- Lead
- 742
- Total
- 2,931
- vs nation
- D+26.8
- Turnout
- 45.0%
Wilkinson County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 45.0% of 6,513 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,425
- Total
- 4,127
- vs nation
- D+30.1
- Turnout
- 61.1%
- Lead
- 1,539
- Total
- 4,218
- vs nation
- D+34.4
- Turnout
- 58.6%
- Lead
- 1,997
- Total
- 4,853
- vs nation
- D+37.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,974
- Total
- 5,139
- vs nation
- D+31.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,231
- Total
- 4,385
- vs nation
- D+30.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,128
- Total
- 4,098
- vs nation
- D+27.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,791
- Total
- 4,102
- vs nation
- D+35.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+25.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,1622024 5-year
- Median household income
- $35,3112024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 28.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 67.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.9 in 1908MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+86.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Macon County, GA · twin score 98.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 45.0%2,931 participants ÷ 6,513 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 19.4%–23.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,218 | 7,204 | 58.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,832 | 7,059 | 40.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,201 | 6,875 | 61.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,395 | 6,751 | 35.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,931 | 6,513 | 45.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
18 precincts · 2,931 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Centreville 3rd 3010Centreville 3rd 3010 | 353 | 288 | 10 | 651 | 54.2% | 44.2% | D+10.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Woodville 4th 4010Woodville 4th 4010 | 490 | 114 | 11 | 615 | 79.7% | 18.5% | D+61.1 |
| Precinct -Centreville 1st 1020Centreville 1st 1020 | 328 | 71 | 8 | 407 | 80.6% | 17.4% | D+63.1 |
| Precinct -Woodville 5th 5010Woodville 5th 5010 | 182 | 194 | 3 | 379 | 48.0% | 51.2% | R+3.2 |
| Precinct -Longmire 5020Longmire 5020 | 122 | 197 | 1 | 320 | 38.1% | 61.6% | R+23.4 |
| Precinct -Woodville 1010Woodville 1010 | 170 | 100 | 2 | 272 | 62.5% | 36.8% | D+25.7 |
| Precinct -Fort Adams 2020Fort Adams 2020 | 97 | 50 | 2 | 149 | 65.1% | 33.6% | D+31.5 |
| Precinct -Cold Springs 4020Cold Springs 4020 | 75 | 60 | 2 | 137 | 54.7% | 43.8% | D+10.9 |
| Precinct -Woodville 2nd 2010Woodville 2nd 2010 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Centreville First District Precinct28_28157102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Centreville Third District Precinct28_28157301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cold Springs Precinct28_28157402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fort Adams Precinct28_28157202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Longmire Precinct28_28157502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Woodville Fifth District Precinct28_28157501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Woodville First District Precinct28_28157101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Woodville Fourth District Precinct28_28157401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Woodville Second District Precinct28_28157201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +91.3% |
| 1896 | +87.5% |
| 1900 | +87.1% |
| 1904 | +97.8% |
| 1908 | +98.9% |
| 1912 | +89.0% |
| 1916 | +95.8% |
| 1920 | +92.6% |
| 1924 | +79.7% |
| 1928 | +82.6% |
| 1932 | +95.3% |
| 1936 | +94.4% |
| 1940 | +90.7% |
| 1944 | +83.0% |
| 1948 | +2.5% |
| 1952 | −10.8% |
| 1956 | +2.4% |
| 1960 | +3.4% |
| 1964 | −86.9% |
| 1968 | +47.8% |
| 1972 | −6.5% |
| 1976 | +32.3% |
| 1980 | +34.2% |
| 1984 | +20.6% |
| 1988 | +27.2% |
| 1992 | +36.6% |
| 1996 | +43.7% |
| 2000 | +27.5% |
| 2004 | +28.1% |
| 2008 | +38.4% |
| 2012 | +41.1% |
| 2016 | +36.5% |
| 2020 | +34.5% |
| 2024 | +25.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,446 |
| 2018 | 7,096 |
| 2020 | 7,129 |
| 2022 | 7,054 |
| 2024 | 6,854 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−174 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,743 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,175 in average income, against $51,528 for residents who stayed — 11% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+11.1 on average — 14 points more Republican-leaning than Wilkinson County, MS itself (D+25.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- East Baton Rouge Parish, LA20D+11.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- East Baton Rouge Parish, LA43
- Amite County, MS21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −292 |
| 2012 | −133 |
| 2013 | −128 |
| 2014 | −147 |
| 2015 | −81 |
| 2016 | −23 |
| 2017 | −145 |
| 2018 | −29 |
| 2019 | −116 |
| 2021 | −155 |
| 2022 | −72 |
| 2023 | −123 |
| 2024 | −125 |
| 2025 | −174 |
Wilkinson County, tucked into Mississippi's southwestern corner along the Louisiana border, is among the state's most reliably Democratic counties, driven by a majority African American population in a state that otherwise votes heavily Republican at the federal level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.9 points in 1908 and a Republican high of 86.9 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 9.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.3 points.
A population of 8,162, a 28% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $35,311 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Macon County and Hale County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Wilkinson County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28157/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.