- Lead
- 19,655
- Total
- 37,535
- vs nation
- R+50.9
Arkansas 28th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 18,794
- Total
- 38,005
- vs nation
- R+53.9
- Lead
- 16,636
- Total
- 34,214
- vs nation
- R+50.7
- Lead
- 12,114
- Total
- 33,823
- vs nation
- R+39.7
- Lead
- 10,033
- Total
- 34,250
- vs nation
- R+36.6
- Lead
- 8,487
- Total
- 34,163
- vs nation
- R+22.4
- Lead
- 7,390
- Total
- 30,892
- vs nation
- R+24.4
- Lead
- 80
- Total
- 29,904
- vs nation
- R+8.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,2162024 5-year
- Population density
- 28 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3,033 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $53,9972024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38.1 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 5, AR · twin score 97.3
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 28th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
68.9%
2,809 votes · D+38.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Winfield S. Hancock, 1880 · 67.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
75.2%
28,236 votes · R+52.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 73.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
13,754votes
57.4% of the vote · D+15.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 13,587 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
28,236votes
75.2% of the vote · R+52.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 27,929 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+36.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+10.8 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +34.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+53.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.5 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +50.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 21.4%7,347 | 78.6%27,009 | 34,356 |
| 2020 | R | 23.1%8,194 | 76.9%27,310 | 35,504 |
Arkansas 28th State Senate District sits in the Mid-South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.1 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 52.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.4 points.
A population of 85,216, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,997 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 5 and State Senate District 12.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 28th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/05028/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.