HarrisDemocratic44.7%14,368TrumpRepublican54.1%17,385OliverLibertarian0.3%109
R+9.4- Lead
- 3,017
- Total
- 32,109
- vs nation
- R+7.9
- Turnout
- 70.4%
Akashiccounty
Granville County, NC
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.4% of 45,850 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic46.1%14,565TrumpRepublican52.7%16,647JorgensenLibertarian0.8%244
R+6.6- Lead
- 2,082
- Total
- 31,598
- vs nation
- R+11.0
- Turnout
- 68.7%
ClintonDemocratic47.2%12,909TrumpRepublican49.7%13,591JohnsonLibertarian2.2%596
R+2.5- Lead
- 682
- Total
- 27,353
- vs nation
- R+4.6
- Turnout
- 61.6%
ObamaDemocratic51.8%13,598RomneyRepublican47.2%12,405OtherAll other candidates1.0%272
D+4.5- Lead
- 1,193
- Total
- 26,275
- vs nation
- D+0.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic52.9%13,074McCainRepublican46.3%11,447OtherAll other candidates0.8%204
D+6.6- Lead
- 1,627
- Total
- 24,725
- vs nation
- R+0.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic48.7%9,057BushRepublican51.0%9,491OtherAll other candidates0.3%53
R+2.3- Lead
- 434
- Total
- 18,601
- vs nation
- D+0.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic50.9%7,733BushRepublican48.5%7,364OtherAll other candidates0.6%97
D+2.4- Lead
- 369
- Total
- 15,194
- vs nation
- D+1.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic52.7%6,747DoleRepublican43.0%5,498PerotReform3.4%432
D+9.8- Lead
- 1,249
- Total
- 12,800
- vs nation
- D+1.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+9.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 60,8772024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,1112024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 28.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+34.5 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Vance County, NC · twin score 93.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 70.4%32,283 participants ÷ 45,850 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 50.3%–52.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 27,353 | 44,391 | 61.6% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 20,768 | 45,207 | 45.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 31,674 | 46,099 | 68.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 22,762 | 46,790 | 48.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 32,283 | 45,850 | 70.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
15 precincts · 32,109 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -WILTWILT | 1,740 | 3,392 | 72 | 5,204 | 33.4% | 65.2% | R+31.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MTENMTEN | 1,702 | 2,504 | 53 | 4,259 | 40.0% | 58.8% | R+18.8 |
| Precinct -CRDMCRDM | 1,908 | 1,877 | 62 | 3,847 | 49.6% | 48.8% | D+0.8 |
| Precinct -TYHOTYHO | 1,050 | 2,399 | 36 | 3,485 | 30.1% | 68.8% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct -BTNRBTNR | 1,107 | 942 | 29 | 2,078 | 53.3% | 45.3% | D+7.9 |
| Precinct -CORICORI | 796 | 1,064 | 15 | 1,875 | 42.5% | 56.7% | R+14.3 |
| Precinct -SASSSASS | 550 | 959 | 18 | 1,527 | 36.0% | 62.8% | R+26.8 |
| Precinct -SALMSALM | 668 | 842 | 9 | 1,519 | 44.0% | 55.4% | R+11.5 |
| Precinct -EAOXEAOX | 964 | 521 | 12 | 1,497 | 64.4% | 34.8% | D+29.6 |
| Precinct -CRDLCRDL | 944 | 454 | 18 | 1,416 | 66.7% | 32.1% | D+34.6 |
| Precinct -BEREBERE | 489 | 802 | 7 | 1,298 | 37.7% | 61.8% | R+24.1 |
| Precinct -WOELWOEL | 671 | 450 | 7 | 1,128 | 59.5% | 39.9% | D+19.6 |
| Precinct -SOOXSOOX | 835 | 271 | 9 | 1,115 | 74.9% | 24.3% | D+50.6 |
| Precinct -OKHLOKHL | 400 | 581 | 2 | 983 | 40.7% | 59.1% | R+18.4 |
| Precinct -ANTIANTI | 544 | 327 | 7 | 878 | 62.0% | 37.2% | D+24.7 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −6.4% |
| 1896 | +2.1% |
| 1900 | +18.0% |
| 1904 | +50.8% |
| 1908 | +36.0% |
| 1912 | +65.3% |
| 1916 | +45.1% |
| 1920 | +51.8% |
| 1924 | +65.3% |
| 1928 | +55.1% |
