- Lead
- 5,086
- Total
- 14,540
- vs nation
- D+36.5
- Turnout
- 45.9%
Washington County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 45.9% of 31,704 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 7,203
- Total
- 18,034
- vs nation
- D+35.5
- Turnout
- 54.3%
- Lead
- 6,136
- Total
- 16,825
- vs nation
- D+34.4
- Turnout
- 47.3%
- Lead
- 8,330
- Total
- 19,715
- vs nation
- D+38.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,801
- Total
- 19,583
- vs nation
- D+27.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,838
- Total
- 19,597
- vs nation
- D+22.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,038
- Total
- 18,328
- vs nation
- D+16.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,291
- Total
- 17,440
- vs nation
- D+10.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+35.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,7652024 5-year
- Median household income
- $42,1652024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 23.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 71.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91.8 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sharkey County, MS · twin score 96.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 45.9%14,540 participants ÷ 31,704 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +27.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 18.0%–29.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 16,825 | 35,561 | 47.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 14,333 | 34,346 | 41.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 18,093 | 33,332 | 54.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 8,767 | 33,188 | 26.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 14,540 | 31,704 | 45.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
39 precincts · 14,540 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Buster Brown Community CenterBuster Brown Community Center | 1,254 | 285 | 17 | 1,556 | 80.6% | 18.3% | D+62.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -St. James Episcopal ChurchSt. James Episcopal Church | 1,071 | 441 | 26 | 1,538 | 69.6% | 28.7% | D+41.0 |
| Precinct -Ward's Recreation CenterWard's Recreation Center | 812 | 537 | 9 | 1,358 | 59.8% | 39.5% | D+20.3 |
| Precinct -Leland Health DepartmentLeland Health Department | 730 | 457 | 10 | 1,197 | 61.0% | 38.2% | D+22.8 |
| Precinct -Covenant Presbyterian ChurchCovenant Presbyterian Church | 370 | 693 | 11 | 1,074 | 34.5% | 64.5% | R+30.1 |
| Precinct -Elks LodgeElks Lodge | 923 | 88 | 12 | 1,023 | 90.2% | 8.6% | D+81.6 |
| Precinct -Leland Rotary ClubLeland Rotary Club | 489 | 394 | 5 | 888 | 55.1% | 44.4% | D+10.7 |
| Precinct -Hollandale City HallHollandale City Hall | 687 | 169 | 13 | 869 | 79.1% | 19.4% | D+59.6 |
| Precinct -Lake Vista Masonic LodgeLake Vista Masonic Lodge | 573 | 231 | 8 | 812 | 70.6% | 28.4% | D+42.1 |
| Precinct -Jake's Chapel MB ChurchJake's Chapel MB Church | 694 | 24 | 10 | 728 | 95.3% | 3.3% | D+92.0 |
| Precinct -Washington County Convention CenterWashington County Convention Center | 492 | 201 | 9 | 702 | 70.1% | 28.6% | D+41.5 |
| Precinct -Arms of MercyArms of Mercy | 66 | 555 | 3 | 624 | 10.6% | 88.9% | R+78.4 |
| Precinct -Arcola Technology CenterArcola Technology Center | 211 | 165 | 2 | 378 | 55.8% | 43.7% | D+12.2 |
| Precinct -Glen Allan LibraryGlen Allan Library | 144 | 225 | 0 | 369 | 39.0% | 61.0% | R+22.0 |
| Precinct -Mount Bethel Baptist ChurchMount Bethel Baptist Church | 342 | 12 | 10 | 364 | 94.0% | 3.3% | D+90.7 |
| Precinct -Metcalfe Municipal BuildingMetcalfe Municipal Building | 308 | 23 | 4 | 335 | 91.9% | 6.9% | D+85.1 |
| Precinct -Extension BuildingExtension Building | 303 | 25 | 4 | 332 | 91.3% | 7.5% | D+83.7 |
| Precinct -Tampa DriveTampa Drive | 244 | 78 | 3 | 325 | 75.1% | 24.0% | D+51.1 |
| Precinct -DarloveDarlove | 22 | 46 | 0 | 68 | 32.4% | 67.6% | R+35.3 |
| American Legion Voting District28_28151304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arcola City Hall Voting District28_28151204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brent Center Voting District28_28151302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buster Brown Comm. Center Voting District28_28151202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Christ Wesleyan Methodist Church Voting District28_28151105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Darlove Baptist Church Voting District28_28151502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elks Club Voting District28_28151401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Extension Building Voting District28_28151303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Glen Allan Health Clinic Voting District28_28151104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grace Methodist Church Voting District28_28151504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Greenville Ind. College Voting District28_28151505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hollandale City Hall Voting District28_28151501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Leland Health Dpt. Clinic Voting District28_28151402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Leland Rotary Club Voting District28_28151403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Metcalfe City Hall Voting District28_28151305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Potter House Church Voting District28_28151205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. James Epis. Church Voting District28_28151102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Swiftwater Baptist Church Voting District28_28151103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tampa Drive Voting District28_28151301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wards Recreation Center Voting District28_28151201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +91.8% |
| 1896 | +67.7% |
| 1900 | +65.2% |
| 1904 | +87.5% |
| 1908 | +81.7% |
| 1912 | +86.0% |
| 1916 | +89.1% |
| 1920 | +85.5% |
| 1924 | +79.7% |
| 1928 | +71.8% |
| 1932 | +88.6% |
| 1936 | +91.4% |
| 1940 | +77.9% |
| 1944 | +63.2% |
| 1948 | −0.4% |
| 1952 | −11.5% |
| 1956 | +13.6% |
| 1960 | +12.2% |
| 1964 | −47.4% |
| 1968 | +13.2% |
| 1972 | −33.2% |
| 1976 | +12.0% |
| 1980 | +8.7% |
| 1984 | −7.8% |
| 1988 | −0.0% |
| 1992 | +15.2% |
| 1996 | +18.9% |
| 2000 | +16.6% |
| 2004 | +19.6% |
| 2008 | +34.7% |
| 2012 | +42.3% |
| 2016 | +36.5% |
| 2020 | +39.9% |
| 2024 | +35.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 33,523 |
| 2018 | 34,268 |
| 2020 | 35,280 |
| 2022 | 31,951 |
| 2024 | 31,743 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−677 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −12,132 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $31,187 in average income, against $50,987 for residents who stayed — 39% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+20.1 on average — 15 points more Republican-leaning than Washington County, MS itself (D+35.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Shelby County, TN80D+25.4
- Sunflower County, MS52D+35.5
- Bolivar County, MS50D+23.7
- DeSoto County, MS35R+24.1
- Dallas County, TX29D+22.2
- Hinds County, MS27D+46.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Shelby County, TN89
- DeSoto County, MS82
- Bolivar County, MS43
- Tarrant County, TX40
- Sunflower County, MS39
- Dallas County, TX38
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −877 |
| 2012 | −675 |
| 2013 | −574 |
| 2014 | −874 |
| 2015 | −1,254 |
| 2016 | −883 |
| 2017 | −1,045 |
| 2018 | −1,205 |
| 2019 | −1,107 |
| 2021 | −748 |
| 2022 | −989 |
| 2023 | −542 |
| 2024 | −682 |
| 2025 | −677 |
Washington County's electorate is majority-Black, a demographic legacy of the Delta's plantation-era settlement patterns, and it has returned Democratic presidential margins above 30 points in every recent cycle.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.8 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 47.4 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.0 points.
A population of 42,765, a 24% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $42,165 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sharkey County and Leflore County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Washington County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28151/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.