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state house district

Arkansas 44th State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

American17.0%7.5%5.3%

English14.7%12.3%9.5%

German10.6%9.2%12.5%

Irish10.0%8.9%9.4%

Scottish2.3%1.8%1.3%

Italian2.2%1.4%4.8%

French1.8%1.3%1.6%

Scotch-Irish1.3%0.6%—

Mexican2.5%6.3%11.3%

Salvadoran0.9%0.9%0.7%

Puerto Rican0.3%0.3%1.8%

Honduran0.3%0.2%0.3%

Cuban0.2%—0.7%

African American†0.9%13.5%9.9%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	AR HD 44	Arkansas	United States
Median age	40.8	38.8	39.1
Age 18–24	11.1%	9.4%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	17.1%	17.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	AR HD 44	Arkansas	United States
Median household income	$58,127	$60,773	$84,427
Poverty rate	15.5%	16.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	24.1%	26.0%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	AR HD 44	Arkansas	United States
Owner-occupied homes	79.2%	66.4%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	20.8%	33.6%	34.8%
Median home value	$160,900	$188,000	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$903	$947	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	35.6%	44.8%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	10.4%	13.5%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	AR HD 44	Arkansas	United States
Mean commute	23.7 min	22.5 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	6.7%	5.6%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	83.0%	78.9%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.0%	0.3%	3.2%
Works from home	4.8%	8.8%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	AR HD 44	Arkansas	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	9.0%	8.3%	22.3%
Spanish	7.8%	6.2%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	AR HD 44	Arkansas	United States
Catholic	—	5.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	38.2%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	42.5%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	AR HD 44	Arkansas	United States
Foreign-born residents	1.3%	5.4%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.8%	1.9%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.5%	3.6%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	9.5%	7.4%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.472	0.479	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic16.8%2,100TrumpRepublican81.2%10,186OtherAll other candidates2.0%251

R+64.5

Lead: 8,086
Total: 12,537
vs nation: R+63.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic17.6%2,208TrumpRepublican80.5%10,095OtherAll other candidates1.9%237

R+62.9

Lead: 7,887
Total: 12,540
vs nation: R+67.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic17.3%1,947TrumpRepublican80.5%9,068OtherAll other candidates2.2%252

R+63.2

Lead: 7,121
Total: 11,267
vs nation: R+65.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic19.3%2,016RomneyRepublican78.5%8,215OtherAll other candidates2.2%231

R+59.3

Lead: 6,199
Total: 10,462
vs nation: R+63.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic20.8%2,328McCainRepublican77.2%8,646OtherAll other candidates2.1%232

R+56.4

Lead: 6,318
Total: 11,206
vs nation: R+63.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic26.8%2,811BushRepublican72.4%7,600OtherAll other candidates0.8%85

R+45.6

Lead: 4,789
Total: 10,496
vs nation: R+43.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic28.6%2,609BushRepublican68.8%6,278OtherAll other candidates2.5%232

R+40.2

Lead: 3,669
Total: 9,119
vs nation: R+40.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic37.7%3,344DoleRepublican52.0%4,617OtherAll other candidates10.3%912

R+14.3

Lead: 1,273
Total: 8,873
vs nation: R+22.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+64.5MIT Election Lab
Population: 29,1452024 5-year
Population density: 37 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 791 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $58,1272024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 86.9%2024 5-year
Black: 0.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 4.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+67.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+64.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 83, KY · twin score 98.3

presidential history

Party record book

Arkansas 44th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1936

83.8%

1,119 votes · D+67.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 82.8%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

81.2%

10,186 votes · R+64.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 80.5%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Bill Clinton1996

3,344votes

37.7% of the vote · R+14.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 3,333 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

10,186votes

81.2% of the vote · R+64.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10,095 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John W. Davis1924

+58.2pts D vs U.S.

Place D+33.0 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +49.4 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2020

+67.4pts R vs U.S.

Place R+62.9 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +65.3 pts

U.S. House elections · 2 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	20.9%2,264	79.1%8,586	10,850
2020	R	21.7%2,346	78.3%8,473	10,819

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+64.5, this rural Arkansas district ranks among the most heavily one-sided legislative seats in the state, leaving general-election outcomes largely settled before ballots are cast.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 64.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.5 points.

A population of 29,145, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,127 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 83 and State House District 11.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 83

2008–2024 trajectory

State House District 11

2012–2024 trajectory

State House District 85

2012–2024 trajectory

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Arkansas 44th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05044/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Arkansas at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2022 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Places within Arkansas 44th State House District

counties it covers2

Pope County Van Buren County

Frequently asked questions

How did Arkansas 44th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Arkansas 44th State House District voted Republican by 64.5 points (R+64.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,537 votes cast, 2,100 went Democratic and 10,186 went Republican.

When did Arkansas 44th State House District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Arkansas 44th State House District voted Democratic was 1976.

How many people live in Arkansas 44th State House District?

Arkansas 44th State House District has a population of 29,145 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Arkansas 44th State House District?

Median household income in Arkansas 44th State House District is $58,127 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.

What is the political history of Arkansas 44th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arkansas 44th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.