Tennessee 15th State Senate District, Tennessee: Populist district. In 2024, voted R+57%. Republican peak: R+57 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+57MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 213,0822024 5-year
- Median household income
- $58,4272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State Senate District 15, TNOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 21,247 | 78,613 | 100,956 | ||
| R | 21,533 | 72,114 | 95,042 | ||
| R | 17,251 | 57,624 | 77,702 | ||
| R | 21,938 | 50,358 | 73,496 | ||
| R | 27,059 | 48,672 | 77,081 | ||
| R | 31,285 | 42,926 | 74,790 | ||
| D | 32,000 | 30,374 | 63,450 | ||
| D | 28,020 | 22,987 | 55,740 | ||
| D | 30,945 | 19,973 | 57,718 | ||
| R | 18,408 | 23,831 | 42,529 | ||
| R | 21,039 | 23,627 | 44,958 | ||
| D | 22,310 | 17,934 | 41,264 | ||
| D | 24,694 | 11,847 | 36,925 | ||
| R | 9,319 | 16,277 | 26,234 | ||
| R | 9,398 | 10,318 | 29,252 | ||
| D | 18,455 | 9,093 | 27,548 | ||
| D | 13,363 | 12,536 | 26,203 | ||
| D | 14,075 | 10,565 | 24,798 | ||
| D | 13,453 | 10,780 | 24,302 | ||
| D | 10,360 | 6,108 | 17,956 | ||
| D | 9,339 | 6,096 | 15,486 | ||
| D | 11,682 | 5,295 | 17,053 | ||
| D | 9,341 | 4,505 | 13,887 | ||
| D | 10,239 | 3,674 | 14,003 | ||
| D | 6,200 | 5,594 | 11,830 | ||
| D | 7,305 | 4,002 | 11,532 | ||
| D | 10,350 | 8,462 | 18,821 | ||
| D | 8,240 | 4,725 | 13,020 | ||
| D | 7,009 | 3,388 | 12,058 | ||
| D | 7,053 | 5,461 | 12,622 | ||
| D | 6,502 | 4,801 | 11,600 | ||
| D | 7,358 | 4,669 | 12,189 | ||
| D | 8,590 | 4,471 | 13,152 | ||
| D | 6,031 | 3,245 | 10,996 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
17.4%
English
16.7%
German
10.6%
Irish
10.0%
Scottish
2.6%
Italian
2.4%
French
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 43.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$58,427
State Senate District 15 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 15$58,427
Tennessee$69,595
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.8%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1821.5%
Working age (18–64)14.5%
Seniors (65+)13.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.9%
speak English only
Spanish3.2%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Tennessee 15th State Senate District sits in the Border South and Appalachia. For most of the post-war period it was a Democratic district — its working-class profile gave it the same political habits as much of its region. That identity has shifted decisively in the last twenty years.
The Democratic margin in Tennessee 15th State Senate District peaked at forty-seven points in 1932. By 2004 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty-seven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the district's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $58,427 sits well below state and national norms, and 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 15, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/47015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State Senate District 15, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 15, Tennessee voted Republican by 56.8 points (R+57), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 100,956 votes cast, 21,247 went Democratic and 78,613 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 15, Tennessee's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 15, Tennessee as a "Populist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 24 times, Republican 10 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 15, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 15, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in State Senate District 15, Tennessee?
State Senate District 15, Tennessee has a population of 213,082 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 15, Tennessee?
Median household income in State Senate District 15, Tennessee is $58,427 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of State Senate District 15, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 15, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 10 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.