akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 21·Arkansas

For twenty-eight years, Arkansas 21st State Senate District voted Democratic. Then it stopped.

One of Arkansas's most lopsided presidential margins in recent cycles

18762024·38 elections
AR
Latest
R+62
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
83,175
2024 ACS

Arkansas 21st State Senate District, Arkansas: Realigner district. In 2024, voted R+62%. Democratic peak: D+78 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+62MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
RealignerAkashic typology
Population
83,1752024 5-year
Median household income
$54,6102024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
90.2%2024 5-year
Black
1.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+78 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+62 in 2024MIT Election Lab
5 counties · 0 D · 5 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−62.0%
5,19622,98128,694
R
−60.0%
5,47723,13229,403
R
−52.3%
5,97719,91926,640
R
−33.0%
8,18416,78826,066
R
−23.3%
9,73315,97726,747
D
+0.8%
14,03113,81628,198
D
+8.8%
13,59211,34725,612
D
+28.9%
14,4997,46724,365
D
+36.1%
17,2367,39927,266
D
+3.4%
11,99911,20423,405
R
−11.6%
11,09614,03725,331
D
+11.4%
13,84410,91125,658
D
+48.5%
18,8646,53725,409
R
−39.1%
6,11313,97720,090
O
−6.6%
5,5916,90820,043
D
+31.0%
11,4896,03317,611
R
−3.6%
6,7077,22814,334
D
+22.7%
8,1075,08413,289
D
+19.0%
8,2915,63713,992
D
+56.1%
7,3241,8709,724
D
+35.0%
6,4263,0909,535
D
+46.6%
6,1502,2108,462
D
+53.9%
5,7911,7277,537
D
+77.9%
7,8819458,907
D
+18.2%
4,6613,2177,920
D
+24.8%
3,5071,9916,122
D
+22.0%
5,4333,4209,153
D
+50.5%
6,1782,0328,210
D
+39.4%
3,7561,2216,426
D
+35.2%
4,7482,2067,221
D
+25.1%
2,8801,6904,750
D
+41.8%
3,8871,5815,512
D
+65.5%
5,4561,1206,621
D
+54.1%
4,2811,1245,839
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
16.0%
American
12.5%
Irish
10.7%
German
9.8%
Scottish
2.0%
Italian
1.0%
French
1.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.6%
speak English only
Spanish1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Other Indo-European0.4%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
32.5%
Other Christian
10.2%
Methodist
4.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

District 21 recorded an R+61.6 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's most uniform districts. Its rural character and small population base make it one of the least contested seats in the Arkansas Senate.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Arkansas 21st State Senate District peaked at seventy-eight points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2008 election delivered the district to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of twenty-three points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $54,610 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 19% of residents live below the federal poverty line.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 21, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/05021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 21, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 21, Arkansas voted Republican by 62.0 points (R+62), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 28,694 votes cast, 5,196 went Democratic and 22,981 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 21, Arkansas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 21, Arkansas as a "Realigner" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 25 times, Republican 8 times, and other 1 times.
When did State Senate District 21, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 21, Arkansas voted Democratic was 2004.
How many people live in State Senate District 21, Arkansas?
State Senate District 21, Arkansas has a population of 83,175 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 21, Arkansas?
Median household income in State Senate District 21, Arkansas is $54,610 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of State Senate District 21, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 21, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 8 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.