Smith County, Tennessee: Realigner county. In 2024, voted R+65%. Republican peak: R+65 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+65MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- RealignerAkashic typology
- Population
- 20,3892024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,2932024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+55 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Overton County, TN · similarity 0.99
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 1,595 | 7,655 | 9,366 | ||
| R | 1,802 | 7,136 | 9,051 | ||
| R | 1,689 | 5,494 | 7,436 | ||
| R | 2,470 | 4,495 | 7,089 | ||
| R | 2,992 | 4,563 | 7,741 | ||
| D | 4,044 | 3,739 | 7,828 | ||
| D | 4,884 | 2,384 | 7,348 | ||
| D | 3,812 | 1,857 | 6,057 | ||
| D | 5,061 | 1,482 | 7,044 | ||
| D | 2,522 | 2,138 | 4,686 | ||
| D | 3,258 | 2,393 | 5,691 | ||
| D | 3,674 | 1,755 | 5,531 | ||
| D | 3,753 | 1,332 | 5,136 | ||
| R | 1,260 | 1,812 | 3,188 | ||
| O | 1,443 | 1,089 | 4,363 | ||
| D | 2,934 | 1,084 | 4,018 | ||
| D | 2,411 | 1,601 | 4,060 | ||
| D | 2,949 | 1,267 | 4,229 | ||
| D | 2,622 | 1,412 | 4,058 | ||
| D | 1,764 | 773 | 2,828 | ||
| D | 2,107 | 887 | 3,006 | ||
| D | 2,244 | 648 | 2,906 | ||
| D | 2,092 | 626 | 2,726 | ||
| D | 2,057 | 595 | 2,668 | ||
| D | 1,446 | 1,150 | 2,617 | ||
| D | 1,701 | 700 | 2,429 | ||
| D | 3,150 | 1,981 | 5,131 | ||
| D | 2,196 | 941 | 3,139 | ||
| D | 1,863 | 915 | 2,962 | ||
| D | 1,638 | 1,056 | 2,770 | ||
| D | 1,562 | 1,080 | 2,822 | ||
| D | 1,940 | 1,118 | 3,172 | ||
| D | 2,414 | 1,064 | 3,504 | ||
| D | 1,598 | 847 | 3,015 | ||
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Demographics
Smith County's R+64.9 margin in 2024 places it among the state's most one-sided presidential results, reflecting a rural Upper Cumberland population that has shifted decisively away from competitive two-party contests over the past two decades.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Smith County peaked at fifty-five points in 1940; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2008 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of twenty points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.
The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $66,293 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Overton County and DeKalb County.
Smith County, Tennessee — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://akashic.app/county/47159/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
