akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 2·Arkansas

Arkansas 2nd Congressional District voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 19 points.

Little Rock's district shifted 8 points rightward from 2020 to 2024

18762024·38 elections
AR
Latest
R+19
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
683,391
2024 ACS

Arkansas 2nd Congressional District, Arkansas: Old Confederacy district. In 2024, voted R+19%. Democratic peak: D+74 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+19MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
683,3912024 5-year
Median household income
$64,9202024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
69.2%2024 5-year
Black
19.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+74 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+26 in 1972MIT Election Lab
R
HILL, FrenchCongress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: GRIFFIN, Tim (2013–2015), GRIFFIN, Tim (2011–2013), SNYDER, Victor F. (2009–2011), SNYDER, Victor F. (2007–2009)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

8 counties · 1 D · 7 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−19.5%
110,744165,983283,413
R
−16.8%
118,475167,971294,235
R
−18.7%
102,689151,571261,800
R
−18.1%
101,561147,809255,593
R
−15.1%
105,764144,296255,421
R
−7.4%
110,323128,128240,943
R
−4.3%
92,959101,557200,592
D
+16.4%
102,39171,268189,636
D
+18.1%
107,14071,433196,987
R
−14.0%
73,14697,372172,673
R
−21.0%
69,306106,783178,520
D
+3.8%
79,06772,930159,485
D
+36.2%
97,50445,613143,331
R
−26.3%
43,45074,574118,389
O
+1.5%
34,79833,201106,720
D
+12.0%
56,69444,464101,758
D
+12.1%
37,05428,22472,752
D
+4.4%
34,04031,13666,236
D
+11.3%
35,26328,03963,675
D
+40.8%
21,9257,51335,283
D
+42.6%
23,0899,26732,439
D
+63.5%
22,4814,97727,559
D
+70.3%
20,2063,48923,763
D
+74.1%
25,0423,60828,926
D
+28.3%
17,1719,56926,823
D
+33.7%
10,4474,71517,023
D
+18.3%
13,4339,17223,268
D
+43.1%
15,1116,00921,120
D
+40.6%
9,0682,75415,538
D
+25.4%
11,6096,67619,431
D
+17.3%
8,0755,58314,369
D
+26.9%
8,7234,92614,108
D
+53.5%
13,2633,95717,405
D
+23.0%
9,9245,82217,830
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2022R31.1%65.7%901,306
2020R0.0%66.5%1,193,261
2016R36.2%59.8%1,107,522
2014R39.4%56.5%847,505
2010R36.9%57.9%779,957
2008D79.5%0.0%1,011,754
2004D55.9%44.1%1,039,349
2002D53.9%46.1%804,121
1998D55.1%42.2%700,831
1996R47.3%52.7%846,183
1992D60.2%39.8%920,008
1990D99.8%0.0%494,735
1986D62.3%37.7%695,487
1984D57.3%42.7%875,956
1980D59.1%40.9%808,812
1978D76.5%16.3%517,138

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.6%
German
8.8%
Irish
8.6%
American
6.9%
Scottish
2.0%
French
1.4%
Italian
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.2%
speak English only
Spanish4.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Other Indo-European0.8%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
24.3%
Other Christian
14.1%
Methodist
5.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
4.7%
Mainline Protestant
1.6%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 44.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Arkansas's 2nd anchors the state capital and its suburbs, a mix of government workers and exurban growth that has trended steadily Republican over the past decade despite once being the state's most competitive seat.

The shift began with civil rights. 2000 marked the realignment in Arkansas 2nd Congressional District, by a four points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at twenty-six points in 1972. The 2024 margin was nineteen points.

The political shift has tracked, in Arkansas 2nd Congressional District, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 69% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $64,920, and a 15% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 2, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0502/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 2, Arkansas voted Republican by 19.5 points (R+19), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 283,413 votes cast, 110,744 went Democratic and 165,983 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 2, Arkansas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 2, Arkansas as a "Old Confederacy" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 10 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 2, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 2, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Congressional District 2, Arkansas?
Congressional District 2, Arkansas has a population of 683,391 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, Arkansas?
Median household income in Congressional District 2, Arkansas is $64,920 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Congressional District 2, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 10 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.