- Lead
- 66,442
- Total
- 98,992
- vs nation
- R+65.6
Tennessee 12th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 58,613
- Total
- 92,820
- vs nation
- R+67.6
- Lead
- 45,324
- Total
- 76,630
- vs nation
- R+61.2
- Lead
- 31,661
- Total
- 73,100
- vs nation
- R+47.2
- Lead
- 27,542
- Total
- 77,365
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Lead
- 14,176
- Total
- 81,089
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Lead
- 1,339
- Total
- 72,221
- vs nation
- R+2.4
- Lead
- 5,120
- Total
- 64,162
- vs nation
- R+0.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+67.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 214,3592024 5-year
- Population density
- 61 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3,534 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $55,3902024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+13.8 in 1976MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 15, TN · twin score 98.5
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 12th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
56.5%
30,055 votes · D+13.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 52.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
83.1%
82,274 votes · R+67.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 80.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
35,734votes
50.9% of the vote · D+11.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · 34,920 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
82,274votes
83.1% of the vote · R+67.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 75,064 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
+11.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+13.8 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · +6.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+67.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+63.1 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +65.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 15.5%13,573 | 84.5%73,986 | 87,559 |
| 2020 | R | 16.7%13,542 | 83.3%67,455 | 80,997 |
Tennessee 12th State Senate District sits in the Border South and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.8 points in 1976 and a Republican high of 67.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 67.1 points.
A population of 214,359, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,390 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 15 and State Senate District 16.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Tennessee 12th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/47012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.