Akashic

county

Greene County, AR

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English14.5%12.3%9.5%

American14.3%7.5%5.3%

Irish10.9%8.9%9.4%

German8.2%9.2%12.5%

Scottish1.7%1.8%1.3%

Italian1.4%1.4%4.8%

French1.0%1.3%1.6%

Dutch1.0%——

Mexican2.5%6.3%11.3%

Guatemalan0.6%0.4%0.5%

Puerto Rican0.2%0.3%1.8%

Spanish0.2%——

African American†2.1%13.5%9.9%

Chuukese0.3%——

Marshallese0.2%0.3%—

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Greene County	Arkansas	United States
Median age	38	38.8	39.1
Age 18–24	8.3%	9.4%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	16.2%	17.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Greene County	Arkansas	United States
Median household income	$57,839	$60,773	$84,427
Poverty rate	17.4%	16.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	16.9%	26.0%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Greene County	Arkansas	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	2.3%	8.3%	22.3%
Spanish	1.5%	6.2%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Greene County	Arkansas	United States
Catholic	0.5%	5.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	40.3%	38.2%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	53.3%	42.5%	51.5%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 45.4% of 35,013 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic18.6%2,935TrumpRepublican79.8%12,617KennedyIndependent1.0%166

R+61.2

Lead: 9,682
Total: 15,820
vs nation: R+59.7
Turnout: 45.4%

BidenDemocratic19.0%3,058TrumpRepublican78.7%12,670JorgensenLibertarian1.2%188

R+59.7

Lead: 9,612
Total: 16,100
vs nation: R+64.2
Turnout: 47.7%

ClintonDemocratic21.6%3,071TrumpRepublican75.5%10,720JohnsonLibertarian2.8%404

R+53.9

Lead: 7,649
Total: 14,195
vs nation: R+56.0
Turnout: 44.4%

ObamaDemocratic29.1%4,000RomneyRepublican65.9%9,071GrayLibertarian3.1%431

R+36.9

Lead: 5,071
Total: 13,761
vs nation: R+40.7
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic33.4%4,541McCainRepublican63.0%8,578OtherAll other candidates3.6%493

R+29.7

Lead: 4,037
Total: 13,612
vs nation: R+36.9
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic47.0%6,564BushRepublican51.9%7,237OtherAll other candidates1.1%154

R+4.8

Lead: 673
Total: 13,955
vs nation: R+2.4
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic50.6%6,319BushRepublican46.7%5,831NaderGreen1.6%205

D+3.9

Lead: 488
Total: 12,484
vs nation: D+3.4
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic57.6%6,622DoleRepublican32.7%3,757PerotReform8.8%1,014

D+24.9

Lead: 2,865
Total: 11,495
vs nation: D+16.4
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+61.2MIT Election Lab
Population: 46,4322024 5-year
Median household income: $57,8392024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 88.4%2024 5-year
Black: 2.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+83.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+61.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Lawrence County, AR · twin score 95.2

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 45.4%15,879 participants ÷ 35,013 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +13.2 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off versus state: -1.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 32.2%–32.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	14,575	32,795	44.4%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	10,953	33,404	32.8%	C/A
2020 · Presidential	16,186	33,955	47.7%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	11,935	34,623	34.5%	C/A
2024 · Presidential	15,879	35,013	45.4%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

11 precincts · 15,820 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Greene County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -JP 3JP 3	392	1,538	27	1,957	20.0%	78.6%	R+58.6
Precinct -JP - DISTRICT 11JP - DISTRICT 11	240	1,460	30	1,730	13.9%	84.4%	R+70.5
Precinct -JP 5JP 5	322	1,348	28	1,698	19.0%	79.4%	R+60.4
Precinct -JP - DISTRICT 09JP - DISTRICT 09	246	1,384	28	1,658	14.8%	83.5%	R+68.6
Precinct -JP 4JP 4	268	1,354	21	1,643	16.3%	82.4%	R+66.1
Precinct -JP - DISTRICT 10JP - DISTRICT 10	211	1,262	26	1,499	14.1%	84.2%	R+70.1
Precinct -JP - DISTRICT 07JP - DISTRICT 07	258	1,161	25	1,444	17.9%	80.4%	R+62.5
Precinct -JP 6JP 6	332	1,001	26	1,359	24.4%	73.7%	R+49.2
Precinct -JP - DISTRICT 08JP - DISTRICT 08	214	973	21	1,208	17.7%	80.5%	R+62.8
Precinct -JP 2JP 2	264	610	22	896	29.5%	68.1%	R+38.6
Precinct -JP - DISTRICT 01JP - DISTRICT 01	188	526	14	728	25.8%	72.3%	R+46.4

