HarrisDemocratic19.7%1,966TrumpRepublican79.2%7,913KennedyIndependent0.7%71
R+59.5- Lead
- 5,947
- Total
- 9,992
- vs nation
- R+58.0
- Turnout
- 48.3%
Akashiccounty
Perry County, KY
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 48.3% of 20,921 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic22.2%2,356TrumpRepublican76.5%8,129JorgensenLibertarian0.9%100
R+54.3- Lead
- 5,773
- Total
- 10,626
- vs nation
- R+58.8
- Turnout
- 53.8%
ClintonDemocratic20.2%2,136TrumpRepublican77.2%8,158JohnsonLibertarian1.6%168
R+57.0- Lead
- 6,022
- Total
- 10,572
- vs nation
- R+59.1
- Turnout
- 49.9%
ObamaDemocratic20.0%2,047RomneyRepublican78.5%8,040OtherAll other candidates1.5%154
R+58.5- Lead
- 5,993
- Total
- 10,241
- vs nation
- R+62.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic33.2%3,444McCainRepublican65.2%6,762OtherAll other candidates1.6%169
R+32.0- Lead
- 3,318
- Total
- 10,375
- vs nation
- R+39.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic46.3%5,400BushRepublican53.1%6,187OtherAll other candidates0.6%68
R+6.8- Lead
- 787
- Total
- 11,655
- vs nation
- R+4.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic50.1%5,514BushRepublican48.2%5,300NaderGreen0.9%103
D+1.9- Lead
- 214
- Total
- 11,000
- vs nation
- D+1.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic58.3%6,015DoleRepublican32.8%3,382PerotReform8.7%894
D+25.5- Lead
- 2,633
- Total
- 10,323
- vs nation
- D+17.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+59.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 27,4992024 5-year
- Median household income
- $42,1812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Letcher County, KY · twin score 98.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 48.3%10,112 participants ÷ 20,921 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 30.6%–39.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 10,799 | 21,633 | 49.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 10,247 | 20,617 | 49.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 10,754 | 19,971 | 53.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 7,731 | 21,414 | 36.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 10,112 | 20,921 | 48.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
37 precincts · 9,992 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -A114A114 | 87 | 462 | 7 | 556 | 15.6% | 83.1% | R+67.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -A112A112 | 80 | 348 | 6 | 434 | 18.4% | 80.2% | R+61.8 |
| Precinct -A109A109 | 83 | 328 | 4 | 415 | 20.0% | 79.0% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -C107C107 | 75 | 316 | 5 | 396 | 18.9% | 79.8% | R+60.9 |
| Precinct -B105B105 | 76 | 302 | 3 | 381 | 19.9% | 79.3% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -C114C114 | 63 | 313 | 5 | 381 | 16.5% | 82.2% | R+65.6 |
| Precinct -B106B106 | 49 | 294 | 0 | 343 | 14.3% | 85.7% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -C102C102 | 64 | 268 | 2 | 334 | 19.2% | 80.2% | R+61.1 |
| Precinct -B113B113 | 73 | 233 | 11 | 317 | 23.0% | 73.5% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct -A113A113 | 66 | 247 | 3 | 316 | 20.9% | 78.2% | R+57.3 |
| Precinct -A103A103 | 26 | 283 | 1 | 310 | 8.4% | 91.3% | R+82.9 |
| Precinct -B110B110 | 111 | 189 | 5 | 305 | 36.4% | 62.0% | R+25.6 |
| Precinct -B101B101 | 72 | 227 | 2 | 301 | 23.9% | 75.4% | R+51.5 |
| Precinct -C106C106 | 49 | 247 | 2 | 298 | 16.4% | 82.9% | R+66.4 |
| Precinct -A101A101 | 47 | 242 | 1 | 290 | 16.2% | 83.4% | R+67.2 |
| Precinct -C104C104 | 64 | 217 | 5 | 286 | 22.4% | 75.9% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct -B103B103 | 68 | 206 | 6 | 280 | 24.3% | 73.6% | R+49.3 |
| Precinct -C109C109 | 32 | 239 | 3 | 274 | 11.7% | 87.2% | R+75.5 |
| Precinct -A105A105 | 28 | 239 | 4 | 271 | 10.3% | 88.2% | R+77.9 |
| Precinct -C105C105 | 60 | 209 | 2 | 271 | 22.1% | 77.1% | R+55.0 |
| Precinct -C103C103 | 57 | 211 | 0 | 268 | 21.3% | 78.7% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -A102A102 | 40 | 224 | 3 | 267 | 15.0% | 83.9% | R+68.9 |
| Precinct -C110C110 | 21 | 235 | 2 | 258 | 8.1% | 91.1% | R+82.9 |
| Precinct -A110A110 | 53 | 196 | 1 | 250 | 21.2% | 78.4% | R+57.2 |
| Precinct -C108C108 | 51 | 185 | 3 | 239 | 21.3% | 77.4% | R+56.1 |
| Precinct -B111B111 | 67 | 132 | 5 | 204 | 32.8% | 64.7% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct -A107A107 | 26 | 169 | 1 | 196 | 13.3% | 86.2% | R+73.0 |
