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Akashic

state house district

Tennessee 40th State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

American18.1%11.3%5.3%

English15.7%13.3%9.5%

Irish9.5%9.3%9.4%

German8.9%9.1%12.5%

Italian2.2%2.2%4.8%

Scottish2.1%2.2%1.3%

Scotch-Irish1.4%1.7%—

French1.2%1.3%1.6%

Mexican2.8%3.8%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.3%0.6%1.8%

Cuban0.2%0.2%0.7%

Guatemalan0.2%0.6%0.5%

African American†1.2%14.3%9.9%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	TN HD 40	Tennessee	United States
Median age	41.6	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	7.1%	8.9%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	18.4%	17.1%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	TN HD 40	Tennessee	United States
Median household income	$59,265	$69,595	$84,427
Poverty rate	15.8%	13.8%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	20.8%	31.3%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	TN HD 40	Tennessee	United States
Owner-occupied homes	77.1%	66.9%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	22.9%	33.1%	34.8%
Median home value	$236,400	$286,700	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$858	$1,189	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	47.6%	48.8%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	12.6%	10.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	TN HD 40	Tennessee	United States
Mean commute	31.9 min	25.7 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	14.3%	7.1%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	80.5%	75.8%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.3%	0.4%	3.2%
Works from home	8.3%	12.9%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	TN HD 40	Tennessee	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.0%	8.7%	22.3%
Spanish	2.6%	5.3%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	TN HD 40	Tennessee	United States
Catholic	—	4.0%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	36.6%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	44.5%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	TN HD 40	Tennessee	United States
Foreign-born residents	2.3%	6.1%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.5%	2.4%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	1.8%	3.7%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	6.9%	7.3%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.444	0.476	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic17.6%5,776TrumpRepublican81.4%26,660OtherAll other candidates0.9%307

R+63.8

Lead: 20,884
Total: 32,743
vs nation: R+62.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic20.2%6,227TrumpRepublican78.5%24,159OtherAll other candidates1.3%409

R+58.2

Lead: 17,932
Total: 30,795
vs nation: R+62.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic22.7%5,731TrumpRepublican74.2%18,737OtherAll other candidates3.1%794

R+51.5

Lead: 13,006
Total: 25,262
vs nation: R+53.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic34.5%8,164RomneyRepublican63.7%15,092OtherAll other candidates1.8%435

R+29.2

Lead: 6,928
Total: 23,691
vs nation: R+33.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic40.0%10,302McCainRepublican57.8%14,885OtherAll other candidates2.2%559

R+17.8

Lead: 4,583
Total: 25,746
vs nation: R+25.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic50.2%13,230BushRepublican49.3%12,993OtherAll other candidates0.6%155

D+0.9

Lead: 237
Total: 26,378
vs nation: D+3.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic62.8%14,900BushRepublican35.8%8,499OtherAll other candidates1.3%320

D+27.0

Lead: 6,401
Total: 23,719
vs nation: D+26.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic61.5%12,442DoleRepublican30.9%6,257OtherAll other candidates7.6%1,544

D+30.6

Lead: 6,185
Total: 20,243
vs nation: D+22.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+63.8MIT Election Lab
Population: 68,8742024 5-year
Population density: 56 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 1,230 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $59,2652024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 89.6%2024 5-year
Black: 1.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 4.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+57.6 in 1876MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+63.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 69, TN · twin score 98.8

presidential history

Party record book

Tennessee 40th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Samuel J. Tilden1876

78.8%

5,305 votes · D+57.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 73.6%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

81.4%

26,660 votes · R+63.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 78.5%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Bill Clinton1992

15,458votes

67.5% of the vote · D+44.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · 14,900 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

26,660votes

81.4% of the vote · R+63.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 24,159 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John W. Davis1924

+56.0pts D vs U.S.

Place D+30.8 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · +45.9 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2020

+62.7pts R vs U.S.

Place R+58.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +62.3 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RMichael HaleState House · 40

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 2 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	17.6%5,074	82.4%23,832	28,906
2020	R	20.2%5,319	79.8%21,025	26,344

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+63.8, this district ranks among the most heavily one-sided in the state. Its 68,874 residents are concentrated in territory where competitive general elections are rare.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 57.6 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 63.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.8 points.

A population of 68,874, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,265 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 69 and State House District 96.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 69

2020–2024 trajectory12-yr trendelasticity

State House District 96

12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectory≠ English ancestry

State House District 74

12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectoryelasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Tennessee 40th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47040/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Tennessee at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2018 US Houseall districts2024

Places within Tennessee 40th State House District

counties it covers5

Cannon County DeKalb County Jackson County Smith County Wilson County

Frequently asked questions

How did Tennessee 40th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Tennessee 40th State House District voted Republican by 63.8 points (R+63.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 32,743 votes cast, 5,776 went Democratic and 26,660 went Republican.

When did Tennessee 40th State House District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Tennessee 40th State House District voted Democratic was 2004.

How many people live in Tennessee 40th State House District?

Tennessee 40th State House District has a population of 68,874 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Tennessee 40th State House District?

Median household income in Tennessee 40th State House District is $59,265 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.

What is the political history of Tennessee 40th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Tennessee 40th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 30 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.