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+50.9%
1896	+71.8%
1900	+44.0%
1904	+36.9%
1908	+47.1%
1912	+47.4%
1916	+62.3%
1920	+26.3%
1924	+35.8%
1928	+16.9%
1932	+83.8%
1936	+62.8%
1940	+62.5%
1944	+46.8%
1948	+63.6%
1952	+31.1%
1956	+28.9%
1960	+2.1%
1964	+35.1%
1968	−8.2%
1972	−46.1%
1976	+47.1%
1980	+13.7%
1984	−13.2%
1988	−0.9%
1992	+32.7%
1996	+24.9%
2000	+3.9%
2004	−4.8%
2008	−29.7%
2012	−36.9%
2016	−53.9%
2020	−59.7%
2024	−61.2%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	18.6%Harris2,935	79.8%Trump12,617	1.0%Kennedy166	R+61.2	R+1.5	R+59.7	15,820
2020	R	19.0%Biden3,058	78.7%Trump12,670	1.2%Jorgensen188	R+59.7	R+5.8	R+64.2	16,100
2016	R	21.6%Clinton3,071	75.5%Trump10,720	2.8%Johnson404	R+53.9	R+17.0	R+56.0	14,195
2012	R	29.1%Obama4,000	65.9%Romney9,071	3.1%Gray431	R+36.9	R+7.2	R+40.7	13,761
2008	R	33.4%Obama4,541	63.0%McCain8,578	3.6%	R+29.7	R+24.8	R+36.9	13,612
2004	R	47.0%Kerry6,564	51.9%Bush7,237	1.1%	R+4.8	R+8.7	R+2.4	13,955
2000	D	50.6%Gore6,319	46.7%Bush5,831	1.6%Nader205	D+3.9	R+21.0	D+3.4	12,484
1996	D	57.6%Clinton6,622	32.7%Dole3,757	8.8%Perot1,014	D+24.9	R+7.8	D+16.4	11,495
1992	D	61.2%Clinton7,541	28.5%Bush3,510	9.8%Perot1,213	D+32.7	D+33.6	D+27.2	12,322
1988	R	49.1%Dukakis5,065	50.1%Bush5,161	0.8%	R+0.9	D+12.2	D+6.8	10,310
1984	R	43.0%Mondale4,730	56.2%Reagan6,179	0.8%	R+13.2	R+26.8	D+5.0	11,000
1980	D	55.3%Carter5,996	41.6%Reagan4,514	3.1%	D+13.7	R+33.5	D+23.4	10,841
1976	D	73.5%Carter7,495	26.4%Ford2,690	0.1%	D+47.1	D+93.2	D+45.1	10,192
1972	R	27.0%McGovern2,263	73.0%Nixon6,128	0.0%	R+46.1	R+37.9	R+22.9	8,391
1968	O	27.2%Humphrey2,197	35.4%Nixon2,859	37.4%	Wallace +2.0	R+43.3	R+7.5	8,077
1964	D	67.4%Johnson4,742	32.3%Goldwater2,271	0.3%	D+35.1	D+33.0	D+12.5	7,037
1960	D	49.8%Kennedy2,774	47.7%Nixon2,658	2.5%	D+2.1	R+26.8	D+1.9	5,569
1956	D	64.1%Stevenson3,454	35.2%Eisenhower1,898	0.7%	D+28.9	R+2.2	D+44.3	5,389
1952	D	65.4%Stevenson3,571	34.4%Eisenhower1,875	0.2%	D+31.1	R+32.5	D+41.8	5,458
1948	D	78.4%Truman2,657	14.8%Dewey502	6.8%	D+63.6	D+16.8	D+59.1	3,390
1944	D	73.3%Roosevelt2,565	26.5%Dewey928	0.2%	D+46.8	R+15.8	D+39.3	3,501
1940	D	81.2%Roosevelt2,220	18.6%Willkie510	0.2%	D+62.5	R+0.2	D+52.6	2,735
1936	D	81.2%Roosevelt1,811	18.5%Landon412	0.3%	D+62.8	R+21.0	D+38.5	2,229
1932	D	91.4%Roosevelt3,277	7.6%Hoover274	0.9%	D+83.8	D+66.9	D+66.0	3,584
1928	D	58.2%Smith1,426	41.3%Hoover1,011	0.5%	D+16.9	R+18.8	D+34.4	2,450
1924	D	59.3%Davis1,148	23.6%Coolidge456	17.1%La Follette331	D+35.8	D+9.5	D+60.9	1,935
1920	D	61.8%Cox1,865	35.5%Harding1,072	2.7%	D+26.3	R+36.0	D+52.5	3,017
1916	D	81.1%Wilson2,292	18.9%Hughes533	0.0%	D+62.3	D+14.8	D+59.1	2,825
1912	D	61.5%Wilson1,251	14.1%Taft286	24.5%	D+47.4	D+0.3	D+27.9	2,035
1908	D	71.6%Bryan1,606	24.5%Taft549	3.9%	D+47.1	D+10.2	D+56.7	2,243
1904	D	66.4%Parker922	29.4%Roosevelt409	4.2%	D+36.9	R+7.1	D+56.6	1,389
1900	D	71.4%Bryan1,091	27.4%McKinley419	1.1%	D+44.0	R+27.8	D+51.6	1,527
1896	D	85.6%Bryan1,627	13.8%McKinley262	0.6%	D+71.8	D+21.0	D+77.9	1,900
1892	D	68.6%Cleveland1,241	17.7%Harrison321	13.7%	D+50.9	—	D+49.2	1,809
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 33 Senate · 2 Senate special · 15 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	16.8%2,522	83.2%12,465	14,987
2018	R	21.8%43	78.2%154	197

