akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 38·Mississippi

Mississippi 38th State Senate District votes the way the country votes.

One of Mississippi's most reliably Democratic state senate seats

1876 — 2024·38 elections
MS
Latest
R+4
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
56,892
2024 ACS

Mississippi 38th State Senate District, Mississippi: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+4%. Democratic peak: D+94 in 1916.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+4MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
56,8922024 5-year
Median household income
$42,1712024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
42.3%2024 5-year
Black
53.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
1.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+94 in 1916MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+83 in 1964MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
5 counties · 2 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−4.3%
11,29012,30423,856
D
+2.5%
13,86113,17527,362
D
+3.0%
13,56112,75026,692
D
+10.2%
16,19413,18729,593
D
+8.1%
16,14613,70730,082
D
+0.1%
13,70213,67527,521
D
+0.1%
12,25412,22724,810
D
+15.9%
12,4638,84522,767
D
+11.2%
12,8299,99425,323
R
−1.1%
12,34212,62725,115
R
−7.7%
11,87713,86925,845
D
+7.6%
13,03411,13724,799
D
+8.3%
11,2279,45221,429
R
−37.5%
5,28511,88017,581
O
+25.4%
7,3232,13520,404
R
−83.0%
98210,57411,556
O
+2.3%
2,0541,8498,768
D
+12.7%
2,7541,9046,692
R
−1.2%
3,9804,0798,059
O
+2.9%
2751125,665
D
+83.5%
4,6894225,110
D
+89.0%
4,8422795,125
D
+92.9%
4,7501674,933
D
+86.0%
4,0212944,336
D
+51.0%
3,8521,2495,102
D
+68.4%
2,5173563,160
D
+74.1%
1,8882632,192
D
+93.8%
2,503712,594
D
+84.5%
1,634381,888
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
D
+82.0%
1,9131722,123
D
+82.3%
2,2081902,451
D
+78.0%
1,251651,520
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
7.3%
English
6.4%
American
5.8%
German
4.2%
Scottish
1.8%
French
1.6%
Italian
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.7%
85+
1.2%
2.6%
75–84
3.4%
5.9%
65–74
6.8%
6.2%
55–64
7.1%
5.8%
45–54
5.7%
5.6%
35–44
6.0%
6.0%
25–34
5.6%
4.8%
18–24
4.1%
8.6%
5–17
8.6%
2.9%
<5
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$42,171
State Senate District 38 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 38$42,171
Mississippi$56,447
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
26.4%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1836.5%
Working age (18–64)23.2%
Seniors (65+)23.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.5%
speak English only
Spanish1.6%
Other Indo-European0.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
42.6%
Other Christian
8.6%
Methodist
6.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
2.9%
Mainline Protestant
1.4%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 34.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of D+18.3 in a state that trends heavily Republican statewide, District 38's electorate stands out as a concentrated pocket of Democratic strength, likely anchored by majority-Black urban or suburban population centers.

The Democratic margin in Mississippi 38th State Senate District has rarely exceeded ninety-four points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded eighty-three points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by four points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 42% non-Hispanic-white share, a 26% poverty rate, and a median household income of $42,171 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 38, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/28038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 38, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 38, Mississippi voted Republican by 4.3 points (R+4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,856 votes cast, 11,290 went Democratic and 12,304 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 38, Mississippi's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 38, Mississippi as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 6 times, and other 3 times.
When did State Senate District 38, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 38, Mississippi voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State Senate District 38, Mississippi?
State Senate District 38, Mississippi has a population of 56,892 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 38, Mississippi?
Median household income in State Senate District 38, Mississippi is $42,171 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of State Senate District 38, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 38, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 6 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.