- Lead
- 541
- Total
- 15,485
- vs nation
- R+2.0
- Turnout
- 52.8%
Pike County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 52.8% of 29,346 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 167
- Total
- 17,361
- vs nation
- R+3.5
- Turnout
- 60.4%
- Lead
- 34
- Total
- 16,360
- vs nation
- R+1.9
- Turnout
- 56.3%
- Lead
- 1,469
- Total
- 17,974
- vs nation
- D+4.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 625
- Total
- 18,055
- vs nation
- R+3.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 779
- Total
- 16,632
- vs nation
- R+2.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 920
- Total
- 14,166
- vs nation
- R+7.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 899
- Total
- 12,435
- vs nation
- R+1.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 39,6022024 5-year
- Median household income
- $43,8142024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 41.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 53.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+94.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+84.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chickasaw County, MS · twin score 94.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 52.8%15,485 participants ÷ 29,346 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +28.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 24.0%–32.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 16,360 | 29,075 | 56.3% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 13,062 | 29,183 | 44.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 17,486 | 28,968 | 60.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 9,386 | 29,736 | 31.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 15,485 | 29,346 | 52.8% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
57 precincts · 15,485 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -(17) SMCC Work Force Training Ctr(17) SMCC Work Force Training Ctr | 311 | 757 | 6 | 1,074 | 29.0% | 70.5% | R+41.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -(18) Johnston Chapel Meth. Church(18) Johnston Chapel Meth. Church | 125 | 883 | 7 | 1,015 | 12.3% | 87.0% | R+74.7 |
| Precinct -(12) Navilla Baptist Church Fellowship(12) Navilla Baptist Church Fellowship | 375 | 542 | 11 | 928 | 40.4% | 58.4% | R+18.0 |
| Precinct -(19) Pisgah Methodist Church(19) Pisgah Methodist Church | 220 | 670 | 6 | 896 | 24.6% | 74.8% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct -(21) Old Progress Volunteer Fire Station(21) Old Progress Volunteer Fire Station | 420 | 430 | 8 | 858 | 49.0% | 50.1% | R+1.2 |
| Precinct -(24) Our Lady of Hope(24) Our Lady of Hope | 293 | 539 | 10 | 842 | 34.8% | 64.0% | R+29.2 |
| Precinct -(10) Braswell Education Complex(10) Braswell Education Complex | 450 | 333 | 7 | 790 | 57.0% | 42.2% | D+14.8 |
| Precinct -(22) Church of Christ(22) Church of Christ | 466 | 267 | 7 | 740 | 63.0% | 36.1% | D+26.9 |
| Precinct -(09) Magnolia Comm. Ctr.(09) Magnolia Comm. Ctr. | 447 | 234 | 7 | 688 | 65.0% | 34.0% | D+31.0 |
| Precinct -(14) Calvary Baptist Church(14) Calvary Baptist Church | 182 | 488 | 4 | 674 | 27.0% | 72.4% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct -(08) Fernwood Baptist Church(08) Fernwood Baptist Church | 443 | 206 | 8 | 657 | 67.4% | 31.4% | D+36.1 |
| Precinct -(13) Holmesville Comm.(13) Holmesville Comm. | 254 | 372 | 6 | 632 | 40.2% | 58.9% | R+18.7 |
| Precinct -(15) Friendship Bapt. Church(15) Friendship Bapt. Church | 107 | 506 | 10 | 623 | 17.2% | 81.2% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct -(23) West McComb Bapt. Church(23) West McComb Bapt. Church | 227 | 370 | 4 | 601 | 37.8% | 61.6% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct -(05) North McComb Baptist Church(05) North McComb Baptist Church | 283 | 279 | 11 | 573 | 49.4% | 48.7% | D+0.7 |
| Precinct -(07) St Mary Free Will Bapt. Ch.(07) St Mary Free Will Bapt. Ch. | 426 | 132 | 2 | 560 | 76.1% | 23.6% | D+52.5 |
| Precinct -(01) New Hope Baptist Church(01) New Hope Baptist Church | 495 | 35 | 4 | 534 | 92.7% | 6.6% | D+86.1 |
| Precinct -(04) Mlk Center(04) Mlk Center | 459 | 23 | 7 | 489 | 93.9% | 4.7% | D+89.2 |
| Precinct -(20) Pike Co. Nat. Bank(20) Pike Co. Nat. Bank | 283 | 198 | 5 | 486 | 58.2% | 40.7% | D+17.5 |
| Precinct -(16) Summit City Hall(16) Summit City Hall | 219 | 152 | 3 | 374 | 58.6% | 40.6% | D+17.9 |
| Precinct -(03) Summit United Methodist Church(03) Summit United Methodist Church | 241 | 105 | 1 | 347 | 69.5% | 30.3% | D+39.2 |
| Precinct -(11) St. James Miss. Baptist Church(11) St. James Miss. Baptist Church | 202 | 143 | 1 | 346 | 58.4% | 41.3% | D+17.1 |
| Precinct -(25) Osyka City Hall(25) Osyka City Hall | 92 | 223 | 3 | 318 | 28.9% | 70.1% | R+41.2 |
