HarrisDemocratic40.5%378,720TrumpRepublican58.0%542,365KennedyIndependent0.8%7,735
R+17.5- Lead
- 163,645
- Total
- 935,590
- vs nation
- R+16.0
Akashicmetro area
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
14 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic43.5%401,381TrumpRepublican54.3%500,933OtherAll other candidates2.3%20,990
R+10.8- Lead
- 99,552
- Total
- 923,304
- vs nation
- R+15.2
ClintonDemocratic39.1%281,062TrumpRepublican55.3%398,113OtherAll other candidates5.6%40,171
R+16.3- Lead
- 117,051
- Total
- 719,346
- vs nation
- R+18.4
ObamaDemocratic41.0%278,481RomneyRepublican57.4%389,779OtherAll other candidates1.6%11,187
R+16.4- Lead
- 111,298
- Total
- 679,447
- vs nation
- R+20.2
ObamaDemocratic44.1%314,069McCainRepublican54.6%388,882OtherAll other candidates1.3%9,005
R+10.5- Lead
- 74,813
- Total
- 711,956
- vs nation
- R+17.8
KerryDemocratic43.3%275,021BushRepublican56.1%356,687OtherAll other candidates0.6%4,040
R+12.8- Lead
- 81,666
- Total
- 635,748
- vs nation
- R+10.4
GoreDemocratic50.0%257,907BushRepublican48.3%249,423OtherAll other candidates1.7%8,743
D+1.6- Lead
- 8,484
- Total
- 516,073
- vs nation
- D+1.1
ClintonDemocratic49.8%226,786DoleRepublican43.7%198,876OtherAll other candidates6.4%29,308
D+6.1- Lead
- 27,910
- Total
- 454,970
- vs nation
- R+2.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+17.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 2,079,5962024 5-year
- Population density
- 330 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 6,302 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $88,6372024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 68.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+66.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+27.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Kansas City, MO-KS · twin score 81.5
presidential history
Party record book
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
83.2%
55,169 votes · D+66.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 79.2%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
62.4%
143,708 votes · R+27.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 58.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
401,381votes
43.5% of the vote · R+10.8
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 378,720 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
542,365votes
58.0% of the vote · R+17.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 500,933 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+69.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+44.7 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +57.7 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+20.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+16.4 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +18.4 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 1,119,033 |
| 2018 | 1,162,507 |
| 2020 | 1,303,630 |
| 2022 | 1,356,202 |
| 2024 | 1,460,956 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+16,967 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +240,721 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +9,654 |
| 2012 | +15,406 |
| 2013 | +16,899 |
| 2014 | +19,225 |
| 2015 | +20,970 |
| 2016 | +23,566 |
| 2017 | +19,862 |
| 2018 | +16,210 |
| 2019 | +15,689 |
| 2021 | +7,774 |
| 2022 | +27,120 |
| 2023 | +16,936 |
| 2024 | +14,443 |
| 2025 | +16,967 |
Nashville's metro has absorbed hundreds of thousands of new residents since 2010, compressing Republican margins in Davidson County's suburbs even as the city core votes reliably Democratic by double digits.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 66.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 27.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.5 points.
A population of 2,079,596, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,637 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kansas City, MO-KS and Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Kansas City, MO-KS
81.5twin score
population scalecollege share2000 margin≠ American ancestry
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
81.2twin score
population scalecollege share12-yr trend
Huntsville, AL
80.4twin score
college sharemedian income12-yr trend≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/34980/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN
Frequently asked questions
How did Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 17.5 points (R+17.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 935,590 votes cast, 378,720 went Democratic and 542,365 went Republican.
When did Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee?
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee has a population of 2,079,596 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee is $88,637 — above the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN, Tennessee from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 9 went Republican.