- Lead
- 13,372
- Total
- 31,094
- vs nation
- R+41.5
Arkansas 1st State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 12,964
- Total
- 34,430
- vs nation
- R+42.1
- Lead
- 10,738
- Total
- 33,068
- vs nation
- R+34.6
- Lead
- 8,226
- Total
- 33,616
- vs nation
- R+28.3
- Lead
- 9,163
- Total
- 36,744
- vs nation
- R+32.2
- Lead
- 3,179
- Total
- 35,512
- vs nation
- R+6.5
- Lead
- 301
- Total
- 32,891
- vs nation
- R+1.4
- Lead
- 8,307
- Total
- 31,708
- vs nation
- D+17.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+43.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 83,9962024 5-year
- Population density
- 20 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,161 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $49,2932024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 24.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+86.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 3, AR · twin score 97.5
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 1st State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
93.3%
7,121 votes · D+86.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 91.5%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
75.9%
24,482 votes · R+52.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 70.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
21,883votes
65.4% of the vote · D+30.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 20,971 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
24,482votes
75.9% of the vote · R+52.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 23,292 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
+68.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+78.1 · U.S. D+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +65.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+42.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+37.7 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +41.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 30.8%8,875 | 69.2%19,985 | 28,860 |
| 2020 | R | 26.7%8,272 | 73.3%22,730 | 31,002 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+43.0, this district in Arkansas anchors one end of the state's partisan spectrum. Its roughly 84,000 residents are concentrated in a part of the state where statewide Republican candidates routinely post some of their strongest numbers.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 86.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 52.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.0 points.
A population of 83,996, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,293 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 3 and State Senate District 2.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 1st State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/05001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.