akashic
1876–2024
Carroll County, Arkansas
Carroll County·Arkansas

Carroll County voted Democratic for a century. The shift began with civil rights.

Ozark foothills county where tourism and agriculture share the ballot

18762024·38 elections
Carroll County, Arkansas · Calvin Beale · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+32
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
28,626
2024 ACS
Most similar
Worth County
GA · similarity 0.99
11 precincts · 11,538 votes cast
Trump · R+32
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−31.7%
3,8127,47011,538
2020R
−28.8%
4,0237,42411,797
2016R
−33.2%
3,3426,78610,366
2012R
−23.9%
3,6966,12510,183
2008R
−18.1%
4,1726,08310,579
2004R
−19.3%
4,1616,18410,481
2000R
−20.4%
3,5955,5569,590
1996R
−3.0%
3,6893,9578,823
1992D
+2.6%
3,7693,5358,857
1988R
−26.5%
2,6324,5537,253
1984R
−37.6%
2,2635,0417,390
1980R
−16.8%
2,9774,2737,728
1976D
+14.8%
3,7912,8046,650
1972R
−42.5%
1,4013,5655,086
1968R
−25.6%
1,2982,5965,068
1964R
−2.4%
2,0052,1054,110
1960R
−33.1%
1,3012,6153,965
1956R
−16.6%
1,6512,3103,980
1952R
−29.6%
1,4932,7524,258
1948D
+13.7%
2,0321,5253,688
1944D
+10.9%
1,4641,1762,640
1940D
+19.5%
1,6041,0812,687
1936D
+27.3%
1,6499402,595
1932D
+47.3%
2,1507582,941
1928R
−6.6%
1,5401,7573,312
1924D
+17.9%
1,4219692,524
1920D
+0.2%
1,3441,3382,747
1916D
+18.8%
1,5121,0342,546
1912D
+24.4%
9194641,863
1908D
+10.0%
1,2951,0512,432
1904D
+3.0%
9258691,888
1900D
+23.6%
1,2057351,990
1896D
+33.8%
1,7908752,709
1892D
+11.1%
1,2529842,421
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
17.6%
Other Christian
12.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
5.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
3.5%
Methodist
2.5%
Mainline Protestant
2.1%
Non-Christian
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Carroll County anchors Arkansas's Ozark tourism corridor around Eureka Springs while remaining rooted in cattle farming and timber, a mix that has produced consistent double-digit Republican margins across the past four presidential cycles.

The shift began with civil rights. 1996 marked the realignment in Carroll County, by a three points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-three points in 1972. The 2024 margin was thirty-two points.

The political shift has tracked, in Carroll County, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 73% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $54,230, and a 17% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Worth County and Miller County.