HarrisDemocratic22.7%5,487TrumpRepublican74.9%18,118KennedyIndependent1.4%336
R+52.2- Lead
- 12,631
- Total
- 24,191
- vs nation
- R+50.7
- Turnout
- 51.0%
Akashiccounty
Pope County, AR
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 51.0% of 47,650 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic23.6%5,772TrumpRepublican74.0%18,081JorgensenLibertarian1.0%240
R+50.4- Lead
- 12,309
- Total
- 24,432
- vs nation
- R+54.8
- Turnout
- 51.9%
ClintonDemocratic22.9%5,000TrumpRepublican74.3%16,256JohnsonLibertarian2.8%618
R+51.5- Lead
- 11,256
- Total
- 21,874
- vs nation
- R+53.5
- Turnout
- 48.8%
ObamaDemocratic25.1%5,126RomneyRepublican72.2%14,763GrayLibertarian1.6%321
R+47.2- Lead
- 9,637
- Total
- 20,439
- vs nation
- R+51.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic27.2%6,002McCainRepublican70.5%15,568OtherAll other candidates2.3%509
R+43.3- Lead
- 9,566
- Total
- 22,079
- vs nation
- R+50.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic34.0%7,100BushRepublican65.1%13,614OtherAll other candidates0.9%188
R+31.2- Lead
- 6,514
- Total
- 20,902
- vs nation
- R+28.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic36.2%6,669BushRepublican61.0%11,244NaderGreen1.4%259
R+24.8- Lead
- 4,575
- Total
- 18,422
- vs nation
- R+25.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.8%8,433DoleRepublican43.8%8,243PerotReform10.0%1,891
D+1.0- Lead
- 190
- Total
- 18,840
- vs nation
- R+7.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 64,1312024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,3442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+78.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Crawford County, AR · twin score 95.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 51.0%24,311 participants ÷ 47,650 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 37.3%–39.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 22,771 | 46,646 | 48.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 18,149 | 46,813 | 38.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 24,505 | 47,232 | 51.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 18,072 | 47,314 | 38.2% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 24,311 | 47,650 | 51.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
55 precincts · 24,191 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -039- Russellville 2-B039- Russellville 2-B | 653 | 1,224 | 50 | 1,927 | 33.9% | 63.5% | R+29.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -016- Dover Out016- Dover Out | 260 | 1,348 | 41 | 1,649 | 15.8% | 81.7% | R+66.0 |
| Precinct -035- Russellville 1-B035- Russellville 1-B | 351 | 1,018 | 40 | 1,409 | 24.9% | 72.2% | R+47.3 |
| Precinct -022- London Out022- London Out | 241 | 970 | 21 | 1,232 | 19.6% | 78.7% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -029- Pottsville In 1029- Pottsville In 1 | 172 | 1,017 | 25 | 1,214 | 14.2% | 83.8% | R+69.6 |
| Precinct -042- Russellville 3-B042- Russellville 3-B | 370 | 717 | 35 | 1,122 | 33.0% | 63.9% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct -038- Russellville 2-A038- Russellville 2-A | 328 | 695 | 31 | 1,054 | 31.1% | 65.9% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -003- Atkins In003- Atkins In | 171 | 851 | 16 | 1,038 | 16.5% | 82.0% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -054- Russellville Out 4054- Russellville Out 4 | 227 | 770 | 36 | 1,033 | 22.0% | 74.5% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct -031- Pottsville Out 1031- Pottsville Out 1 | 171 | 831 | 23 | 1,025 | 16.7% | 81.1% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct -043- Russellville 4-A043- Russellville 4-A | 214 | 447 | 19 | 680 | 31.5% | 65.7% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct -013- Crow Mountain West 1013- Crow Mountain West 1 | 102 | 543 | 15 | 660 | 15.5% | 82.3% | R+66.8 |
| Precinct -041- Russellville 3-A041- Russellville 3-A | 252 | 385 | 22 | 659 | 38.2% | 58.4% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct -050- Russellville 4-H050- Russellville 4-H | 213 | 345 | 22 | 580 | 36.7% | 59.5% | R+22.8 |
