HarrisDemocratic67.7%4,827TrumpRepublican31.1%2,213OtherAll other candidates1.2%85
D+36.7- Lead
- 2,614
- Total
- 7,125
- vs nation
- D+38.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Mississippi 49th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic68.7%5,966TrumpRepublican30.1%2,613OtherAll other candidates1.2%103
D+38.6- Lead
- 3,353
- Total
- 8,682
- vs nation
- D+34.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic67.0%5,668TrumpRepublican31.7%2,685OtherAll other candidates1.3%106
D+35.3- Lead
- 2,983
- Total
- 8,459
- vs nation
- D+33.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic70.1%6,971RomneyRepublican29.3%2,912OtherAll other candidates0.6%62
D+40.8- Lead
- 4,059
- Total
- 9,945
- vs nation
- D+37.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic66.3%6,577McCainRepublican33.0%3,269OtherAll other candidates0.7%67
D+33.4- Lead
- 3,308
- Total
- 9,913
- vs nation
- D+26.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic57.9%5,758BushRepublican40.3%4,013OtherAll other candidates1.8%181
D+17.5- Lead
- 1,745
- Total
- 9,952
- vs nation
- D+20.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic56.1%5,191BushRepublican40.6%3,758OtherAll other candidates3.3%310
D+15.5- Lead
- 1,433
- Total
- 9,259
- vs nation
- D+15.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic56.8%4,993DoleRepublican39.5%3,467OtherAll other candidates3.7%327
D+17.4- Lead
- 1,526
- Total
- 8,787
- vs nation
- D+8.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+36.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,1572024 5-year
- Population density
- 185 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 125 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $41,5902024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 23.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 73.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91.2 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 76, AL · twin score 95.3
presidential history
Party record book
Mississippi 49th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
94.7%
1,082 votes · D+89.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · 94.5%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
74.0%
2,886 votes · R+48.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James G. Blaine, 1884 · 67.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
6,971votes
70.1% of the vote · D+40.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 6,577 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
6,365votes
53.6% of the vote · R+9.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 5,227 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+109.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+83.5 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +105.6 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+70.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+48.1 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +10.7 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DWillie BaileyState House · 49
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Mississippi 49th State House District sits in the Deep South. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.2 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 48.1 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.7 points.
A population of 23,157, a 23% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $41,590 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 76 and State House District 77.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 76
Alabama
95.3twin score
% Blackelasticity2012 margin≠ college share
State House District 77
Alabama
94.9twin score
elasticity2012–2024 trajectory% unaffiliated≠ college share
State House District 50
Mississippi
94.9twin score
% Black2012–2020 trajectory≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Mississippi 49th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/28049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Mississippi at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Mississippi 49th State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Mississippi 49th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mississippi 49th State House District voted Democratic by 36.7 points (D+36.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 7,125 votes cast, 4,827 went Democratic and 2,213 went Republican.
When did Mississippi 49th State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Mississippi 49th State House District voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Mississippi 49th State House District?
Mississippi 49th State House District has a population of 23,157 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mississippi 49th State House District?
Median household income in Mississippi 49th State House District is $41,590 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Mississippi 49th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mississippi 49th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.