- Lead
- 3,919
- Total
- 9,787
- vs nation
- R+38.6
Mississippi 78th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,618
- Total
- 10,532
- vs nation
- R+38.8
- Lead
- 3,312
- Total
- 9,815
- vs nation
- R+35.8
- Lead
- 2,620
- Total
- 10,284
- vs nation
- R+29.3
- Lead
- 2,979
- Total
- 10,564
- vs nation
- R+35.5
- Lead
- 3,578
- Total
- 9,265
- vs nation
- R+36.2
- Lead
- 3,083
- Total
- 8,365
- vs nation
- R+37.4
- Lead
- 1,699
- Total
- 7,203
- vs nation
- R+32.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,6342024 5-year
- Population density
- 38 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 616 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $46,6542024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 31.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97.4 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+91.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 86, MS · twin score 97.4
presidential history
Party record book
Mississippi 78th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
98.3%
2,236 votes · D+96.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 97.9%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
95.9%
4,902 votes · R+91.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 85.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
3,785votes
36.8% of the vote · R+25.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 3,747 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
7,021votes
66.7% of the vote · R+34.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 6,822 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+111.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+92.0 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +110.1 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+114.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+91.7 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +48.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+40, District 78 sits firmly in Mississippi's conservative rural belt, where statewide Republican candidates have posted landslide margins for more than a decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 97.4 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 91.7 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.0 points.
A population of 23,634, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $46,654 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 86 and State House District 10.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Mississippi 78th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/28078/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.