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	17.6%2,027	78.7%9,050	11,506
2020Class III	R	0.0%None0	81.0%Tom Cotton12,820	15,822
2016Class III	R	24.2%Conner Eldridge3,405	70.1%John Boozman9,842	14,042
2014Class II	R	33.1%Mark Pryor3,675	61.9%Tom Cotton6,865	11,099
2010Class III	R	36.3%Blanche Lincoln3,315	59.0%John Boozman5,389	9,131
2008Class II	D	78.6%Mark Pryor9,909	0.0%None0	12,609
2004Class III	D	57.9%Blanche Lincoln8,154	42.0%Jim Holt5,914	14,085
2002Class II	D	60.6%Mark Pryor6,803	39.4%Tim Hutchinson4,414	11,217
1998Class III	D	65.9%Blanche Lincoln6,022	31.7%Fay Boozman2,898	9,134
1996Class II	D	52.7%Winston Bryant6,106	47.3%Tim Hutchinson5,475	11,581
1992Class III	D	69.8%Dale Bumpers8,904	30.2%Mike Huckabee3,860	12,764
1990Class II	D	97.0%David Pryor7,655	0.0%None0	7,891
1986Class III	D	70.0%Dale Bumpers5,720	30.0%Asa Hutchinson2,454	8,176
1984Class II	D	63.6%David Pryor7,658	36.4%Ed Bethune4,389	12,047
1980Class III	D	66.7%Dale Bumpers7,297	33.3%Bill Clark3,647	10,944
1978Class II	D	74.1%David Pryor5,125	10.3%Tom Kelly716	6,918
1974Class III	D	87.7%Dale Bumpers5,242	12.3%John Harris Jones735	5,977
1972Class II	D	66.1%John L. McClellan5,581	33.9%Wayne H. Babbitt2,863	8,444
1968Class III	D	60.8%J. William Fulbright4,761	39.2%Charles Bernard3,066	7,827
1962Class III	D	78.5%J. William Fulbright2,597	21.5%Kenneth Jones711	3,308
1956Class III	D	88.4%J. William Fulbright4,969	11.6%Ben C. Henley650	5,619
1954Class II	D	100.0%John L. McClellan4,252	0.0%None0	4,252
1950Class III	D	100.0%J. William Fulbright4,638	0.0%None0	4,638
1948Class II	D	95.5%John L. McClellan3,438	0.0%None0	3,600
1944Class III	D	86.7%J. William Fulbright3,031	13.3%Victor M. Wade464	3,495
1942Class II	D	100.0%John L. McClellan1,765	0.0%None0	1,765
1938Class III	D	91.5%Hattie Caraway1,511	8.5%C.T. Atkinson141	1,652
1936Class II	D	85.1%Joseph T. Robinson1,924	14.0%G.C. Ledbetter317	2,261
1932Class III	D	94.2%Hattie Caraway2,857	5.8%John W. White175	3,032
1930Class II	D	100.0%Joseph T. Robinson1,732	0.0%None0	1,732
1926Class III	D	90.7%Thaddeus H. Caraway321	9.3%R.A. Jones33	354
1920Class III	D	74.7%Thaddeus H. Caraway2,387	25.3%Charles F. Cole807	3,194
1918Class II	D	100.0%Joseph T. Robinson1,917	0.0%None0	1,917