| Precinct -014- Crow Mountain West 2014- Crow Mountain West 2 | 111 | 432 | 15 | 558 | 19.9% | 77.4% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -051- Russellville Out 1051- Russellville Out 1 | 100 | 430 | 9 | 539 | 18.6% | 79.8% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -015- Dover In015- Dover In | 94 | 371 | 18 | 483 | 19.5% | 76.8% | R+57.3 |
| Precinct -004- Atkins Out 1004- Atkins Out 1 | 64 | 405 | 7 | 476 | 13.4% | 85.1% | R+71.6 |
| Precinct -023- Martin 1023- Martin 1 | 84 | 330 | 12 | 426 | 19.7% | 77.5% | R+57.7 |
| Precinct -007- Bayliss007- Bayliss | 66 | 319 | 15 | 400 | 16.5% | 79.8% | R+63.2 |
| Precinct -052- Russellville Out 2052- Russellville Out 2 | 100 | 290 | 5 | 395 | 25.3% | 73.4% | R+48.1 |
| Precinct -021- London In021- London In | 60 | 321 | 11 | 392 | 15.3% | 81.9% | R+66.6 |
| Precinct -040- Russellville 2-C040- Russellville 2-C | 127 | 209 | 13 | 349 | 36.4% | 59.9% | R+23.5 |
| Precinct -028- Pea Ridge028- Pea Ridge | 26 | 304 | 14 | 344 | 7.6% | 88.4% | R+80.8 |
| Precinct -008- Buck Mountain008- Buck Mountain | 52 | 271 | 3 | 326 | 16.0% | 83.1% | R+67.2 |
| Precinct -045- Russellville 4-C045- Russellville 4-C | 116 | 184 | 8 | 308 | 37.7% | 59.7% | R+22.1 |
| Precinct -020- Hector Out020- Hector Out | 46 | 255 | 3 | 304 | 15.1% | 83.9% | R+68.8 |
| Precinct -055- Scottsville 1055- Scottsville 1 | 38 | 254 | 8 | 300 | 12.7% | 84.7% | R+72.0 |
| Precinct -012- Crow Mountain East 2012- Crow Mountain East 2 | 37 | 254 | 4 | 295 | 12.5% | 86.1% | R+73.6 |
| Precinct -036- Russellville 1-C036- Russellville 1-C | 116 | 159 | 5 | 280 | 41.4% | 56.8% | R+15.4 |
| Precinct -002- Appleton 2002- Appleton 2 | 29 | 193 | 2 | 224 | 12.9% | 86.2% | R+73.2 |
| Precinct -011- Crow Mountain East 1011- Crow Mountain East 1 | 30 | 187 | 2 | 219 | 13.7% | 85.4% | R+71.7 |
| Precinct -017- Economy017- Economy | 31 | 169 | 2 | 202 | 15.3% | 83.7% | R+68.3 |
| Precinct -009- Caglesville 1009- Caglesville 1 | 27 | 169 | 0 | 196 | 13.8% | 86.2% | R+72.4 |
| Precinct -034- Russellville 1-A034- Russellville 1-A | 101 | 87 | 5 | 193 | 52.3% | 45.1% | D+7.3 |
| Precinct -019- Hector In019- Hector In | 22 | 141 | 3 | 166 | 13.3% | 84.9% | R+71.7 |
| Precinct -026- Moreland 1026- Moreland 1 | 17 | 144 | 4 | 165 | 10.3% | 87.3% | R+77.0 |
| Precinct -024- Martin 2024- Martin 2 | 24 | 135 | 4 | 163 | 14.7% | 82.8% | R+68.1 |
| Precinct -006- Atkins Out 3006- Atkins Out 3 | 19 | 117 | 2 | 138 | 13.8% | 84.8% | R+71.0 |
| Precinct -001- Appleton 1001- Appleton 1 | 24 | 103 | 2 | 129 | 18.6% | 79.8% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -048- Russellville 4-F048- Russellville 4-F | 51 | 77 | 1 | 129 | 39.5% | 59.7% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct -046- Russellville 4-D046- Russellville 4-D | 47 | 62 | 0 | 109 | 43.1% | 56.9% | R+13.8 |
| Precinct -005- Atkins Out 2005- Atkins Out 2 | 9 | 82 | 0 | 91 | 9.9% | 90.1% | R+80.2 |
| Precinct -027- Moreland 2027- Moreland 2 | 6 | 77 | 1 | 84 | 7.1% | 91.7% | R+84.5 |
| Precinct -030- Pottsville In 2030- Pottsville In 2 | 10 | 67 | 5 | 82 | 12.2% | 81.7% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct -025- Martin 3025- Martin 3 | 14 | 62 | 3 | 79 | 17.7% | 78.5% | R+60.8 |
| Precinct -053- Russellville Out 3053- Russellville Out 3 | 15 | 52 | 1 | 68 | 22.1% | 76.5% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct -044- Russellville 4-B044- Russellville 4-B | 15 | 51 | 0 | 66 | 22.7% | 77.3% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -057- Nogo057- Nogo | 8 | 53 | 1 | 62 | 12.9% | 85.5% | R+72.6 |
| Precinct -018- Freeman018- Freeman | 4 | 43 | 0 | 47 | 8.5% | 91.5% | R+83.0 |
| Precinct -056- Scottsville 2056- Scottsville 2 | 3 | 38 | 0 | 41 | 7.3% | 92.7% | R+85.4 |
| Precinct -010- Caglesville 2010- Caglesville 2 | 5 | 31 | 1 | 37 | 13.5% | 83.8% | R+70.3 |
