- Lead
- 123,856
- Total
- 273,439
- vs nation
- R+43.8
Arkansas 1st Congressional District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 117,319
- Total
- 286,799
- vs nation
- R+45.4
- Lead
- 95,883
- Total
- 267,237
- vs nation
- R+38.0
- Lead
- 66,003
- Total
- 267,166
- vs nation
- R+28.6
- Lead
- 51,918
- Total
- 276,509
- vs nation
- R+26.0
- Lead
- 11,835
- Total
- 272,719
- vs nation
- R+1.9
- Lead
- 3,480
- Total
- 244,689
- vs nation
- D+0.9
- Lead
- 57,068
- Total
- 242,236
- vs nation
- D+15.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+45.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 752,5002024 5-year
- Population density
- 38 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 19,850 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $52,7712024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+79.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Congressional District 4, AR · twin score 97.7
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 1st Congressional District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
89.1%
67,809 votes · D+79.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 82.9%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
71.7%
196,034 votes · R+45.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 69.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
162,974votes
68.3% of the vote · D+36.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 154,359 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
197,837votes
69.0% of the vote · R+40.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 196,034 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+61.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+79.1 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +61.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+45.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+40.9 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +43.8 pts
Current officeholders
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Arkansas's 1st stretches across the Mississippi Delta and Ozark highlands, combining rural agricultural communities with small river cities. Its R+45.3 presidential margin in 2024 places it among the most consistently one-sided congressional districts in the country.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 79.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 45.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.3 points.
A population of 752,500, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,771 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 4 and Congressional District 3.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 1st Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0501/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.