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Akashic

state senate district

Arkansas 10th State Senate District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English11.0%12.3%9.5%

American10.9%7.5%5.3%

Irish8.9%8.9%9.4%

German8.0%9.2%12.5%

Scottish1.2%1.8%1.3%

Italian0.9%1.4%4.8%

French0.8%1.3%1.6%

Dutch0.6%——

African American†21.4%13.5%9.9%

African0.8%0.9%0.5%

Mexican1.7%6.3%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.2%0.3%1.8%

Salvadoran0.2%0.9%0.7%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	AR SD 10	Arkansas	United States
Median age	41.7	38.8	39.1
Age 18–24	7.8%	9.4%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	18.9%	17.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	AR SD 10	Arkansas	United States
Median household income	$49,473	$60,773	$84,427
Poverty rate	19.0%	16.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	16.4%	26.0%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	AR SD 10	Arkansas	United States
Owner-occupied homes	67.5%	66.4%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	32.5%	33.6%	34.8%
Median home value	$108,200	$188,000	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$717	$947	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	48.0%	44.8%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	18.2%	13.5%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	AR SD 10	Arkansas	United States
Mean commute	24.0 min	22.5 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	9.1%	5.6%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	83.0%	78.9%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.1%	0.3%	3.2%
Works from home	3.9%	8.8%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	AR SD 10	Arkansas	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	3.0%	8.3%	22.3%
Spanish	1.8%	6.2%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	AR SD 10	Arkansas	United States
Catholic	—	5.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	38.2%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	42.5%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	AR SD 10	Arkansas	United States
Foreign-born residents	1.7%	5.4%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.4%	1.9%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	1.3%	3.6%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	6.5%	7.4%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.488	0.479	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic26.8%8,382TrumpRepublican71.4%22,377OtherAll other candidates1.8%571

R+44.7

Lead: 13,995
Total: 31,330
vs nation: R+43.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic28.6%9,472TrumpRepublican68.4%22,632OtherAll other candidates2.9%966

R+39.8

Lead: 13,160
Total: 33,070
vs nation: R+44.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic33.9%10,841TrumpRepublican64.4%20,614OtherAll other candidates1.7%552

R+30.5

Lead: 9,773
Total: 32,007
vs nation: R+32.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic38.9%13,067RomneyRepublican58.7%19,743OtherAll other candidates2.4%810

R+19.9

Lead: 6,676
Total: 33,620
vs nation: R+23.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic39.4%14,099McCainRepublican57.8%20,716OtherAll other candidates2.8%998

R+18.5

Lead: 6,617
Total: 35,813
vs nation: R+25.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic49.1%18,208BushRepublican49.9%18,492OtherAll other candidates1.0%359

R+0.8

Lead: 284
Total: 37,059
vs nation: D+1.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic51.6%17,517BushRepublican46.6%15,802OtherAll other candidates1.8%627

D+5.1

Lead: 1,715
Total: 33,946
vs nation: D+4.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic62.2%21,631DoleRepublican29.4%10,220OtherAll other candidates8.5%2,947

D+32.8

Lead: 11,411
Total: 34,798
vs nation: D+24.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+44.7MIT Election Lab
Population: 86,5092024 5-year
Population density: 19 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 4,522 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $49,4732024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 70.2%2024 5-year
Black: 22.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+83.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+44.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State Senate District 1, AR · twin score 94.4

presidential history

Party record book

Arkansas 10th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

91.1%

14,016 votes · D+83.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 87.6%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

71.4%

22,377 votes · R+44.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 69.9%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Jimmy Carter1976

29,104votes

70.9% of the vote · D+42.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 24,612 votes

Republican

Richard Nixon1972

24,890votes

69.9% of the vote · R+41.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 23,337 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

+65.2pts D vs U.S.

Place D+83.0 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +60.2 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2020

+44.3pts R vs U.S.

Place R+39.8 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +43.2 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RRon CaldwellState Senate · 10

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 2 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	26.6%7,509	73.4%20,719	28,228
2020	R	0.0%0	100.0%27,871	27,871

With an R+44.7 presidential margin in 2024, this district sits closer to the center than most of Arkansas, reflecting a suburban mix of college-educated professionals and longtime residents navigating the state's broader rightward shift.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 83.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 44.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.7 points.

A population of 86,509, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,473 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 1 and State Senate District 41.

Political twins — state-senate districts

The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State Senate District 1

2020–2024 trajectory% Evangelical12-yr trend≠ % unaffiliated

State Senate District 41

2020–2024 trajectory% Evangelical% Catholic

State Senate District 19

12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory% Evangelical

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Arkansas 10th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/05010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Arkansas at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2022 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Places within Arkansas 10th State Senate District

counties it covers10

Arkansas County Cross County Jackson County Lee County Lonoke County Monroe County Poinsett County Prairie County St. Francis County Woodruff County

Frequently asked questions

How did Arkansas 10th State Senate District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Arkansas 10th State Senate District voted Republican by 44.7 points (R+44.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 31,330 votes cast, 8,382 went Democratic and 22,377 went Republican.

When did Arkansas 10th State Senate District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Arkansas 10th State Senate District voted Democratic was 2000.

How many people live in Arkansas 10th State Senate District?

Arkansas 10th State Senate District has a population of 86,509 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Arkansas 10th State Senate District?

Median household income in Arkansas 10th State Senate District is $49,473 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.

What is the political history of Arkansas 10th State Senate District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arkansas 10th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 28 went Democratic and 9 went Republican.