- Lead
- 54,474
- Total
- 93,534
- vs nation
- R+56.8
Tennessee 16th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 47,328
- Total
- 89,406
- vs nation
- R+57.4
- Lead
- 36,923
- Total
- 75,060
- vs nation
- R+51.3
- Lead
- 24,425
- Total
- 72,337
- vs nation
- R+37.6
- Lead
- 20,473
- Total
- 77,456
- vs nation
- R+33.7
- Lead
- 8,412
- Total
- 76,210
- vs nation
- R+8.6
- Lead
- 5,446
- Total
- 67,137
- vs nation
- D+7.6
- Lead
- 7,540
- Total
- 60,415
- vs nation
- D+4.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+58.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 210,5442024 5-year
- Population density
- 79 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,651 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,4282024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+69.7 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 23, TN · twin score 98.4
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 16th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
84.9%
10,890 votes · D+69.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 80.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
78.6%
73,528 votes · R+58.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 75.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
35,943votes
55.3% of the vote · D+23.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · 35,747 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
73,528votes
78.6% of the vote · R+58.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 67,480 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+69.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+44.4 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +56.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+57.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+52.9 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +56.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 20.4%16,742 | 79.6%65,472 | 82,214 |
| 2020 | R | 24.4%14,417 | 75.6%44,644 | 59,061 |
Tennessee 16th State Senate District sits in the Border South and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 69.7 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 58.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.2 points.
A population of 210,544, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,428 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 23 and State Senate District 12.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Tennessee 16th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/47016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.