Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Arkansas 2nd Congressional District
presidential margin
2008R+13.42012R+16.72016R+15.02020R+13.12024R+15.5
full record · 2008 → 2024
R+15.5
2024
median income$65,200U.S. $80,734 · AR $60,773
median age38.3U.S. 39.1 · AR 38.8
poverty rate14.4%U.S. 12.5% · AR 16.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)31.7%U.S. 35.6% · AR 26.0%
non-english6.8%U.S. 22.3% · AR 8.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English12.6%
German8.8%
Irish8.6%
African American†18.8%
African1.2%
Mexican4.0%
Guatemalan0.5%
Salvadoran0.4%
Filipino0.4%
Asian Indian0.4%
Chinese0.3%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Saline County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Arkansas 2nd Congressional District

Akashic
2024 presidential electionArkansas 2nd Congressional DistrictTrumpR+15.5
Arkansas 2nd Congressional District premium atlas map: Trump R+15.5, 403 precincts, 11 city labels.
2024
403 precincts by 2024 margin · 11 cities, own margin · ◎ bluest & reddest city
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −15.5% in 2024.−15.5%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−13.4%
2012−16.7%
2016−15.0%
2020−13.1%
2024−15.5%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
RFrench HillU.S. House · AR-02+0.43
RJohn BoozmanU.S. Senate+0.43
RTom CottonU.S. Senate+0.58

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

Source · Voteview HSall_members.csv.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 16 Senate races

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
20242R
41.1%125,777
58.9%180,509
306,286
20222R
35.3%86,887
60.0%147,975
246,446
20202R
44.6%148,410
55.4%184,093
332,503
20182R
45.8%116,135
52.1%132,125
253,453
20162R
36.8%111,347
58.3%176,472
302,464
20142R
43.6%103,477
51.9%123,073
237,330
20122R
39.5%113,156
55.2%158,175
286,598
20102R
38.3%80,687
57.9%122,091
210,852
20082D
76.5%212,303
0.0%0
277,366
20062D
60.5%124,871
39.5%81,432
206,303
20042D
58.2%160,834
41.8%115,655
276,493
20022D
92.9%142,752
0.0%0
153,626
20002D
57.5%126,957
42.5%93,692
220,649
19982D
58.0%100,334
42.0%72,737
173,071
19962D
52.3%114,841
47.7%104,548
219,389
19942D
57.4%97,580
42.6%72,473
170,053
19922D
74.2%154,946
25.8%53,978
208,924
19902D
60.4%103,471
39.6%67,800
171,271
19882D
83.5%168,889
16.5%33,475
202,364
19862D
75.7%128,822
24.2%41,247
170,146
19842D
47.1%103,165
41.5%90,841
219,079
19822R
46.1%82,913
53.9%96,775
179,688
19802R
21.0%42,278
78.9%159,148
201,655
19782R
48.8%62,140
51.2%65,285
127,425
19762D
86.4%144,780
13.6%22,819
167,607

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2022R
31.1%280,187
65.7%592,437
901,306
2020R
0.0%0
66.5%793,871
1,193,261
2016R
36.2%400,602
59.8%661,984
1,106,452
2014R
39.5%334,174
56.5%478,819
847,000
2010R
37.0%288,156
57.9%451,618
779,581
2008D
79.5%804,678
0.0%0
1,011,754
2004D
55.9%580,973
44.1%458,036
1,039,221
2002D
53.9%433,386
46.1%370,735
804,121
1998D
55.1%385,878
42.2%295,870
700,644
1996R
47.3%400,241
52.7%445,942
846,183
1992D
60.2%553,635
39.8%366,373
920,008
1990D
100.0%493,910
0.0%0
493,910
1986D
62.3%433,122
37.7%262,313
695,435
1984D
57.3%502,341
42.7%373,615
875,956
1980D
59.1%477,905
40.9%330,576
808,481
1978D
76.5%395,506
16.3%84,308
517,025

Arkansas's 2nd anchors the state capital and its suburbs, a mix of government workers and exurban growth that has trended steadily Republican over the past decade despite once being the state's most competitive seat.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 16.7 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.5 points.

A population of 752,708, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,200 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 2 and Congressional District 8.

Political twins — districts

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Congressional District 2
South Carolina
93.4twin score
2008–2012 trajectory% Evangelicalelasticity
Congressional District 8
Tennessee
91.2twin score
% Evangelical2008–2012 trajectory% Catholic≠ American ancestry
Congressional District 3
Mississippi
91.2twin score
% Evangelical2008–2012 trajectory% Catholic≠ % Black

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arkansas 2nd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0502/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Arkansas 2nd Congressional District

counties it covers8
Cleburne CountyConway CountyFaulkner CountyPerry CountyPulaski CountySaline CountyVan Buren CountyWhite County

Frequently asked questions

How did Arkansas 2nd Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arkansas 2nd Congressional District voted Republican by 15.5 points (R+15.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 319,510 votes cast, 131,095 went Democratic and 180,713 went Republican.
How many people live in Arkansas 2nd Congressional District?
Arkansas 2nd Congressional District has a population of 752,708 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arkansas 2nd Congressional District?
Median household income in Arkansas 2nd Congressional District is $65,200 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Arkansas 2nd Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Arkansas 2nd Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.