| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 813 | 2,502 | 3,372 | |
| 2020 | R | 1,032 | 2,729 | 3,875 | |
| 2016 | R | 1,252 | 2,455 | 3,755 | |
| 2012 | R | 1,425 | 2,199 | 3,726 | |
| 2008 | R | 1,710 | 2,513 | 4,406 | |
| 2004 | D | 2,149 | 1,921 | 4,109 | |
| 2000 | D | 1,957 | 1,526 | 3,546 | |
| 1996 | D | 2,517 | 907 | 3,668 | |
| 1992 | D | 2,805 | 1,142 | 4,347 | |
| 1988 | D | 2,204 | 1,557 | 3,794 | |
| 1984 | D | 2,406 | 1,860 | 4,272 | |
| 1980 | D | 2,517 | 1,243 | 3,849 | |
| 1976 | D | 3,045 | 699 | 3,744 | |
| 1972 | R | 1,115 | 2,318 | 3,433 | |
| 1968 | D | 1,209 | 488 | 3,781 | |
| 1964 | D | 2,468 | 1,410 | 3,882 | |
| 1960 | D | 1,780 | 626 | 2,646 | |
| 1956 | D | 1,616 | 767 | 2,405 | |
| 1952 | D | 1,871 | 595 | 2,472 | |
| 1948 | D | 1,108 | 378 | 1,681 | |
| 1944 | D | 1,034 | 141 | 1,175 | |
| 1940 | D | 916 | 99 | 1,025 | |
| 1936 | D | 913 | 39 | 952 | |
| 1932 | D | 1,301 | 49 | 1,351 | |
| 1928 | D | 869 | 151 | 1,021 | |
| 1924 | D | 563 | 170 | 738 | |
| 1920 | R | 888 | 988 | 1,885 | |
| 1916 | D | 889 | 477 | 1,366 | |
| 1912 | D | 390 | 292 | 920 | |
| 1908 | D | 389 | 159 | 581 | |
| 1904 | D | 544 | 352 | 931 | |
| 1900 | D | 794 | 392 | 1,201 | |
| 1896 | D | 1,026 | 236 | 1,265 | |
| 1892 | R | 730 | 1,033 | 1,888 | |
| 1888 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1884 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1880 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1876 | — | — | — | — |
Lincoln County sits at the southeastern fringe of Arkansas's Gulf Coastal Plain, with a population under 15,000 that skews heavily rural. Its 2024 presidential margin of R+50 reflects a long-running realignment away from its historically Democratic roots.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Lincoln County peaked at ninety-three points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2008 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of eighteen points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.
The economic and demographic context is severe. Lincoln County's median household income of $51,778 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assumption Parish and Jackson County.