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1937Special · Class II	D	33.0%Carl E. Bailey407	0.0%None0	1,235
1916Special · Class III	D	78.5%William F. Kirby2,216	21.5%H.L. Remmel608	2,824

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	20.2%Chris Jones2,330	77.7%Sarah Huckabee Sanders8,982	11,562
2018	R	19.1%Jared K Henderson2,088	75.6%Governor Asa Hutchinson8,275	10,953
2014	R	39.0%Mike Ross4,321	57.3%Asa Hutchinson6,355	11,085
2010	D	67.6%Mike Beebe6,213	30.6%Jim Keet2,809	9,190
2006	D	62.2%Mike Beebe5,724	35.7%Asa Hutchinson3,283	9,203
2002	D	57.8%Jimmie Lou Fisher6,458	42.2%Mike Huckabee4,722	11,180
1998	R	44.0%Bill Bristow4,034	54.6%Mike Huckabee5,005	9,162
1994	D	61.4%Jim Guy Tucker6,051	38.6%Sheffield Nelson3,808	9,859
1990	D	62.5%Bill Clinton5,342	37.5%Sheffield Nelson3,208	8,550
1986	D	68.2%Bill Clinton5,370	31.7%Frank D. White2,491	7,869
1984	D	61.1%Bill Clinton7,371	38.9%Woody Freeman4,696	12,067
1982	D	65.2%Bill Clinton8,205	34.8%Frank D. White4,381	12,586
1980	R	46.5%Bill Clinton5,072	53.5%Frank D. White5,825	10,897
1978	D	69.2%Bill Clinton5,115	30.8%Lynn Lowe2,275	7,390
1976	D	88.7%David Pryor8,864	11.3%Leon Griffith1,132	9,996

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Greene County, AR
Year	Total registered
2018	21,564
2020	22,061
2022	22,352
2024	24,086

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+348 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +3,867 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $43,182 in average income, against $64,558 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+41.4 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Greene County, AR itself (R+61.2).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Craighead County, AR340R+37.4
Clay County, AR103R+61.6
Dunklin County, MO53R+61.8
Mississippi County, AR38R+31.6
Lawrence County, AR33R+64.0
Shelby County, TN32D+25.4

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Craighead County, AR282
Clay County, AR72
Randolph County, AR37
Dunklin County, MO37
Lawrence County, AR31
Mississippi County, AR20

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Greene County, AR in Greene County, AR: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+465
2012	+316
2013	−143
2014	+526
2015	+360
2016	+336
2017	+210
2018	+291
2019	−87
2021	+531
2022	+181
2023	+354
2024	+179
2025	+348

Greene County, anchored by Paragould in the state's northeast corner, recorded an R+61.2 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the most one-sided counties in a state that has trended heavily Republican over the past two decades.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 83.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 61.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.2 points.

A population of 46,432, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,839 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lawrence County and Jackson County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Lawrence County

Arkansas

95.2twin score

elasticity2000–2024 trajectory≠ English ancestry

Jackson County

Alabama

94.0twin score

elasticity2000–2024 trajectory≠ median age

Perry County

Arkansas

93.6twin score

elasticity2020–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ population scale

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Greene County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05055/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Greene County

Paragould

R+57

30.2K residents

Arkansas at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2022 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Greene County, Arkansas vote in 2024?

In 2024, Greene County, Arkansas voted Republican by 61.2 points (R+61.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 15,820 votes cast, 2,935 went Democratic and 12,617 went Republican.

When did Greene County, Arkansas last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Greene County, Arkansas voted Democratic was 2000.

How many people live in Greene County, Arkansas?

Greene County, Arkansas has a population of 46,432 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Greene County, Arkansas?

Median household income in Greene County, Arkansas is $57,839 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.

What is the political history of Greene County, Arkansas?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Greene County, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 9 went Republican.

