dewey41,817
0.2%Thomas229
+21.5%
106,865
D
66.1%Roosevelt67,594
33.6%Willkie34,346
0.3%Thomas357
+32.5%
102,297
D
65.1%Roosevelt68,537
34.5%Landon36,333
0.3%Lemke342
+30.6%
105,212
D
67.1%Roosevelt60,022
31.6%Hoover28,242
1.3%Thomas1,131
+35.6%
89,395
R
44.5%Smith40,561
55.5%Hoover50,573
0.0%Thomas26
−11.0%
91,160
D
60.0%Davis42,650
35.7%Coolidge25,398
4.2%La Follette3,018
+24.3%
71,066
D
57.8%Cox42,415
41.4%Harding30,390
0.7%Debs527
+16.4%
73,332
D
62.8%Wilson31,168
35.7%Hughes17,749
1.5%Benson735
+27.0%
49,652
D
58.6%Wilson25,565
19.8%Taft8,660
21.6%Roosevelt9,414
+38.7%
43,639
D
54.9%Bryan24,244
44.0%Taft19,459
1.1%Debs474
+10.8%
44,177
D
57.7%Parker24,127
40.4%Roosevelt16,870
1.9%Debs810
+17.4%
41,807
D
52.5%Bryan39,451
46.3%McKinley34,765
1.2%Woolley877
+6.2%
75,093
D
51.4%Bryan44,536
47.1%McKinley40,849
1.4%Palmer1,253
+4.3%
86,638
D
55.3%Cleveland46,081
37.6%Harrison31,297
7.1%Weaver5,928
+17.7%
83,306
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −27.6% in 2024.flipped R · 1980−27.6%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+17.7%
1896+4.3%
1900+6.2%
1904+17.4%
1908+10.8%
1912+38.7%
1916+27.0%
1920+16.4%
1924+24.3%
1928−11.0%
1932+35.6%
1936+30.6%
1940+32.5%
1944+21.5%
1948+2.6%
1952−16.4%
1956−20.8%
1960−10.9%
1964−3.5%
1968−19.8%
1972−46.1%
1976+1.2%
1980−9.6%
1984−28.9%
1988−19.9%
1992−6.8%
1996−4.6%
2000−17.0%
2004−20.9%
2008−12.4%
2012−17.1%
2016−25.7%
2020−24.1%
2024−27.6%
DemocraticRepublican

The Roanoke-Lynchburg market spans the Blue Ridge Mountains and Piedmont foothills, blending mid-size urban centers with deeply rural counties that have shifted reliably toward Republican margins at the federal level since the 1990s.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 46.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.6 points.

A population of 1,142,874, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,849 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tri-Cities, TN-VA and Lexington.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Tri-Cities, TN-VA
82.6twin score
American ancestry% Catholic% Evangelical≠ 2024 margin
Lexington
Kentucky
80.0twin score
% EvangelicalAmerican ancestry% Catholic≠ median age
Birmingham (Anniston and Tuscaloosa)
Alabama
76.2twin score
% Catholic2016–2024 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/573/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Roanoke-Lynchburg

counties36
Alleghany CountyAmherst CountyAppomattox CountyBath CountyBedford CountyBland CountyBotetourt CountyBuena Vista cityCampbell CountyCarroll CountyCharlotte CountyCovington cityCraig CountyDanville cityFloyd CountyFranklin CountyGalax cityGiles CountyGrayson CountyHalifax CountyHenry CountyHighland CountyLexington cityLynchburg city+12 more

Frequently asked questions

How did Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia voted Republican by 27.6 points (R+27.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 605,233 votes cast, 214,836 went Democratic and 382,057 went Republican.
When did Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia?
Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia has a population of 1,142,874 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia?
Median household income in Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia is $63,849 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Roanoke-Lynchburg, Virginia from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.