- Lead
- 3,995
- Total
- 10,898
- vs nation
- R+35.2
Mississippi 86th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,615
- Total
- 11,984
- vs nation
- R+34.6
- Lead
- 3,233
- Total
- 11,342
- vs nation
- R+30.6
- Lead
- 2,573
- Total
- 12,248
- vs nation
- R+24.9
- Lead
- 2,747
- Total
- 11,921
- vs nation
- R+30.3
- Lead
- 2,850
- Total
- 10,579
- vs nation
- R+24.5
- Lead
- 1,939
- Total
- 9,238
- vs nation
- R+21.5
- Lead
- 575
- Total
- 7,886
- vs nation
- R+15.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,3482024 5-year
- Population density
- 23 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,013 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $40,6342024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 36.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97.2 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+82.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 90, MS · twin score 97.6
presidential history
Party record book
Mississippi 86th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
98.3%
1,806 votes · D+97.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 97.6%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
91.1%
4,077 votes · R+82.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 81.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
4,793votes
39.1% of the vote · R+21.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 4,548 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
7,719votes
64.4% of the vote · R+30.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 7,400 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+112.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+86.8 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +96.4 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+104.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+82.2 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +39.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
The district recorded a Republican presidential margin of R+36.7 in 2024, compared with R+23.0 in 2008. Median household income was $40,005 in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 97.2 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 82.2 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.7 points.
A population of 23,348, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $40,634 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 90 and State House District 78.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Mississippi 86th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/28086/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.