akashic
1876–2024
Van Buren County, Arkansas
Van Buren County·Arkansas

Van Buren County changed its political identity.

One of Arkansas's most one-sided presidential counties in 2024

18762024·38 elections
Van Buren County, Arkansas · Brandonrush · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+60
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
15,998
2024 ACS
Most similar
Sharp County
AR · similarity 1.00
21 precincts · 7,621 votes cast
Trump · R+60
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−60.2%
1,4376,0237,621
2020R
−56.9%
1,5936,0347,807
2016R
−53.9%
1,5495,3827,113
2012R
−39.4%
1,8324,3656,430
2008R
−31.7%
2,1514,2766,703
2004R
−9.2%
3,3103,9887,374
2000R
−4.1%
3,2023,4856,984
1996D
+17.3%
3,5212,3456,801
1992D
+16.4%
3,8192,6127,361
1988R
−15.4%
2,6073,5626,209
1984R
−23.0%
2,5294,0606,659
1980R
−1.9%
2,9683,0906,292
1976D
+42.3%
4,0041,6245,628
1972R
−24.3%
1,5942,6224,235
1968R
−4.8%
1,1491,3253,698
1964D
+23.4%
2,0541,2703,352
1960D
+6.6%
1,1581,0092,267
1956D
+1.3%
1,3311,2962,642
1952D
+0.9%
1,5591,5303,102
1948D
+34.2%
1,3246172,070
1944D
+24.9%
1,0906551,747
1940D
+45.3%
1,0684021,470
1936D
+44.7%
1,4225411,969
1932D
+55.2%
1,4564131,890
1928D
+21.5%
1,5399942,537
1924D
+33.7%
9224351,444
1920R
−49.8%
4401,3881,902
1916D
+26.3%
1,2727432,015
1912D
+33.0%
6742541,274
1908D
+8.3%
7976671,574
1904D
+3.1%
5785421,174
1900D
+14.2%
5994451,088
1896D
+37.9%
8463741,246
1892D
+23.3%
6734191,092
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
24.9%
Other Christian
18.0%
Methodist
4.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
2.3%
Mainline Protestant
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 47.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Van Buren County, nestled in the Arkansas River Valley foothills, recorded an R+60.2 margin in 2024, reflecting the rural, predominantly white demographic shift that has reshaped the Ozark-border counties over the past two decades.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Van Buren County peaked at fifty-five points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2000 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of four points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. Van Buren County's median household income of $50,354 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 19% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sharp County and Obion County.