akashic
1876–2024
Granville County, North Carolina
Granville County·North Carolina

Granville County votes the way the country votes.

A Piedmont county where a narrow rural-urban divide shapes close cycles

18762024·38 elections
Granville County, North Carolina · Indy beetle · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+9
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
60,877
2024 ACS
Most similar
Martin County
NC · similarity 0.97
15 precincts · 32,109 votes cast
Trump · R+9
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−9.4%
14,36817,38532,109
2020R
−6.6%
14,56516,64731,598
2016R
−2.5%
12,90913,59127,353
2012D
+4.5%
13,59812,40526,275
2008D
+6.6%
13,07411,44724,725
2004R
−2.3%
9,0579,49118,601
2000R
−2.4%
7,3647,73315,194
1996D
+9.8%
6,7475,49812,800
1992D
+13.5%
6,1784,53812,128
1988D
+3.8%
5,2804,88010,439
1984R
−9.4%
5,2176,30211,580
1980D
+22.1%
5,5563,5139,246
1976D
+27.8%
5,2442,9558,246
1972R
−34.5%
2,9186,0379,035
1968D
+9.4%
2,6381,8378,546
1964D
+27.3%
4,5962,6247,220
1960D
+46.7%
4,9451,7986,743
1956D
+46.6%
4,0131,4635,476
1952D
+59.4%
4,5831,1665,749
1948D
+77.1%
3,5133344,121
1944D
+81.6%
3,2153253,540
1940D
+89.7%
3,9242134,137
1936D
+91.7%
4,2791854,464
1932D
+89.3%
3,8082124,029
1928D
+55.1%
2,9628583,820
1924D
+65.3%
2,2204612,695
1920D
+51.8%
2,6228333,455
1916D
+45.1%
1,7136482,361
1912D
+65.3%
1,5611922,096
1908D
+36.0%
1,5617342,296
1904D
+50.8%
1,5955182,119
1900D
+18.0%
2,2881,5873,891
1896D
+2.1%
2,2692,1754,458
1892R
−6.4%
1,4031,6303,529
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.5%
African American
23.3%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
20.7%
Other Christian
20.6%
Methodist
3.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
3.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Granville sits on North Carolina's Virginia border, blending small-city Oxford with farming townships. Its R+9.4 margin in 2024 reflects a gradual rightward shift in a county that as recently as 2008 swung Democratic by double digits.

The Democratic margin in Granville County has rarely exceeded ninety-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-five points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by nine points.

Granville County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 57% non-Hispanic-white share, a 15% poverty rate, and a median household income of $71,111 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Martin County and Colfax County.