| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 3,812 | 7,470 | 11,538 | |
| 2020 | R | 4,023 | 7,424 | 11,797 | |
| 2016 | R | 3,342 | 6,786 | 10,366 | |
| 2012 | R | 3,696 | 6,125 | 10,183 | |
| 2008 | R | 4,172 | 6,083 | 10,579 | |
| 2004 | R | 4,161 | 6,184 | 10,481 | |
| 2000 | R | 3,595 | 5,556 | 9,590 | |
| 1996 | R | 3,689 | 3,957 | 8,823 | |
| 1992 | D | 3,769 | 3,535 | 8,857 | |
| 1988 | R | 2,632 | 4,553 | 7,253 | |
| 1984 | R | 2,263 | 5,041 | 7,390 | |
| 1980 | R | 2,977 | 4,273 | 7,728 | |
| 1976 | D | 3,791 | 2,804 | 6,650 | |
| 1972 | R | 1,401 | 3,565 | 5,086 | |
| 1968 | R | 1,298 | 2,596 | 5,068 | |
| 1964 | R | 2,005 | 2,105 | 4,110 | |
| 1960 | R | 1,301 | 2,615 | 3,965 | |
| 1956 | R | 1,651 | 2,310 | 3,980 | |
| 1952 | R | 1,493 | 2,752 | 4,258 | |
| 1948 | D | 2,032 | 1,525 | 3,688 | |
| 1944 | D | 1,464 | 1,176 | 2,640 | |
| 1940 | D | 1,604 | 1,081 | 2,687 | |
| 1936 | D | 1,649 | 940 | 2,595 | |
| 1932 | D | 2,150 | 758 | 2,941 | |
| 1928 | R | 1,540 | 1,757 | 3,312 | |
| 1924 | D | 1,421 | 969 | 2,524 | |
| 1920 | D | 1,344 | 1,338 | 2,747 | |
| 1916 | D | 1,512 | 1,034 | 2,546 | |
| 1912 | D | 919 | 464 | 1,863 | |
| 1908 | D | 1,295 | 1,051 | 2,432 | |
| 1904 | D | 925 | 869 | 1,888 | |
| 1900 | D | 1,205 | 735 | 1,990 | |
| 1896 | D | 1,790 | 875 | 2,709 | |
| 1892 | D | 1,252 | 984 | 2,421 | |
| 1888 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1884 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1880 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1876 | — | — | — | — |
Carroll County anchors Arkansas's Ozark tourism corridor around Eureka Springs while remaining rooted in cattle farming and timber, a mix that has produced consistent double-digit Republican margins across the past four presidential cycles.
The shift began with civil rights. 1996 marked the realignment in Carroll County, by a three points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-three points in 1972. The 2024 margin was thirty-two points.
The political shift has tracked, in Carroll County, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 73% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $54,230, and a 17% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Worth County and Miller County.