| Precinct -B104B104 | 58 | 136 | 2 | 196 | 29.6% | 69.4% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct -B109B109 | 71 | 124 | 1 | 196 | 36.2% | 63.3% | R+27.0 |
| Precinct -C111C111 | 24 | 171 | 1 | 196 | 12.2% | 87.2% | R+75.0 |
| Precinct -B107B107 | 49 | 129 | 1 | 179 | 27.4% | 72.1% | R+44.7 |
| Precinct -B102B102 | 26 | 143 | 2 | 171 | 15.2% | 83.6% | R+68.4 |
| Precinct -B108B108 | 49 | 90 | 7 | 146 | 33.6% | 61.6% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct -B112B112 | 39 | 99 | 5 | 143 | 27.3% | 69.2% | R+42.0 |
| Precinct -A108A108 | 20 | 102 | 0 | 122 | 16.4% | 83.6% | R+67.2 |
| Precinct -A111A111 | 30 | 88 | 2 | 120 | 25.0% | 73.3% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -A104A104 | 12 | 70 | 0 | 82 | 14.6% | 85.4% | R+70.7 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −23.4% |
| 1896 | −40.4% |
| 1900 | −37.0% |
| 1904 | −38.6% |
| 1908 | −41.1% |
| 1912 | −27.3% |
| 1916 | −41.0% |
| 1920 | −32.6% |
| 1924 | −23.0% |
| 1928 | −23.0% |
| 1932 | +9.9% |
| 1936 | +19.0% |
| 1940 | +18.7% |
| 1944 | +12.1% |
| 1948 | +19.7% |
| 1952 | +3.0% |
| 1956 | −18.3% |
| 1960 | −7.3% |
| 1964 | +35.4% |
| 1968 | +6.0% |
| 1972 | −19.6% |
| 1976 | +11.9% |
| 1980 | +17.4% |
| 1984 | +0.4% |
| 1988 | +3.7% |
| 1992 | +20.6% |
| 1996 | +25.5% |
| 2000 | +1.9% |
| 2004 | −6.8% |
| 2008 | −32.0% |
| 2012 | −58.5% |
| 2016 | −57.0% |
| 2020 | −54.3% |
| 2024 | −59.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 36 Senate · 4 Senate special · 10 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+21.3
Presidential vote · 2024R+59.5
Perry County, KY registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 81-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
19,233 registered voters · 2024
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−127 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −3,623 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,559 in average income, against $59,799 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+54.4 on average — 5.1 points more Democratic-leaning than Perry County, KY itself (R+59.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Knott County, KY98R+59.2
- Leslie County, KY32R+80.9
- Breathitt County, KY27R+59.3
- Fayette County, KY20D+18.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Knott County, KY83
- Fayette County, KY37
- Breathitt County, KY34
- Laurel County, KY27
- Leslie County, KY23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +53 |
| 2012 | −392 |
| 2013 | −315 |
| 2014 | −401 |
| 2015 | −216 |
| 2016 | −205 |
| 2017 | −572 |
| 2018 | −299 |
| 2019 | −368 |
| 2021 | −225 |
| 2022 | −308 |
| 2023 | −110 |
| 2024 | −138 |
| 2025 | −127 |
Perry County, anchored by Hazard in the Central Appalachian coalfields, has swung decisively Republican over the past two decades as its once-dominant union-Democratic tradition gave way to cultural and economic realignment — by 2024, the margin reached nearly 60 points.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 59.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 59.5 points.
A population of 27,499, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $42,181 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Letcher County and Harlan County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Letcher County
Kentucky
98.0twin score
elasticity2012–2016 trajectorymedian income
Harlan County
Kentucky
91.0twin score
elasticity2000–2012 trajectorymedian income
Mercer County
West Virginia
87.2twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Perry County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21193/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Perry County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Perry County, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Perry County, Kentucky voted Republican by 59.5 points (R+59.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,992 votes cast, 1,966 went Democratic and 7,913 went Republican.
When did Perry County, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Perry County, Kentucky voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Perry County, Kentucky?
Perry County, Kentucky has a population of 27,499 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Perry County, Kentucky?
Median household income in Perry County, Kentucky is $42,181 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Perry County, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Perry County, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.