HarrisDemocratic15.7%2,214TrumpRepublican83.5%11,740KennedyIndependent0.4%52
R+67.7- Lead
- 9,526
- Total
- 14,068
- vs nation
- R+66.2
- Turnout
- 62.0%
Akashiccounty
Pontotoc County, MS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.0% of 22,707 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic18.2%2,614TrumpRepublican80.4%11,550JorgensenLibertarian0.7%103
R+62.2- Lead
- 8,936
- Total
- 14,361
- vs nation
- R+66.7
- Turnout
- 63.5%
ClintonDemocratic18.4%2,386TrumpRepublican79.6%10,336JohnsonLibertarian1.2%150
R+61.2- Lead
- 7,950
- Total
- 12,984
- vs nation
- R+63.3
- Turnout
- 59.1%
ObamaDemocratic22.6%2,804RomneyRepublican76.1%9,448OtherAll other candidates1.3%159
R+53.5- Lead
- 6,644
- Total
- 12,411
- vs nation
- R+57.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic23.2%2,982McCainRepublican75.6%9,727OtherAll other candidates1.2%159
R+52.4- Lead
- 6,745
- Total
- 12,868
- vs nation
- R+59.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic23.7%2,660BushRepublican75.4%8,480OtherAll other candidates0.9%100
R+51.8- Lead
- 5,820
- Total
- 11,240
- vs nation
- R+49.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic29.1%2,771BushRepublican69.4%6,601NaderGreen0.9%84
R+40.3- Lead
- 3,830
- Total
- 9,510
- vs nation
- R+40.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic33.7%2,597DoleRepublican55.6%4,289PerotReform10.0%774
R+21.9- Lead
- 1,692
- Total
- 7,709
- vs nation
- R+30.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+67.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 31,5502024 5-year
- Median household income
- $51,4842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+96.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+79.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wayne County, GA · twin score 96.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 62.0%14,068 participants ÷ 22,707 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +31.0 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +3.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 31.0%–39.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 12,984 | 21,959 | 59.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 9,809 | 22,135 | 44.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 14,377 | 22,654 | 63.5% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 7,238 | 22,288 | 32.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 14,068 | 22,707 | 62.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
57 precincts · 14,068 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Pontotoc 5 P5Pontotoc 5 P5 | 244 | 835 | 5 | 1,084 | 22.5% | 77.0% | R+54.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Pontotoc 3 P3Pontotoc 3 P3 | 176 | 652 | 7 | 835 | 21.1% | 78.1% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -Ecru EcEcru Ec | 114 | 662 | 10 | 786 | 14.5% | 84.2% | R+69.7 |
| Precinct -RandolphRandolph | 29 | 730 | 6 | 765 | 3.8% | 95.4% | R+91.6 |
| Precinct -Springville SpSpringville Sp | 94 | 643 | 6 | 743 | 12.7% | 86.5% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -Cherry Creek CcCherry Creek Cc | 70 | 594 | 5 | 669 | 10.5% | 88.8% | R+78.3 |
| Precinct -Hoyle HoHoyle Ho | 237 | 409 | 10 | 656 | 36.1% | 62.3% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct -Bankhead BaBankhead Ba | 234 | 379 | 8 | 621 | 37.7% | 61.0% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct -Algoma AlAlgoma Al | 50 | 562 | 2 | 614 | 8.1% | 91.5% | R+83.4 |
| Precinct -Bethel/Endville BeBethel/Endville Be | 62 | 545 | 4 | 611 | 10.1% | 89.2% | R+79.1 |
| Precinct -Thaxton ThThaxton Th | 47 | 541 | 9 | 597 | 7.9% | 90.6% | R+82.7 |
| Precinct -Troy TrTroy Tr | 79 | 507 | 1 | 587 | 13.5% | 86.4% | R+72.9 |
| Precinct -Pontotoc 4 P4Pontotoc 4 P4 | 108 | 388 | 5 | 501 | 21.6% | 77.4% | R+55.9 |
| Precinct -Beckham BecBeckham Bec | 84 | 411 | 3 | 498 | 16.9% | 82.5% | R+65.7 |
| Precinct -Buchanan BuBuchanan Bu | 29 | 450 | 5 | 484 | 6.0% | 93.0% | R+87.0 |
| Precinct -Hurricane HuHurricane Hu | 29 | 446 | 1 | 476 | 6.1% | 93.7% | R+87.6 |
| Precinct -Pontotoc 2 P2Pontotoc 2 P2 | 86 | 384 | 5 | 475 | 18.1% | 80.8% | R+62.7 |
| Precinct -Zion ZZion Z | 96 | 355 | 5 | 456 | 21.1% | 77.9% | R+56.8 |
| Precinct -Turnpike TuTurnpike Tu | 22 | 367 | 1 | 390 | 5.6% | 94.1% | R+88.5 |
| Precinct -Pontotoc 1 P1Pontotoc 1 P1 | 70 | 280 | 2 | 352 | 19.9% | 79.5% | R+59.7 |
| Precinct -Oakhill OhOakhill Oh | 24 | 300 | 2 | 326 | 7.4% | 92.0% | R+84.7 |
| Precinct -Sherman ShSherman Sh | 30 | 283 | 1 | 314 | 9.6% | 90.1% | R+80.6 |
| Precinct -Judah JuJudah Ju | 13 | 274 | 1 | 288 | 4.5% | 95.1% | R+90.6 |
| Precinct -Longview LoLongview Lo | 95 | 167 | 3 | 265 | 35.8% | 63.0% | R+27.2 |
| Precinct -Toccopola ToToccopola To | 30 | 204 | 1 | 235 | 12.8% | 86.8% | R+74.0 |
| Precinct -Friendship FrFriendship Fr | 32 | 173 | 5 | 210 | 15.2% | 82.4% | R+67.1 |
| Precinct -Woodland WoWoodland Wo | 13 | 147 | 1 | 161 | 8.1% | 91.3% | R+83.2 |
| Precinct -Robbs RoRobbs Ro | 17 | 52 | 0 | 69 | 24.6% | 75.4% | R+50.7 |
