| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 1,437 | 6,023 | 7,621 | |
| 2020 | R | 1,593 | 6,034 | 7,807 | |
| 2016 | R | 1,549 | 5,382 | 7,113 | |
| 2012 | R | 1,832 | 4,365 | 6,430 | |
| 2008 | R | 2,151 | 4,276 | 6,703 | |
| 2004 | R | 3,310 | 3,988 | 7,374 | |
| 2000 | R | 3,202 | 3,485 | 6,984 | |
| 1996 | D | 3,521 | 2,345 | 6,801 | |
| 1992 | D | 3,819 | 2,612 | 7,361 | |
| 1988 | R | 2,607 | 3,562 | 6,209 | |
| 1984 | R | 2,529 | 4,060 | 6,659 | |
| 1980 | R | 2,968 | 3,090 | 6,292 | |
| 1976 | D | 4,004 | 1,624 | 5,628 | |
| 1972 | R | 1,594 | 2,622 | 4,235 | |
| 1968 | R | 1,149 | 1,325 | 3,698 | |
| 1964 | D | 2,054 | 1,270 | 3,352 | |
| 1960 | D | 1,158 | 1,009 | 2,267 | |
| 1956 | D | 1,331 | 1,296 | 2,642 | |
| 1952 | D | 1,559 | 1,530 | 3,102 | |
| 1948 | D | 1,324 | 617 | 2,070 | |
| 1944 | D | 1,090 | 655 | 1,747 | |
| 1940 | D | 1,068 | 402 | 1,470 | |
| 1936 | D | 1,422 | 541 | 1,969 | |
| 1932 | D | 1,456 | 413 | 1,890 | |
| 1928 | D | 1,539 | 994 | 2,537 | |
| 1924 | D | 922 | 435 | 1,444 | |
| 1920 | R | 440 | 1,388 | 1,902 | |
| 1916 | D | 1,272 | 743 | 2,015 | |
| 1912 | D | 674 | 254 | 1,274 | |
| 1908 | D | 797 | 667 | 1,574 | |
| 1904 | D | 578 | 542 | 1,174 | |
| 1900 | D | 599 | 445 | 1,088 | |
| 1896 | D | 846 | 374 | 1,246 | |
| 1892 | D | 673 | 419 | 1,092 | |
| 1888 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1884 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1880 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1876 | — | — | — | — |
Van Buren County, nestled in the Arkansas River Valley foothills, recorded an R+60.2 margin in 2024, reflecting the rural, predominantly white demographic shift that has reshaped the Ozark-border counties over the past two decades.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Van Buren County peaked at fifty-five points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2000 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of four points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.
The economic and demographic context is severe. Van Buren County's median household income of $50,354 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 19% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sharp County and Obion County.
