HarrisDemocratic29.4%23,855TrumpRepublican69.4%56,425KennedyIndependent0.8%612
R+40.1- Lead
- 32,570
- Total
- 81,254
- vs nation
- R+38.6
- Turnout
- 70.3%
Akashiccounty
Wilson County, TN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.3% of 116,401 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic29.9%22,254TrumpRepublican67.7%50,296JorgensenLibertarian1.1%781
R+37.7- Lead
- 28,042
- Total
- 74,330
- vs nation
- R+42.2
- Turnout
- 71.7%
ClintonDemocratic25.4%14,385TrumpRepublican69.5%39,406JohnsonLibertarian3.2%1,807
R+44.1- Lead
- 25,021
- Total
- 56,734
- vs nation
- R+46.2
- Turnout
- 61.9%
ObamaDemocratic28.5%14,695RomneyRepublican70.0%36,109OtherAll other candidates1.5%793
R+41.5- Lead
- 21,414
- Total
- 51,597
- vs nation
- R+45.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic31.1%15,886McCainRepublican67.6%34,595OtherAll other candidates1.3%678
R+36.6- Lead
- 18,709
- Total
- 51,159
- vs nation
- R+43.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic34.4%15,277BushRepublican65.1%28,924OtherAll other candidates0.6%251
R+30.7- Lead
- 13,647
- Total
- 44,452
- vs nation
- R+28.2
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic46.1%16,561BushRepublican52.5%18,844NaderGreen0.9%308
R+6.4- Lead
- 2,283
- Total
- 35,916
- vs nation
- R+6.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic46.2%13,655DoleRepublican46.8%13,817PerotReform6.2%1,841
R+0.5- Lead
- 162
- Total
- 29,543
- vs nation
- R+9.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 158,8052024 5-year
- Population density
- 278 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 571 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $95,8392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+70.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44.1 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sumner County, TN · twin score 94.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 70.3%81,826 participants ÷ 116,401 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +31.0 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +4.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 39.3%–51.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 57,466 | 92,882 | 61.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 53,418 | 97,944 | 54.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 74,749 | 104,202 | 71.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 44,835 | 110,169 | 40.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 81,826 | 116,401 | 70.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Wilson County, TN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
85.3%
3,108 votes · D+70.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 82.3%
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
70.0%
36,109 votes · R+41.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 69.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
23,855votes
29.4% of the vote · R+40.1
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 22,254 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
56,425votes
69.4% of the vote · R+40.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 50,296 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+80.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+55.1 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +61.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+46.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+44.1 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +45.4 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 80,800 |
| 2018 | 84,828 |
| 2020 | 95,646 |
| 2022 | 102,553 |
| 2024 | 109,530 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+3,747 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +46,445 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $79,111 in average income, against $101,627 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+0.5 on average — 40 points more Democratic-leaning than Wilson County, TN itself (R+40.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Davidson County, TN2,053D+27.4
- Rutherford County, TN592R+21.8
- Sumner County, TN328R+41.8
- Williamson County, TN171R+32.4
- Smith County, TN137R+64.9
- Montgomery County, TN101R+18.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Davidson County, TN1,090
- Rutherford County, TN449
- Sumner County, TN391
- Smith County, TN151
- Williamson County, TN115
- DeKalb County, TN103
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,558 |
| 2012 | +1,798 |
| 2013 | +2,328 |
| 2014 | +2,675 |
| 2015 | +2,839 |
| 2016 | +3,403 |
| 2017 | +3,537 |
| 2018 | +3,595 |
| 2019 | +3,070 |
| 2021 | +3,323 |
| 2022 | +5,820 |
| 2023 | +4,288 |
| 2024 | +4,464 |
| 2025 | +3,747 |
Wilson County has nearly doubled in population since 2000 as Nashville sprawl pushes east, yet its presidential margins have widened alongside that growth, bucking the suburban moderation seen in many Sun Belt metros.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 70.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 44.1 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.1 points.
A population of 158,805, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $95,839 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sumner County and Limestone County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Sumner County
Tennessee
94.8twin score
12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectorymedian income
Limestone County
Alabama
86.8twin score
12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectoryelasticity
Williamson County
Tennessee
82.2twin score
2008–2012 trajectory12-yr trendpopulation scale≠ college share
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wilson County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47189/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Wilson County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Wilson County, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wilson County, Tennessee voted Republican by 40.1 points (R+40.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 81,254 votes cast, 23,855 went Democratic and 56,425 went Republican.
When did Wilson County, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wilson County, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Wilson County, Tennessee?
Wilson County, Tennessee has a population of 158,805 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wilson County, Tennessee?
Median household income in Wilson County, Tennessee is $95,839 — above the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Wilson County, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wilson County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.