| Precinct -(06) Presley Event Center(06) Presley Event Center | 206 | 15 | 0 | 221 | 93.2% | 6.8% | D+86.4 |
| Precinct -(02) S McComb Baptist Church(02) S McComb Baptist Church | 176 | 41 | 2 | 219 | 80.4% | 18.7% | D+61.6 |
| Voting District 128_28113501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1028_28113203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1128_28113204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1228_28113205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1328_28113304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1428_28113305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1528_28113306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1628_28113103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1728_28113403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1828_28113105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1928_28113404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 228_28113301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2028_28113405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2128_28113401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2228_28113406 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2328_28113402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2428_28113104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2528_28113407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2628_28113106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2728_28113502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2828_28113503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 2928_28113504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 328_28113302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3028_28113505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3128_28113506 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 3228_28113507 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 428_28113303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 528_28113101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 628_28113102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 728_28113206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 828_28113201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 928_28113202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +79.6% |
| 1896 | +81.9% |
| 1900 | +80.8% |
| 1904 | +86.1% |
| 1908 | +90.6% |
| 1912 | +84.9% |
| 1916 | +92.2% |
| 1920 | +73.2% |
| 1924 | +63.0% |
| 1928 | +45.1% |
| 1932 | +90.3% |
| 1936 | +94.6% |
| 1940 | +88.1% |
| 1944 | +84.6% |
| 1948 | +3.9% |
| 1952 | −7.6% |
| 1956 | +12.3% |
| 1960 | −3.9% |
| 1964 | −84.4% |
| 1968 | +13.7% |
| 1972 | −46.4% |
| 1976 | +0.8% |
| 1980 | +0.2% |
| 1984 | −14.7% |
| 1988 | −7.8% |
| 1992 | +2.0% |
| 1996 | +7.2% |
| 2000 | −6.5% |
| 2004 | −4.7% |
| 2008 | +3.5% |
| 2012 | +8.2% |
| 2016 | +0.2% |
| 2020 | +1.0% |
| 2024 | −3.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 26,569 |
| 2018 | 25,826 |
| 2020 | 27,023 |
| 2022 | 25,790 |
| 2024 | 26,902 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−157 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,458 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $42,775 in average income, against $51,728 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+31.8 on average — 28 points more Republican-leaning than Pike County, MS itself (R+3.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Amite County, MS74R+32.8
- Lincoln County, MS72R+45.4
- Walthall County, MS60R+26.9
- Tangipahoa Parish, LA40R+37.4
- East Baton Rouge Parish, LA23D+11.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Amite County, MS84
- Lincoln County, MS81
- Walthall County, MS74
- Tangipahoa Parish, LA41
- Harrison County, MS26
- Lamar County, MS25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −99 |
| 2012 | −451 |
| 2013 | −224 |
| 2014 | −69 |
| 2015 | −40 |
| 2016 | −280 |
| 2017 | −134 |
| 2018 | −133 |
| 2019 | −104 |
| 2021 | −144 |
| 2022 | −185 |
| 2023 | −244 |
| 2024 | −194 |
| 2025 | −157 |
Pike County's 2024 presidential margin of R+3.5 reflects a dramatic rightward shift from its historically Democratic baseline, driven by a majority-Black population that has trended Republican at lower rates than surrounding rural counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 94.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 84.4 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.5 points.
A population of 39,602, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $43,814 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chickasaw County and Crittenden County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Pike County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28113/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.