Measure

Greene County

Arkansas

United States

Median age

38.8

39.1

Age 18–24

8.3%

9.4%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

16.2%

17.5%

17.2%

Measure

Greene County

Arkansas

United States

Median household income

$57,839

$60,773

$84,427

Poverty rate

17.4%

16.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

16.9%

26.0%

35.6%

Measure

Greene County

Arkansas

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

2.3%

8.3%

22.3%

Spanish

1.5%

6.2%

13.6%

Measure

Greene County

Arkansas

United States

Catholic

0.5%

5.2%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

40.3%

38.2%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

53.3%

42.5%

51.5%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+61.2MIT Election Lab

Population

46,4322024 5-year

Median household income

$57,8392024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

88.4%2024 5-year

Black

2.2%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

3.7%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+83.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+61.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Lawrence County, AR · twin score 95.2

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

14,575

32,795

44.4%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

10,953

33,404

32.8%

C/A

2020 · Presidential

16,186

33,955

47.7%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

11,935

34,623

34.5%

C/A

2024 · Presidential

15,879

35,013

45.4%

A/A

Greene County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -JP 3JP 3

392

1,538

1,957

20.0%

78.6%

R+58.6

Precinct -JP - DISTRICT 11JP - DISTRICT 11

240

1,460

1,730

13.9%

84.4%

R+70.5

Precinct -JP 5JP 5

322

1,348

1,698

19.0%

79.4%

R+60.4

Precinct -JP - DISTRICT 09JP - DISTRICT 09

246

1,384

1,658

14.8%

83.5%

R+68.6

Precinct -JP 4JP 4

268

1,354

1,643

16.3%

82.4%

R+66.1

Precinct -JP - DISTRICT 10JP - DISTRICT 10

211

1,262

1,499

14.1%

84.2%

R+70.1

Precinct -JP - DISTRICT 07JP - DISTRICT 07

258

1,161

1,444

17.9%

80.4%

R+62.5

Precinct -JP 6JP 6

332

1,001

1,359

24.4%

73.7%

R+49.2

Precinct -JP - DISTRICT 08JP - DISTRICT 08

214

973

1,208

17.7%

80.5%

R+62.8

Precinct -JP 2JP 2

264

610

896

29.5%

68.1%

R+38.6

Precinct -JP - DISTRICT 01JP - DISTRICT 01

188

526

728

25.8%

72.3%

R+46.4

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+50.9%
1896	+71.8%
1900	+44.0%
1904	+36.9%
1908	+47.1%
1912	+47.4%
1916	+62.3%
1920	+26.3%
1924	+35.8%
1928	+16.9%
1932	+83.8%
1936	+62.8%
1940	+62.5%
1944	+46.8%
1948	+63.6%
1952	+31.1%
1956	+28.9%
1960	+2.1%
1964	+35.1%
1968	−8.2%
1972	−46.1%
1976	+47.1%
1980	+13.7%
1984	−13.2%
1988	−0.9%
1992	+32.7%
1996	+24.9%
2000	+3.9%
2004	−4.8%
2008	−29.7%
2012	−36.9%
2016	−53.9%
2020	−59.7%
2024	−61.2%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

