Tennessee 16th State Senate District, Tennessee: Realigner district. In 2024, voted R+58%. Democratic peak: D+61 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+58MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- RealignerAkashic typology
- Population
- 216,5602024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,5672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+61 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58 in 2024MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 19,049 | 73,513 | 93,611 | ||
| R | 20,147 | 67,466 | 89,387 | ||
| R | 17,772 | 54,687 | 75,043 | ||
| R | 23,329 | 47,751 | 72,322 | ||
| R | 27,754 | 48,224 | 77,439 | ||
| R | 33,627 | 42,041 | 76,193 | ||
| D | 35,737 | 30,295 | 67,121 | ||
| D | 31,435 | 23,898 | 60,401 | ||
| D | 35,933 | 20,787 | 64,976 | ||
| R | 24,310 | 25,558 | 50,167 | ||
| R | 25,690 | 25,923 | 51,912 | ||
| D | 31,561 | 18,962 | 51,676 | ||
| D | 33,270 | 12,846 | 46,578 | ||
| R | 12,100 | 20,758 | 33,880 | ||
| O | 11,575 | 10,210 | 42,702 | ||
| D | 27,816 | 10,842 | 38,659 | ||
| D | 21,264 | 11,433 | 32,986 | ||
| D | 22,224 | 9,883 | 32,367 | ||
| D | 20,930 | 10,212 | 31,250 | ||
| D | 15,346 | 4,537 | 23,597 | ||
| D | 16,757 | 5,155 | 21,978 | ||
| D | 17,270 | 4,398 | 21,731 | ||
| D | 15,870 | 4,287 | 20,226 | ||
| D | 13,698 | 3,215 | 17,053 | ||
| D | 8,658 | 6,360 | 15,053 | ||
| D | 9,697 | 3,620 | 13,713 | ||
| D | 12,722 | 7,498 | 20,408 | ||
| D | 11,094 | 4,037 | 15,352 | ||
| D | 10,195 | 3,242 | 14,573 | ||
| D | 9,126 | 4,011 | 13,440 | ||
| D | 9,074 | 3,762 | 13,427 | ||
| D | 10,005 | 3,883 | 14,260 | ||
| D | 11,838 | 4,482 | 16,736 | ||
| D | 9,463 | 3,732 | 15,939 | ||
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Demographics
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+36, this Middle or East Tennessee district anchors the GOP's supermajority coalition in Nashville, where rural voter concentration consistently produces lopsided statewide results.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Tennessee 16th State Senate District peaked at sixty-one points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2004 election delivered the district to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of eleven points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.
The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $59,567 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
State Senate District 16, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/47016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.