HarrisDemocratic17.5%5,666TrumpRepublican81.6%26,392OtherAll other candidates0.8%267
R+64.1- Lead
- 20,726
- Total
- 32,325
- vs nation
- R+62.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Tennessee 70th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic20.0%6,207TrumpRepublican78.7%24,469OtherAll other candidates1.4%433
R+58.7- Lead
- 18,262
- Total
- 31,109
- vs nation
- R+63.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic20.9%5,482TrumpRepublican76.5%20,040OtherAll other candidates2.5%665
R+55.6- Lead
- 14,558
- Total
- 26,187
- vs nation
- R+57.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic28.7%7,286RomneyRepublican70.3%17,809OtherAll other candidates1.0%254
R+41.5- Lead
- 10,523
- Total
- 25,349
- vs nation
- R+45.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic33.2%8,791McCainRepublican65.5%17,327OtherAll other candidates1.2%324
R+32.3- Lead
- 8,536
- Total
- 26,442
- vs nation
- R+39.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic40.3%10,627BushRepublican59.0%15,548OtherAll other candidates0.6%163
R+18.7- Lead
- 4,921
- Total
- 26,338
- vs nation
- R+16.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic49.0%11,114BushRepublican49.7%11,253OtherAll other candidates1.3%293
R+0.6- Lead
- 139
- Total
- 22,660
- vs nation
- R+1.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic48.5%10,004DoleRepublican43.1%8,883OtherAll other candidates8.4%1,740
D+5.4- Lead
- 1,121
- Total
- 20,627
- vs nation
- R+3.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+64.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 70,3182024 5-year
- Population density
- 55 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,287 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,5302024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+58.3 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 9, TN · twin score 98.6
presidential history
Party record book
Tennessee 70th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
79.0%
7,327 votes · D+58.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 77.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
81.6%
26,392 votes · R+64.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 78.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
11,321votes
67.2% of the vote · D+35.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 11,258 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
26,392votes
81.6% of the vote · R+64.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 24,469 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+62.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+37.4 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1956 · +48.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+63.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+58.7 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +62.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RClay DoggettState House · 70
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 18.1%4,929 | 81.9%22,281 | 27,210 |
| 2020 | R | 19.9%5,389 | 80.1%21,706 | 27,095 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+64.1, this district ranks among the most one-sided in the state, reflecting a rural or small-town constituency where statewide Republican coalitions run deep and consistent.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 58.3 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 64.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.1 points.
A population of 70,318, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,530 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 9 and State House District 2.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 9
Tennessee
98.6twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend
State House District 2
Missouri
98.5twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend
State House District 72
Tennessee
98.2twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tennessee 70th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/47070/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Tennessee at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Tennessee 70th State House District
counties it covers3
Frequently asked questions
How did Tennessee 70th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tennessee 70th State House District voted Republican by 64.1 points (R+64.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 32,325 votes cast, 5,666 went Democratic and 26,392 went Republican.
When did Tennessee 70th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Tennessee 70th State House District voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Tennessee 70th State House District?
Tennessee 70th State House District has a population of 70,318 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tennessee 70th State House District?
Median household income in Tennessee 70th State House District is $65,530 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Tennessee 70th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Tennessee 70th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 27 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.