- Lead
- 3,950
- Total
- 10,171
- vs nation
- R+37.4
Mississippi 48th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,851
- Total
- 11,404
- vs nation
- R+38.2
- Lead
- 3,696
- Total
- 10,641
- vs nation
- R+36.8
- Lead
- 3,360
- Total
- 11,464
- vs nation
- R+33.2
- Lead
- 3,731
- Total
- 11,779
- vs nation
- R+38.9
- Lead
- 4,124
- Total
- 10,788
- vs nation
- R+35.8
- Lead
- 3,274
- Total
- 9,280
- vs nation
- R+35.8
- Lead
- 1,606
- Total
- 8,279
- vs nation
- R+27.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+38.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 24,1132024 5-year
- Population density
- 25 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 973 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $54,6752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 31.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+95.2 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+94.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 86, MS · twin score 96.9
presidential history
Party record book
Mississippi 48th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
97.6%
1,936 votes · D+95.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 96.4%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
97.3%
6,674 votes · R+94.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 83.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
4,015votes
35.0% of the vote · R+29.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 3,980 votes
Republican
John McCain2008
7,711votes
65.5% of the vote · R+31.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 7,562 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+103.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+78.2 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +99.7 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+117.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+94.6 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +46.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+38.8, District 48 sits well above the state's already-conservative baseline, suggesting a constituency where statewide Republican candidates routinely run without serious opposition.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 95.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 94.6 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.8 points.
A population of 24,113, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,675 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 86 and State House District 100.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Mississippi 48th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/28048/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.