| Precinct -049- Russellville 4-G049- Russellville 4-G | 6 | 14 | 1 | 21 | 28.6% | 66.7% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -032- Pottsville Out 2032- Pottsville Out 2 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 19 | 36.8% | 63.2% | R+26.3 |
| Precinct -047- Russellville 4-E047- Russellville 4-E | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 25.0% | 75.0% | R+50.0 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +42.3% |
| 1896 | +50.1% |
| 1900 | +38.1% |
| 1904 | +24.7% |
| 1908 | +33.2% |
| 1912 | +46.6% |
| 1916 | +46.6% |
| 1920 | +29.4% |
| 1924 | +48.8% |
| 1928 | +27.2% |
| 1932 | +78.1% |
| 1936 | +76.9% |
| 1940 | +65.7% |
| 1944 | +43.4% |
| 1948 | +47.4% |
| 1952 | +15.4% |
| 1956 | +9.6% |
| 1960 | +3.3% |
| 1964 | +29.8% |
| 1968 | −8.6% |
| 1972 | −35.3% |
| 1976 | +31.5% |
| 1980 | −6.0% |
| 1984 | −35.2% |
| 1988 | −34.0% |
| 1992 | −2.0% |
| 1996 | +1.0% |
| 2000 | −24.8% |
| 2004 | −31.2% |
| 2008 | −43.3% |
| 2012 | −47.2% |
| 2016 | −51.5% |
| 2020 | −50.4% |
| 2024 | −52.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 33 Senate · 2 Senate special · 15 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 34,559 |
| 2020 | 35,220 |
| 2022 | 36,293 |
| 2024 | 35,172 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+270 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +989 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,284 in average income, against $70,845 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+40.1 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Pope County, AR itself (R+52.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Yell County, AR259R+60.7
- Johnson County, AR107R+51.4
- Faulkner County, AR84R+32.3
- Conway County, AR75R+40.3
- Pulaski County, AR74D+22.1
- Washington County, AR46R+6.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Yell County, AR202
- Johnson County, AR118
- Faulkner County, AR107
- Pulaski County, AR94
- Washington County, AR83
- Conway County, AR64
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +286 |
| 2012 | −278 |
| 2013 | −185 |
| 2014 | +215 |
| 2015 | +141 |
| 2016 | −39 |
| 2017 | −486 |
| 2018 | −224 |
| 2019 | +296 |
| 2021 | +331 |
| 2022 | +324 |
| 2023 | +506 |
| 2024 | −168 |
| 2025 | +270 |
Pope County's 2024 presidential margin of R+52.2 reflects a broad rural and small-city electorate centered on Russellville that has moved decisively toward Republican candidates over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 78.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 52.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.2 points.
A population of 64,131, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,344 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Crawford County and White County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Crawford County
Arkansas
95.5twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory≠ Irish ancestry
White County
Arkansas
92.8twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Lonoke County
Arkansas
92.0twin score
elasticity2008–2016 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Pope County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05115/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Pope County
Arkansas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Pope County, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Pope County, Arkansas voted Republican by 52.2 points (R+52.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 24,191 votes cast, 5,487 went Democratic and 18,118 went Republican.
When did Pope County, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Pope County, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Pope County, Arkansas?
Pope County, Arkansas has a population of 64,131 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pope County, Arkansas?
Median household income in Pope County, Arkansas is $57,344 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Pope County, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Pope County, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.