Lincoln County, Tennessee: Realigner county. In 2024, voted R+65%. Democratic peak: D+82 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+65MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- RealignerAkashic typology
- Population
- 35,9462024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,6672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Etowah County, AL · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Lincoln CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Lincoln County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 2,782 | 13,208 | 16,128 | ||
| R | 2,919 | 12,281 | 15,608 | ||
| R | 2,554 | 10,398 | 13,348 | ||
| R | 3,290 | 9,803 | 13,268 | ||
| R | 3,695 | 9,231 | 13,130 | ||
| R | 4,546 | 7,829 | 12,457 | ||
| R | 5,060 | 5,435 | 10,659 | ||
| R | 4,361 | 4,551 | 9,747 | ||
| D | 5,063 | 3,814 | 10,302 | ||
| R | 3,672 | 4,288 | 8,017 | ||
| D | 4,103 | 3,982 | 8,114 | ||
| D | 5,387 | 2,856 | 8,409 | ||
| D | 5,732 | 1,724 | 7,518 | ||
| R | 1,867 | 3,266 | 5,281 | ||
| O | 1,848 | 1,167 | 7,229 | ||
| D | 4,861 | 1,728 | 6,589 | ||
| D | 4,862 | 1,428 | 6,338 | ||
| D | 4,434 | 1,207 | 5,692 | ||
| D | 4,510 | 1,654 | 6,177 | ||
| D | 2,969 | 361 | 4,088 | ||
| D | 3,735 | 573 | 4,316 | ||
| D | 3,781 | 521 | 4,315 | ||
| D | 3,451 | 430 | 3,888 | ||
| D | 3,095 | 288 | 3,429 | ||
| D | 2,377 | 743 | 3,127 | ||
| D | 2,356 | 357 | 2,744 | ||
| D | 2,463 | 1,091 | 3,560 | ||
| D | 2,791 | 552 | 3,357 | ||
| D | 2,651 | 672 | 3,431 | ||
| D | 2,311 | 692 | 3,080 | ||
| D | 2,227 | 631 | 3,149 | ||
| D | 2,463 | 728 | 3,412 | ||
| D | 3,269 | 992 | 4,421 | ||
| D | 2,429 | 590 | 4,060 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
16.3%
English
15.3%
Irish
8.7%
German
6.3%
Scottish
1.8%
Italian
1.1%
Polish
1.0%
African American
4.5%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$64,667
Lincoln County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Lincoln County$64,667
Tennessee$69,595
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.9%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.6%
Working age (18–64)11.7%
Seniors (65+)14.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.1%
speak English only
Spanish1.6%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 41.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Lincoln County, anchored by Fayetteville in south-central Tennessee, recorded an R+64.7 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's most decisively one-sided rural counties in a era of widening small-town partisan gaps.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Lincoln County peaked at eighty-two points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1996 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of two points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.
The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $64,667 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Etowah County and Bell County.
Most similar counties
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lincoln County, Tennessee — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://akashic.app/county/47103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Tennessee
More realigner counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Lincoln County, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lincoln County, Tennessee voted Republican by 64.6 points (R+65), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,128 votes cast, 2,782 went Democratic and 13,208 went Republican.
What is Lincoln County, Tennessee's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Lincoln County, Tennessee as a "Realigner" county based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 10 times, and other 1 times.
When did Lincoln County, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lincoln County, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Lincoln County, Tennessee?
Lincoln County, Tennessee has a population of 35,946 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lincoln County, Tennessee?
Median household income in Lincoln County, Tennessee is $64,667 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Lincoln County, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lincoln County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 10 went Republican. The county's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.