| Algoma Voting District28_28115501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bankhead Voting District28_28115401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beckham Voting District28_28115502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bethel Voting District28_28115104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buchanan Voting District28_28115202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cherry Creek Voting District28_28115102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ecru Voting District28_28115108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Friendship Voting District28_28115101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hoyle Voting District28_28115404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hurricane Voting District28_28115201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Judah Voting District28_28115305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Longview Voting District28_28115403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Randolph Voting District28_28115301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oak Hill Voting District28_28115103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pontotoc 1 Voting District28_28115107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pontotoc 2 Voting District28_28115206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pontotoc 3 Voting District28_28115304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pontotoc 4 Voting District28_28115402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pontotoc 5 Voting District28_28115504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Robbs Voting District28_28115306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sherman Voting District28_28115106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Randolph Voting District28_28115302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Springville Voting District28_28115303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Thaxton Voting District28_28115203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Toccopola Voting District28_28115204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Troy Voting District28_28115503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Turnpike Voting District28_28115205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Woodland Voting District28_28115406 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Zion Voting District28_28115405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +49.0% |
| 1896 | +86.0% |
| 1900 | +56.6% |
| 1904 | +65.1% |
| 1908 | +66.8% |
| 1912 | +81.5% |
| 1916 | +84.4% |
| 1920 | +38.2% |
| 1924 | +86.7% |
| 1928 | +71.0% |
| 1932 | +96.4% |
| 1936 | +91.8% |
| 1940 | +93.6% |
| 1944 | +90.3% |
| 1948 | +16.7% |
| 1952 | +55.8% |
| 1956 | +70.6% |
| 1960 | +46.4% |
| 1964 | −58.7% |
| 1968 | −2.2% |
| 1972 | −79.7% |
| 1976 | +28.1% |
| 1980 | +16.7% |
| 1984 | −36.0% |
| 1988 | −28.0% |
| 1992 | −19.5% |
| 1996 | −21.9% |
| 2000 | −40.3% |
| 2004 | −51.8% |
| 2008 | −52.4% |
| 2012 | −53.5% |
| 2016 | −61.2% |
| 2020 | −62.2% |
| 2024 | −67.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 9 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 21,143 |
| 2018 | 21,657 |
| 2020 | 21,894 |
| 2022 | 21,927 |
| 2024 | 22,809 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+28 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,134 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $41,352 in average income, against $58,963 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+45.8 on average — 22 points more Democratic-leaning than Pontotoc County, MS itself (R+67.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lee County, MS184R+38.8
- Union County, MS116R+70.1
- Chickasaw County, MS47R+13.7
- Lafayette County, MS41R+21.8
- Calhoun County, MS33R+48.0
- Itawamba County, MS26R+80.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lee County, MS216
- Union County, MS111
- Chickasaw County, MS49
- Lafayette County, MS33
- Tippah County, MS24
- Calhoun County, MS23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −404 |
| 2012 | +344 |
| 2013 | +259 |
| 2014 | −8 |
| 2015 | −99 |
| 2016 | +439 |
| 2017 | +26 |
| 2018 | +18 |
| 2019 | +119 |
| 2021 | +146 |
| 2022 | +80 |
| 2023 | +122 |
| 2024 | +64 |
| 2025 | +28 |
Pontotoc County, in Mississippi's hill country northeast of the Delta, recorded an R+67.7 presidential margin in 2024—among the widest in the state—reflecting the deep rural realignment that has reshaped small-county voting across the South over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 96.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 79.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 67.7 points.
A population of 31,550, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,484 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wayne County and Chilton County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Wayne County
Georgia
96.7twin score
% Evangelical2008–2016 trajectory
Chilton County
Alabama
95.5twin score
2004–2012 trajectory% Evangelical
Union County
Mississippi
95.5twin score
2008–2024 trajectory% Evangelical
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Pontotoc County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28115/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Pontotoc County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Pontotoc County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Pontotoc County, Mississippi voted Republican by 67.7 points (R+67.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 14,068 votes cast, 2,214 went Democratic and 11,740 went Republican.
When did Pontotoc County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Pontotoc County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 1980.
How many people live in Pontotoc County, Mississippi?
Pontotoc County, Mississippi has a population of 31,550 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pontotoc County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Pontotoc County, Mississippi is $51,484 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Pontotoc County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Pontotoc County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.