18.6%Harris2,935

79.8%Trump12,617

1.0%Kennedy166

R+61.2

R+1.5

R+59.7

15,820

2020

19.0%Biden3,058

78.7%Trump12,670

1.2%Jorgensen188

R+59.7

R+5.8

R+64.2

16,100

2016

21.6%Clinton3,071

75.5%Trump10,720

2.8%Johnson404

R+53.9

R+17.0

R+56.0

14,195

2012

29.1%Obama4,000

65.9%Romney9,071

3.1%Gray431

R+36.9

R+7.2

R+40.7

13,761

2008

33.4%Obama4,541

63.0%McCain8,578

3.6%

R+29.7

R+24.8

R+36.9

13,612

2004

47.0%Kerry6,564

51.9%Bush7,237

1.1%

R+4.8

R+8.7

R+2.4

13,955

2000

50.6%Gore6,319

46.7%Bush5,831

1.6%Nader205

D+3.9

R+21.0

D+3.4

12,484

1996

57.6%Clinton6,622

32.7%Dole3,757

8.8%Perot1,014

D+24.9

R+7.8

D+16.4

11,495

1992

61.2%Clinton7,541

28.5%Bush3,510

9.8%Perot1,213

D+32.7

D+33.6

D+27.2

12,322

1988

49.1%Dukakis5,065

50.1%Bush5,161

0.8%

R+0.9

D+12.2

D+6.8

10,310

1984

43.0%Mondale4,730

56.2%Reagan6,179

0.8%

R+13.2

R+26.8

D+5.0

11,000

1980

55.3%Carter5,996

41.6%Reagan4,514

3.1%

D+13.7

R+33.5

D+23.4

10,841

1976

73.5%Carter7,495

26.4%Ford2,690

0.1%

D+47.1

D+93.2

D+45.1

10,192

1972

27.0%McGovern2,263

73.0%Nixon6,128

0.0%

R+46.1

R+37.9

R+22.9

8,391

1968

27.2%Humphrey2,197

35.4%Nixon2,859

37.4%

Wallace +2.0

R+43.3

R+7.5

8,077

1964

67.4%Johnson4,742

32.3%Goldwater2,271

0.3%

D+35.1

D+33.0

D+12.5

7,037

1960

49.8%Kennedy2,774

47.7%Nixon2,658

2.5%

D+2.1

R+26.8

D+1.9

5,569

1956

64.1%Stevenson3,454

35.2%Eisenhower1,898

0.7%

D+28.9

R+2.2

D+44.3

5,389

1952

65.4%Stevenson3,571

34.4%Eisenhower1,875

0.2%

D+31.1

R+32.5

D+41.8

5,458

1948

78.4%Truman2,657

14.8%Dewey502

6.8%

D+63.6

D+16.8

D+59.1

3,390

1944

73.3%Roosevelt2,565

26.5%Dewey928

0.2%

D+46.8

R+15.8

D+39.3

3,501

1940

81.2%Roosevelt2,220

18.6%Willkie510

0.2%

D+62.5

R+0.2

D+52.6

2,735

1936

81.2%Roosevelt1,811

18.5%Landon412

0.3%

D+62.8

R+21.0

D+38.5

2,229

1932

91.4%Roosevelt3,277

7.6%Hoover274

0.9%

D+83.8

D+66.9

D+66.0

3,584

1928

58.2%Smith1,426

41.3%Hoover1,011

0.5%

D+16.9

R+18.8

D+34.4

2,450

1924

59.3%Davis1,148

23.6%Coolidge456

17.1%La Follette331

D+35.8

D+9.5

D+60.9

1,935

1920

61.8%Cox1,865

35.5%Harding1,072

2.7%

D+26.3

R+36.0

D+52.5

3,017

1916

81.1%Wilson2,292

18.9%Hughes533

0.0%

D+62.3

D+14.8

D+59.1

2,825

1912

61.5%Wilson1,251

14.1%Taft286

24.5%

D+47.4

D+0.3

D+27.9

2,035

1908

71.6%Bryan1,606

24.5%Taft549

3.9%

D+47.1

D+10.2

D+56.7

2,243

1904

66.4%Parker922

29.4%Roosevelt409

4.2%

D+36.9

R+7.1

D+56.6

1,389

1900

71.4%Bryan1,091

27.4%McKinley419

1.1%

D+44.0

R+27.8

D+51.6

1,527

1896

85.6%Bryan1,627

13.8%McKinley262

0.6%

D+71.8

D+21.0

D+77.9

1,900

1892

68.6%Cleveland1,241

17.7%Harrison321

13.7%

D+50.9

—

D+49.2

1,809

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

16.8%2,522

83.2%12,465

14,987

2018

21.8%43

78.2%154

197

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

17.6%2,027

78.7%9,050

11,506

2020Class III

0.0%None0

81.0%Tom Cotton12,820

15,822

2016Class III

24.2%Conner Eldridge3,405

70.1%John Boozman9,842

14,042

2014Class II

33.1%Mark Pryor3,675

61.9%Tom Cotton6,865

11,099

2010Class III

36.3%Blanche Lincoln3,315

59.0%John Boozman5,389

9,131

2008Class II

78.6%Mark Pryor9,909

0.0%None0

12,609

2004Class III

57.9%Blanche Lincoln8,154

42.0%Jim Holt5,914

14,085

2002Class II

60.6%Mark Pryor6,803

39.4%Tim Hutchinson4,414

11,217

1998Class III

65.9%Blanche Lincoln6,022

31.7%Fay Boozman2,898

9,134

1996Class II

52.7%Winston Bryant6,106

47.3%Tim Hutchinson5,475

11,581

1992Class III

69.8%Dale Bumpers8,904

30.2%Mike Huckabee3,860

12,764

1990Class II

97.0%David Pryor7,655

0.0%None0

7,891

