- Lead
- 77,034
- Total
- 309,616
- vs nation
- R+23.4
Arkansas 3rd Congressional District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 70,315
- Total
- 300,274
- vs nation
- R+27.9
- Lead
- 74,032
- Total
- 248,816
- vs nation
- R+31.8
- Lead
- 71,660
- Total
- 226,444
- vs nation
- R+35.5
- Lead
- 62,243
- Total
- 221,170
- vs nation
- R+35.4
- Lead
- 52,428
- Total
- 209,922
- vs nation
- R+22.5
- Lead
- 38,064
- Total
- 174,722
- vs nation
- R+22.3
- Lead
- 5,840
- Total
- 152,372
- vs nation
- R+12.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+24.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 753,2032024 5-year
- Population density
- 181 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,165 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,5522024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 16.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.8 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Congressional District 1, OK · twin score 94.7
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 3rd Congressional District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
72.4%
21,447 votes · D+46.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 69.5%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
75.7%
68,399 votes · R+51.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 71.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
112,072votes
36.2% of the vote · R+24.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 110,479 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
189,106votes
61.1% of the vote · R+24.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 180,794 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+45.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+39.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +41.7 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+35.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+31.6 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +35.4 pts
Current officeholders
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Anchored by the fast-growing Fayetteville–Springdale–Rogers metro, AR-3 combines a booming logistics and tech corridor with deeply conservative rural counties, producing Republican presidential margins that have held above 25 points for more than a decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 51.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.9 points.
A population of 753,203, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,552 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 1 and Congressional District 3.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 3rd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0503/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.