| 1932 | +89.3% |
| 1936 | +91.7% |
| 1940 | +89.7% |
| 1944 | +81.6% |
| 1948 | +77.1% |
| 1952 | +59.4% |
| 1956 | +46.6% |
| 1960 | +46.7% |
| 1964 | +27.3% |
| 1968 | +9.4% |
| 1972 | −34.5% |
| 1976 | +27.8% |
| 1980 | +22.1% |
| 1984 | −9.4% |
| 1988 | +3.8% |
| 1992 | +13.5% |
| 1996 | +9.8% |
| 2000 | +2.4% |
| 2004 | −2.3% |
| 2008 | +6.6% |
| 2012 | +4.5% |
| 2016 | −2.5% |
| 2020 | −6.6% |
| 2024 | −9.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+9.5
Presidential vote · 2024R+9.4
Granville County, NC registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 19-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 33,395 | 19,827 | 7,996 | 5,548 | 24 |
| 2012 | 36,812 | 20,364 | 8,854 | 7,500 | 94 |
| 2016 | 38,088 | 19,090 | 9,258 | 9,601 | 139 |
| 2020 | 40,343 | 17,684 | 10,662 | 11,786 | 211 |
| 2022 | 40,528 | 16,506 | 10,896 | 12,921 | 205 |
| 2024 | 42,205 | 15,681 | 11,682 | 14,482 | 360 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−214 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +3,656 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $70,022 in average income, against $74,789 for residents who stayed — 6% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+26.8 on average — 36 points more Democratic-leaning than Granville County, NC itself (R+9.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Wake County, NC359D+25.4
- Durham County, NC311D+61.7
- Vance County, NC156D+13.3
- Franklin County, NC107R+13.5
- Person County, NC42R+23.7
- Orange County, NC32D+50.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Wake County, NC289
- Durham County, NC195
- Vance County, NC191
- Franklin County, NC143
- Person County, NC58
- Alamance County, NC37
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −293 |
| 2012 | −17 |
| 2013 | +172 |
| 2014 | +233 |
| 2015 | +151 |
| 2016 | +465 |
| 2017 | +663 |
| 2018 | +569 |
| 2019 | +473 |
| 2021 | +433 |
| 2022 | +422 |
| 2023 | +502 |
| 2024 | +97 |
| 2025 | −214 |
Granville sits on North Carolina's Virginia border, blending small-city Oxford with farming townships. Its R+9.4 margin in 2024 reflects a gradual rightward shift in a county that as recently as 2008 swung Democratic by double digits.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 34.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.4 points.
A population of 60,877, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,111 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Vance County and Pasquotank County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Vance County
North Carolina
93.3twin score
2000–2016 trajectory≠ % Black
Pasquotank County
North Carolina
92.4twin score
2000–2024 trajectory% Black
Orangeburg County
South Carolina
92.1twin score
2000 margin% Catholic% Evangelical≠ 2004 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Granville County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37077/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Granville County, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Granville County, North Carolina voted Republican by 9.4 points (R+9.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 32,109 votes cast, 14,368 went Democratic and 17,385 went Republican.
When did Granville County, North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Granville County, North Carolina voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Granville County, North Carolina?
Granville County, North Carolina has a population of 60,877 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Granville County, North Carolina?
Median household income in Granville County, North Carolina is $71,111 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Granville County, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Granville County, North Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.