Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Tennessee 15th State Senate District
presidential margin
2008R+27.92012R+39.52016R+52.02020R+53.22024R+56.9
full record · 2008 → 2024
R+56.9
2024
median income$58,989U.S. $80,734 · TN $69,595
median age43.1U.S. 39.1 · TN 39.3
poverty rate15.7%U.S. 12.5% · TN 13.8%
bachelor’s+ (25+)22.3%U.S. 35.6% · TN 31.3%
non-english5.1%U.S. 22.3% · TN 8.7%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
American17.5%
English16.8%
German10.6%
Mexican1.7%
Guatemalan1.3%
Puerto Rican0.5%
African American†1.0%
Ghanaian0.2%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See White County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Tennessee 15th State Senate District

Akashic
Tennessee 15th State Senate DistrictTrumpR+56.9
2024
2024 presidential margin for Tennessee 15th State Senate DistrictThe boundary of Tennessee 15th State Senate District, filled by its 2024 presidential margin (R+56.9), over faint outlines of the counties it is drawn from.Tennessee 15th State Senate District · R+56.9
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican78.0%78,629
Kamala HarrisDemocratic21.1%21,251
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent0.9%909
D+60
R+60
District boundary, filled by its own 2024 D-vs-R margin — precinct detail where available, over the 6 counties it's drawn from (shown faint).
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
County-level results (6 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Tennessee 15th State Senate District — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Cumberland County, TNRepublicanR+58.9
Jackson County, TNRepublicanR+62.5
Putnam County, TNRepublicanR+47.2
Smith County, TNRepublicanR+64.7
Van Buren County, TNRepublicanR+67.2
White County, TNRepublicanR+66.6
5 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
21.1%Harris21,251
78.0%Trump78,629
0.9%Kennedy909
−56.9%
100,789
R
22.7%Biden21,537
75.9%Trump72,129
1.5%Jorgensen1,379
−53.2%
95,045
R
22.2%Clinton17,255
74.2%Trump57,636
3.6%Johnson2,827
−52.0%
77,718
R
30.3%Obama21,848
69.7%Romney50,343
0.0%
−39.5%
72,191
R
34.9%Obama27,090
62.8%McCain48,713
2.2%Nader1,733
−27.9%
77,536
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −56.9% in 2024.−56.9%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−27.9%
2012−39.5%
2016−52.0%
2020−53.2%
2024−56.9%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
RPaul BaileyState Senate · 15

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

Source · OpenStates current legislator CSV.

Its Republican presidential margin was R+56.9 in 2024 and R+27.9 in 2008. The district had about 213,000 residents, 90.6% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 56.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 56.9 points.

A population of 206,039, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,989 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 6 and State Senate District 12.

Political twins — state-senate districts

The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State Senate District 6
Virginia
98.6twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
State Senate District 12
Tennessee
98.6twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
State Senate District 16
Tennessee
97.8twin score
2012–2024 trajectory

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tennessee 15th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/47015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within Tennessee 15th State Senate District

counties it covers6
Cumberland CountyJackson CountyPutnam CountySmith CountyVan Buren CountyWhite County

Frequently asked questions

How did Tennessee 15th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tennessee 15th State Senate District voted Republican by 56.9 points (R+56.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 100,789 votes cast, 21,251 went Democratic and 78,629 went Republican.
How many people live in Tennessee 15th State Senate District?
Tennessee 15th State Senate District has a population of 206,039 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tennessee 15th State Senate District?
Median household income in Tennessee 15th State Senate District is $58,989 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Tennessee 15th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Tennessee 15th State Senate District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.