- Lead
- 9,881
- Total
- 21,978
- vs nation
- R+43.5
- Turnout
- 80.2%
Botetourt County, VA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 80.2% of 27,531 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 9,399
- Total
- 21,120
- vs nation
- R+49.0
- Turnout
- 79.2%
- Lead
- 8,881
- Total
- 18,739
- vs nation
- R+49.5
- Turnout
- 72.0%
- Lead
- 7,027
- Total
- 18,241
- vs nation
- R+42.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,778
- Total
- 17,406
- vs nation
- R+40.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,064
- Total
- 15,797
- vs nation
- R+35.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,240
- Total
- 13,840
- vs nation
- R+31.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,828
- Total
- 12,380
- vs nation
- R+23.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+45.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 34,0042024 5-year
- Median household income
- $81,2132024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47.4 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Loudon County, TN · twin score 91.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 80.2%22,068 participants ÷ 27,531 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.0 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 55.2%–61.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 18,820 | 26,143 | 72.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 15,670 | 26,325 | 59.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 21,186 | 26,753 | 79.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 14,800 | 27,288 | 54.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 22,068 | 27,531 | 80.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 21,978 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -406 - FINCASTLE406 - FINCASTLE | 762 | 2,162 | 45 | 2,969 | 25.7% | 72.8% | R+47.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -101 - DALEVILLE101 - DALEVILLE | 954 | 1,867 | 44 | 2,865 | 33.3% | 65.2% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct -502 - CLOVERDALE502 - CLOVERDALE | 894 | 1,919 | 42 | 2,855 | 31.3% | 67.2% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct -202 - RAINBOW FOREST202 - RAINBOW FOREST | 582 | 1,633 | 24 | 2,239 | 26.0% | 72.9% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct -201 - BLUE RIDGE201 - BLUE RIDGE | 553 | 1,613 | 26 | 2,192 | 25.2% | 73.6% | R+48.4 |
| Precinct -302 - MILL CREEK302 - MILL CREEK | 525 | 1,581 | 17 | 2,123 | 24.7% | 74.5% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -102 - GREENFIELD102 - GREENFIELD | 607 | 1,480 | 22 | 2,109 | 28.8% | 70.2% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct -301 - BUCHANAN301 - BUCHANAN | 400 | 1,520 | 23 | 1,943 | 20.6% | 78.2% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct -403 - EAGLE ROCK403 - EAGLE ROCK | 310 | 1,064 | 9 | 1,383 | 22.4% | 76.9% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -501 - TROUTVILLE501 - TROUTVILLE | 328 | 957 | 15 | 1,300 | 25.2% | 73.6% | R+48.4 |
| Blue Ridge51023000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buchanan51023000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cloverdale51023000502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Daleville51023000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle Rock51023000403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fincastle51023000406 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Greenfield51023000102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mill Creek51023000302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rainbow Forest51023000202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Troutville51023000501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +16.3% |
| 1896 | −3.8% |
| 1900 | +1.9% |
| 1904 | +10.2% |
| 1908 | +1.0% |
| 1912 | +23.1% |
| 1916 | +7.4% |
| 1920 | +3.5% |
| 1924 | +5.9% |
| 1928 | −13.5% |
| 1932 | +19.6% |
| 1936 | +6.9% |
| 1940 | +10.1% |
| 1944 | +0.1% |
| 1948 | −12.8% |
| 1952 | −23.0% |
| 1956 | −24.0% |
| 1960 | −14.2% |
| 1964 | +6.2% |
| 1968 | −25.8% |
| 1972 | −41.7% |
| 1976 | +9.0% |
| 1980 | −8.3% |
| 1984 | −29.2% |
| 1988 | −20.1% |
| 1992 | −12.7% |
| 1996 | −14.8% |
| 2000 | −30.6% |
| 2004 | −38.4% |
| 2008 | −33.2% |
| 2012 | −38.5% |
| 2016 | −47.4% |
| 2020 | −44.5% |
| 2024 | −45.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 24,276 |
| 2018 | 24,251 |
| 2020 | 25,674 |
| 2022 | 26,242 |
| 2024 | 27,210 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+273 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,363 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $73,039 in average income, against $92,891 for residents who stayed — 21% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+14.4 on average — 31 points more Democratic-leaning than Botetourt County, VA itself (R+45.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Roanoke County, VA252R+22.4
- Roanoke city, VA159D+23.5
- Bedford County, VA67R+50.1
- Alleghany County, VA33R+48.0
- Salem city, VA32R+19.2
- Franklin County, VA26R+45.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Roanoke County, VA222
- Roanoke city, VA153
- Bedford County, VA74
- Franklin County, VA33
- Montgomery County, VA25
- Alleghany County, VA23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −141 |
| 2012 | +188 |
| 2013 | −43 |
| 2014 | +148 |
| 2015 | +354 |
| 2016 | −71 |
| 2017 | +162 |
| 2018 | +161 |
| 2019 | +198 |
| 2021 | +526 |
| 2022 | +311 |
| 2023 | +212 |
| 2024 | +85 |
| 2025 | +273 |
Botetourt County, wedged between the Blue Ridge and Allegheny mountains west of Roanoke, recorded an R+45.1 margin in 2024—among the largest in a state that has trended competitive statewide over the same period.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 47.4 points in 2016. The 2024 margin was 45.0 points.
A population of 34,004, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $81,213 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Loudon County and Bedford County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Botetourt County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.