1986Class III

70.0%Dale Bumpers5,720

30.0%Asa Hutchinson2,454

8,176

1984Class II

63.6%David Pryor7,658

36.4%Ed Bethune4,389

12,047

1980Class III

66.7%Dale Bumpers7,297

33.3%Bill Clark3,647

10,944

1978Class II

74.1%David Pryor5,125

10.3%Tom Kelly716

6,918

1974Class III

87.7%Dale Bumpers5,242

12.3%John Harris Jones735

5,977

1972Class II

66.1%John L. McClellan5,581

33.9%Wayne H. Babbitt2,863

8,444

1968Class III

60.8%J. William Fulbright4,761

39.2%Charles Bernard3,066

7,827

1962Class III

78.5%J. William Fulbright2,597

21.5%Kenneth Jones711

3,308

1956Class III

88.4%J. William Fulbright4,969

11.6%Ben C. Henley650

5,619

1954Class II

100.0%John L. McClellan4,252

0.0%None0

4,252

1950Class III

100.0%J. William Fulbright4,638

0.0%None0

4,638

1948Class II

95.5%John L. McClellan3,438

0.0%None0

3,600

1944Class III

86.7%J. William Fulbright3,031

13.3%Victor M. Wade464

3,495

1942Class II

100.0%John L. McClellan1,765

0.0%None0

1,765

1938Class III

91.5%Hattie Caraway1,511

8.5%C.T. Atkinson141

1,652

1936Class II

85.1%Joseph T. Robinson1,924

14.0%G.C. Ledbetter317

2,261

1932Class III

94.2%Hattie Caraway2,857

5.8%John W. White175

3,032

1930Class II

100.0%Joseph T. Robinson1,732

0.0%None0

1,732

1926Class III

90.7%Thaddeus H. Caraway321

9.3%R.A. Jones33

354

1920Class III

74.7%Thaddeus H. Caraway2,387

25.3%Charles F. Cole807

3,194

1918Class II

100.0%Joseph T. Robinson1,917

0.0%None0

1,917

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1937Special · Class II

33.0%Carl E. Bailey407

0.0%None0

1,235

1916Special · Class III

78.5%William F. Kirby2,216

21.5%H.L. Remmel608

2,824

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

20.2%Chris Jones2,330

77.7%Sarah Huckabee Sanders8,982

11,562

2018

19.1%Jared K Henderson2,088

75.6%Governor Asa Hutchinson8,275

10,953

2014

39.0%Mike Ross4,321

57.3%Asa Hutchinson6,355

11,085

2010

67.6%Mike Beebe6,213

30.6%Jim Keet2,809

9,190

2006

62.2%Mike Beebe5,724

35.7%Asa Hutchinson3,283

9,203

2002

57.8%Jimmie Lou Fisher6,458

42.2%Mike Huckabee4,722

11,180

1998

44.0%Bill Bristow4,034

54.6%Mike Huckabee5,005

9,162

1994

61.4%Jim Guy Tucker6,051

38.6%Sheffield Nelson3,808

9,859

1990

62.5%Bill Clinton5,342

37.5%Sheffield Nelson3,208

8,550

1986

68.2%Bill Clinton5,370

31.7%Frank D. White2,491

7,869

1984

61.1%Bill Clinton7,371

38.9%Woody Freeman4,696

12,067

1982

65.2%Bill Clinton8,205

34.8%Frank D. White4,381

12,586

1980

46.5%Bill Clinton5,072

53.5%Frank D. White5,825

10,897

1978

69.2%Bill Clinton5,115

30.8%Lynn Lowe2,275

7,390

1976

88.7%David Pryor8,864

11.3%Leon Griffith1,132

9,996

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Greene County, AR
Year	Total registered
2018	21,564
2020	22,061
2022	22,352
2024	24,086

How did Greene County, Arkansas vote in 2024?

In 2024, Greene County, Arkansas voted Republican by 61.2 points (R+61.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 15,820 votes cast, 2,935 went Democratic and 12,617 went Republican.

When did Greene County, Arkansas last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Greene County, Arkansas voted Democratic was 2000.

How many people live in Greene County, Arkansas?

Greene County, Arkansas has a population of 46,432 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Greene County, Arkansas?

Median household income in Greene County, Arkansas is $57,839 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.

What is the political history of Greene County, Arkansas?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Greene County, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 9 went Republican.