- Lead
- 7,166
- Total
- 10,919
- vs nation
- R+64.2
Arkansas 1st State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 7,242
- Total
- 11,298
- vs nation
- R+68.6
- Lead
- 5,685
- Total
- 10,688
- vs nation
- R+55.3
- Lead
- 3,524
- Total
- 10,455
- vs nation
- R+37.6
- Lead
- 2,353
- Total
- 10,988
- vs nation
- R+28.7
- Lead
- 123
- Total
- 11,632
- vs nation
- D+3.5
- Lead
- 1,214
- Total
- 10,942
- vs nation
- D+10.6
- Lead
- 3,314
- Total
- 10,438
- vs nation
- D+23.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+65.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,8152024 5-year
- Population density
- 22 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,423 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $54,3892024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+88.7 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 2, AR · twin score 97.8
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 1st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
94.3%
951 votes · D+88.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Winfield S. Hancock, 1880 · 88.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
81.9%
8,945 votes · R+65.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 80.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
8,828votes
73.9% of the vote · D+47.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 7,829 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
9,128votes
80.8% of the vote · R+64.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 8,945 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+66.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+60.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +53.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+68.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+64.1 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +64.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 16.1%1,596 | 83.9%8,340 | 9,936 |
Arkansas 1st State House District sits in the Mid-South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 88.7 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 65.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 65.6 points.
A population of 30,815, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,389 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 2 and State House District 23.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 1st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.